🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
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Bank of America Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 64.7%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.58
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
64.7%
1.28
BTTS Yes
86%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.58
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.29
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
6.75
Probability Distribution
Charlotte Win 41.9%
Draw 22.8%
DC United Win 35.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Charlotte1.67
DC United1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Charlotte Charlotte
WWDLW
41 GF / 34 GA
DC United DC United
WLDWL
28 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
16
BTTS Yes
13
16
Over 2.5
12
4.7
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Charlotte Charlotte 24 matches
DC United DC United 23 matches
Charlotte Statistic DC United
11 Wins 5
5 Draws 11
8 Losses 7
41 Goals For 28
34 Goals Against 37
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
16 BTTS Yes 13
18 Over 1.5 16
16 Over 2.5 12
10 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 8
4.7 Shots On Goal 4.25
11.05 Total Shots 12
4.35 Corners 4.65
45% Ball Possession 37.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Charlotte's more proactive style and DC United's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Charlotte expected to line up in 4-3-3 and DC United in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward DC United having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors DC United. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Charlotte Analysis

Charlotte are currently 7 in the standings with 25 points from 18 matches. The record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 29:27 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Pep Biel (4 goals), Idan Toklomati (3 goals), Kerwin Calderón Vargas (2 goals), with creative support from Kerwin Calderón Vargas (4 assists), Pep Biel (3 assists), Ashley Westwood (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

