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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
24.10.2026 11:30
The Valley

Charlton vs Norwich Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Charlton Win 70.2%
Draw 6.1%
Norwich Win 23.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Charlton1.04
Norwich1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Charlton Charlton
WWDLW
15 GF / 21 GA
Norwich Norwich
WLDWL
25 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
7
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
10
3
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Charlton Charlton 17 matches
Norwich Norwich 18 matches
Charlton Statistic Norwich
6 Wins 6
6 Draws 3
5 Losses 9
15 Goals For 25
21 Goals Against 23
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
7 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 12
6 Over 2.5 10
3 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 7
3 Shots On Goal 5
10.18 Total Shots 13.91
4.55 Corners 4.18
41.8% Ball Possession 51.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Norwich arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Norwich. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Charlton Analysis

Charlton sit 13 with 14 points after 10 league matches. The record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 10:13 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Jones (2 goals), K. Ahearne-Grant (2 goals), T. Campbell (1 goals), with creative support from L. Jones (1 assists), K. Ahearne-Grant (1 assists), T. Campbell (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Norwich Analysis

Norwich sit 20 with 9 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 17:20, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through M. Touré (5 goals), A. Brooks (2 goals), Jacob Wright (2 goals), with creative support from A. Brooks (2 assists), O. Schwartau (2 assists), P. Maghoma (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.9%)
Predicted formations: Charlton 4-2-3-1 / Norwich 4-2-3-1

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 2 2 16:8 8 23
L W W W W
2 11 6 4 1 30:12 18 22
W W D D W
3 11 6 4 1 22:16 6 22
D W W D D
4 11 5 5 1 20:11 9 20
W W W D W
5 11 6 2 3 15:12 3 20
W W L L D
6 11 6 1 4 18:16 2 19
W L W W W
7 11 6 3 2 21:10 11 17
D W W L W
8 10 5 2 3 18:15 3 17
W L L W W
9 11 4 5 2 15:12 3 17
L W D D D
10 11 4 3 4 17:16 1 15
L W W D W
11 11 4 3 4 15:14 1 15
W L W L L
12 11 4 3 4 18:18 0 15
D L W D D
13 10 4 2 4 13:13 0 14
W W L D D
14 11 3 5 3 15:16 -1 14
W L D W L
15 11 4 2 5 15:18 -3 14
D W L W W
16 11 4 2 5 12:15 -3 14
L L D W L
17 11 3 5 3 10:15 -5 14
L D D L D
18 11 3 3 5 9:19 -10 12
D L L L W
19 11 2 5 4 18:17 1 11
D W L W L
20 11 3 2 6 10:19 -9 11
W L L L L
21 11 3 0 8 17:21 -4 9
L L L L L
22 11 1 5 5 16:21 -5 8
L D W D L
23 11 1 3 7 9:20 -11 6
L L D D L
24 11 1 1 9 9:24 -15 4
L L L D L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One