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CHINA › SUPER LEAGUE
24.10.2026 07:30
Tongliang Long Stadium

Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Chongqing Tongliang Long Win 56.8%
Draw 34.9%
Qingdao Jonoon Win 8.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chongqing Tongliang Long1.48
Qingdao Jonoon1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long
WWDLW
29 GF / 34 GA
Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon
WLDWL
34 GF / 60 GA
Key Stats
1.04
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
2.14
16
BTTS Yes
18
9
Over 2.5
18
3.14
Shots on Goal
3.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 28 matches
Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 28 matches
Chongqing Tongliang Long Statistic Qingdao Jonoon
7 Wins 6
12 Draws 3
9 Losses 19
29 Goals For 34
34 Goals Against 60
1.04 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 2.14
16 BTTS Yes 18
18 Over 1.5 23
9 Over 2.5 18
7 Over 3.5 14
8 Clean Sheets 2
7 Failed To Score 9
3.14 Shots On Goal 3.75
9.11 Total Shots 12.79
4.21 Corners 4.21
48.1% Ball Possession 44.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Qingdao Jonoon. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Chongqing Tongliang Long arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 32 points compared to Qingdao Jonoon in 16 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Qingdao Jonoon arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Qingdao Jonoon having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Chongqing Tongliang Long Analysis

So far, Chongqing Tongliang Long have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 32 points from 27 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 11 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 28:33 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Nany Dimata (6 goals), Alexandru Cîmpanu (4 goals), Chen Chunxin (3 goals), with creative support from Alexandru Cîmpanu (5 assists), Nany Dimata (2 assists), Zhixiong Zhang (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Qingdao Jonoon Analysis

Qingdao Jonoon approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 14 points from 27 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 34:56, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Yaw Yeboah (7 goals), Malcom Edjouma (6 goals), Carlos Strandberg (4 goals), with creative support from Song Wenjie (4 assists), Yaw Yeboah (3 assists), Lin Chuangyi (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 12 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Chongqing Tongliang Long won 1 times, Qingdao Jonoon won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Chongqing Tongliang Long's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.7%)
Predicted formations: Chongqing Tongliang Long 4-4-2 / Qingdao Jonoon 4-4-2
H2H summary: Chongqing Tongliang Long wins 1, draws 0, Qingdao Jonoon wins 0

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 15 7 6 51:34 17 52
L L D W L
2 28 14 4 10 45:43 2 46
W W W D W
3 28 13 10 5 53:33 20 44
W W D D D
4 28 14 5 9 52:44 8 41
W D D W L
5 28 12 8 8 47:35 12 39
W W D W W
6 28 11 6 11 56:59 -3 39
D L W L D
7 28 8 14 6 31:37 -6 38
L L D D W
8 28 14 5 9 62:48 14 37
W W W L W
9 28 7 12 9 29:34 -5 33
D D L D L
10 28 11 8 9 38:32 6 31
W W W W D
11 28 10 6 12 47:52 -5 31
L L W L W
12 28 8 5 15 37:50 -13 29
L D D L D
13 28 8 5 15 39:48 -9 29
W D L L L
14 28 8 10 10 35:38 -3 28
L D D D D
15 28 5 12 11 41:50 -9 22
L D L D D
16 28 6 3 19 34:60 -26 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation