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ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
24.10.2026 14:00
SMH Group Stadium

Chesterfield vs Crewe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 45.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
45.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Chesterfield Win 40.4%
Draw 14.5%
Crewe Win 45.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chesterfield1.21
Crewe1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chesterfield Chesterfield
WWDLW
20 GF / 19 GA
Crewe Crewe
WLDWL
23 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
9
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
6
6.18
Shots on Goal
3.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chesterfield Chesterfield 14 matches
Crewe Crewe 16 matches
Chesterfield Statistic Crewe
4 Wins 7
5 Draws 8
5 Losses 1
20 Goals For 23
19 Goals Against 14
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
9 BTTS Yes 10
10 Over 1.5 11
7 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 2
6.18 Shots On Goal 3.55
17.64 Total Shots 11.73
6.27 Corners 4.55
58.8% Ball Possession 47.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Crewe. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Chesterfield Analysis

So far, Chesterfield have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 15 points from 10 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 17:14 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by L. Marsh (5 goals), L. Bonis (4 goals), D. Markanday (3 goals), with creative support from L. Bonis (2 assists), L. Marsh (1 assists), D. Markanday (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Crewe Analysis

Crewe come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 18 points from 10 matches. The record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 12:7 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Gibson (3 goals), J. Lankester (2 goals), J. March (1 goals), with creative support from J. March (2 assists), J. Tabiner (2 assists), L. Billington (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Chesterfield won 6 times, Crewe won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:22 from Chesterfield's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.58 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.5%)
Predicted formations: Chesterfield 4-2-3-1 / Crewe 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Chesterfield wins 6, draws 2, Crewe wins 4

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 1 3 17:11 6 22
W W W W W
2 9 6 3 0 22:12 10 21
W W W W D
3
Crewe Away
11 5 6 0 15:9 6 21
W W W D D
4 10 4 4 2 18:12 6 16
D D W L W
5 10 3 7 0 13:7 6 16
D D D W D
6 11 4 4 3 16:13 3 16
L W D L W
7 11 4 3 4 17:15 2 15
L D W L W
8 11 4 3 4 17:20 -3 15
L L L W D
9 11 5 0 6 15:18 -3 15
L L L W L
10 11 3 5 3 16:15 1 14
W D W D D
11 11 3 5 3 14:13 1 14
D W D W D
12 11 3 5 3 12:11 1 14
W D L L L
13 11 4 2 5 13:15 -2 14
L D W W W
14 11 4 2 5 10:15 -5 14
W L W D D
15 11 3 4 4 13:13 0 13
L L L L W
16 11 3 4 4 6:6 0 13
D W W L D
17 11 2 6 3 14:15 -1 12
L D L D D
18 11 3 3 5 10:15 -5 12
D L L D L
19 10 3 2 5 13:14 -1 11
W D L L L
20 10 2 5 3 10:13 -3 11
D L D D D
21 9 3 2 4 5:9 -4 11
W W L W L
22 9 2 4 3 6:7 -1 10
W D L L W
23 11 2 4 5 12:18 -6 10
L L L D W
24 9 1 2 6 9:17 -8 5
L D L L L
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League