🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
22.08.2026 23:30
Bank of America Stadium
Referee: E. Arreguin
Charlotte
Match Timeline
DC United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
34'
Keisuke Kurokawa
DC United
🟨
44'
Silvan Hefti
DC United
55'
L. Munteanu · Assist: Peglow
DC United
64'
D. Schnegg
Charlotte
🔄
65'
L. de la Torre ↔ B. Bronico
Charlotte
🔄
65'
A. Westwood ↔ D. Diani
Charlotte
🔄
65'
R. Aloko ↔ L. Abada
Charlotte
66'
W. Cleary · Assist: P. Biel
Charlotte
🟨
68'
João Peglow
DC United
🔄
75'
I. Toklomati ↔ A. Goodwin
Charlotte
🔄
75'
B. Servania ↔ N. Markovic
DC United
🔄
75'
K. Nono ↔ H. Kijima
DC United
🔄
75'
J. Hopkins ↔ N. Ordaz
DC United
77'
P. Biel · Assist: L. Abada
Charlotte
🔄
83'
A. Saint-Maximin ↔ T. Smalls
Charlotte
🟨
85'
Tyger Smalls
Charlotte
🔄
86'
Peglow ↔ J. Stroud
DC United
🟨
90+4'
Pep Biel
Charlotte

Charlotte vs DC United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 64.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
64.7%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Charlotte Win 41.9%
Draw 22.8%
DC United Win 35.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Charlotte1.67
DC United1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Charlotte Charlotte
WWDLW
41 GF / 34 GA
DC United DC United
WLDWL
28 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
16
BTTS Yes
13
16
Over 2.5
12
5.05
Shots on Goal
4.35

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Charlotte Charlotte 24 matches
DC United DC United 23 matches
Charlotte Statistic DC United
11 Wins 5
5 Draws 11
8 Losses 7
41 Goals For 28
34 Goals Against 37
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
16 BTTS Yes 13
18 Over 1.5 16
16 Over 2.5 12
10 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 8
5.05 Shots On Goal 4.35
11.55 Total Shots 12.35
4.4 Corners 4.8
46.5% Ball Possession 39.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Charlotte's more proactive style and DC United's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Charlotte expected to line up in 4-3-3 and DC United in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward DC United having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors DC United. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Charlotte Analysis

Charlotte are currently 7 in the standings with 25 points from 18 matches. The record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 29:27 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Pep Biel (4 goals), Idan Toklomati (3 goals), Kerwin Calderón Vargas (2 goals), with creative support from Kerwin Calderón Vargas (4 assists), Pep Biel (3 assists), Ashley Westwood (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

DC United Analysis

So far, DC United have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 23 points from 18 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 26:29 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Tai Baribo (7 goals), Louis Munteanu (5 goals), Jackson Hopkins (2 goals), with creative support from Keisuke Kurokawa (4 assists), João Peglow (2 assists), Silvan Hefti (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Charlotte won 7 times, DC United won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:12 from Charlotte's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.2%)
Predicted formations: Charlotte 4-3-3 / DC United 4-4-2
Missing players: Charlotte 3, DC United 3
H2H summary: Charlotte wins 7, draws 2, DC United wins 2

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 17 6 3 53:21 32 57
W D L D W
2 26 14 4 8 45:33 12 46
W W W L W
3 25 12 9 4 61:46 15 45
D D D W L
4 26 12 7 7 47:37 10 43
W D W D W
5 25 11 6 8 45:38 7 39
L L D D D
6 26 10 6 10 50:42 8 36
W W W W W
7 26 10 4 12 46:60 -14 34
L W W W D
8 26 9 6 11 34:48 -14 33
W W L D L
9 25 8 9 8 54:61 -7 33
D D L L D
10 26 8 8 10 39:34 5 32
L W L D D
11 25 6 11 8 31:39 -8 29
L D W D L
12 26 6 11 9 39:49 -10 29
L L W D D
13 26 7 5 14 37:42 -5 26
W L L W L
14 26 7 5 14 30:43 -13 26
W D L D L
15 26 5 6 15 31:53 -22 21
L L L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)