DC United Analysis

So far, DC United have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 23 points from 18 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 26:29 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Tai Baribo (7 goals), Louis Munteanu (5 goals), Jackson Hopkins (2 goals), with creative support from Keisuke Kurokawa (4 assists), João Peglow (2 assists), Silvan Hefti (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Charlotte won 6 times, DC United won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:11 from Charlotte's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.2%)
Predicted formations: Charlotte 4-3-3 / DC United 4-4-2
Missing players: Charlotte 3, DC United 3
H2H summary: Charlotte wins 6, draws 2, DC United wins 2
Last matches: Charlotte
19.08.26
Maj
Charlotte
Toronto FC
3
3
D
15.08.26
Maj
Charlotte
Columbus Crew
3
1
W
02.08.26
Maj
Charlotte
Chicago Fire
1
2
L
25.07.26
Maj
Charlotte
New York Red Bulls
2
0
W
23.07.26
Maj
Charlotte
Atlanta United FC
2
2
D
23.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
New England Revolution
1
0
W
16.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
Toronto FC
3
1
W
13.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
New York City FC
0
1
L
09.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
FC Cincinnati
2
2
D
02.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
New England Revolution
0
1
L
26.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Nashville SC
2
4
L
22.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Orlando City SC
1
4
L
18.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
New York City FC
2
1
W
11.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Nashville SC
1
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
21.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
New York Red Bulls
6
1
W
14.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
Inter Miami
0
0
D
08.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
Austin
3
1
W
01.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
3
L
21.02.26
Maj
Charlotte
St. Louis City
1
1
D
Last matches: DC United
19.08.26
Maj
DC United
New England Revolution
0
3
L
15.08.26
Maj
DC United
CF Montreal
1
1
D
01.08.26
Maj
DC United
Nashville SC
2
2
D
25.07.26
Maj
DC United
Toronto FC
2
1
W
23.07.26
Maj
DC United
Houston Dynamo
1
1
D
23.05.26
Maj
DC United
CF Montreal
4
4
D
16.05.26
Maj
DC United
St. Louis City
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
DC United
Chicago Fire
1
3
L
10.05.26
Maj
DC United
Nashville SC
2
2
D
03.05.26
Maj
DC United
New York City FC
2
0
W
25.04.26
Maj
DC United
Orlando City SC
3
2
W
22.04.26
Maj
DC United
New York Red Bulls
4
4
D
18.04.26
Maj
DC United
Philadelphia Union
0
0
D
11.04.26
Maj
DC United
New England Revolution
0
1
L
04.04.26
Maj
DC United
FC Dallas
0
4
L
21.03.26
Maj
DC United
Atlanta United FC
0
0
D
15.03.26
Maj
DC United
Chicago Fire
2
1
W
07.03.26
Maj
DC United
Inter Miami
1
2
L
01.03.26
Maj
DC United
Austin
0
1
L
22.02.26
Maj
DC United
Philadelphia Union
1
0
W
H2H: Charlotte vs DC United
04.10.25
H2H
DC United
Charlotte
0
1
W
16.07.25
H2H
Charlotte
DC United
2
1
W
21.05.25
H2H
DC United
Charlotte
2
2
D
20.10.24
H2H
DC United
Charlotte
0
3
W
15.06.24
H2H
Charlotte
DC United
1
0
W
16.09.23
H2H
Charlotte
DC United
0
0
D
29.04.23
H2H
DC United
Charlotte
3
0
L
01.02.23
H2H
DC United
Charlotte
2
3
W
03.08.22
H2H
Charlotte
DC United
3
0
W
26.02.22
H2H
DC United
Charlotte
3
0
L
Last matches: Charlotte
15.08.26
Maj
Charlotte
Columbus Crew
3
1
W
23.07.26
Maj
Charlotte
Atlanta United FC
2
2
D
23.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
New England Revolution
1
0
W
16.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
Toronto FC
3
1
W
13.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
New York City FC
0
1
L
09.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
FC Cincinnati
2
2
D
11.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Nashville SC
1
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
21.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
New York Red Bulls
6
1
W
14.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
Inter Miami
0
0
D
08.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
Austin
3
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
Charlotte
Minnesota United FC
2
1
W
23.01.26
Fri
Charlotte
Charleston Battery
3
1
W
H2H at home: Charlotte
16.07.25
H2H
Charlotte
DC United
2
1
W
15.06.24
H2H
Charlotte
DC United
1
0
W
16.09.23
H2H
Charlotte
DC United
0
0
D
03.08.22
H2H
Charlotte
DC United
3
0
W
Last matches: DC United
15.08.26
Maj
DC United
CF Montreal
1
1
D
23.07.26
Maj
DC United
Houston Dynamo
1
1
D
10.05.26
Maj
DC United
Nashville SC
2
2
D
03.05.26
Maj
DC United
New York City FC
2
0
W
22.04.26
Maj
DC United
New York Red Bulls
4
4
D
18.04.26
Maj
DC United
Philadelphia Union
0
0
D
11.04.26
Maj
DC United
New England Revolution
0
1
L
21.03.26
Maj
DC United
Atlanta United FC
0
0
D
15.03.26
Maj
DC United
Chicago Fire
2
1
W
01.03.26
Maj
DC United
Austin
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
DC United
Portland Timbers
0
0
D
31.01.26
Fri
DC United
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
4
L
H2H away: DC United
16.07.25
H2H
Charlotte
DC United
2
1
L
15.06.24
H2H
Charlotte
DC United
1
0
L
16.09.23
H2H
Charlotte
DC United
0
0
D
03.08.22
H2H
Charlotte
DC United
3
0
L
Showing odds from: Bet365
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.09
Draw 4.05
Home 1.78
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.54
Home 2.27
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.25 1.46
Over 2.5 1.58
Over 2.75 1.71
Over 3.0 1.93
Over 3.25 2.19
Over 3.5 2.45
Over 4.5 4.29
Under 1.5 4.93
Under 2.25 2.74
Under 2.5 2.40
Under 2.75 2.15
Under 3.0 1.90
Under 3.25 1.69
Under 3.5 1.56
Under 4.5 1.22
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 3.70
Home 1.85
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.30
Home 2.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.60
Home 2.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.5 1.18
Over 2.5 1.65
Over 3.5 2.50
Over 4.5 4.50
Over 5.5 10.00
Over 6.5 19.00
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.5 4.50
Under 2.5 2.20
Under 3.5 1.50
Under 4.5 1.18
Under 5.5 1.06
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 3.75
Home 1.79
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.10
Draw 2.30
Home 2.20
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.75
Home 2.12
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.18
Over 2.25 1.47
Over 2.5 1.63
Over 2.75 1.79
Over 3.0 2.05
Over 3.25 2.33
Over 3.5 2.63
Over 3.75 3.10
Over 4.5 4.80
Over 5.5 9.00
Under 0.5 12.50
Under 1.5 4.60
Under 2.25 2.60
Under 2.5 2.20
Under 2.75 1.96
Under 3.0 1.72
Under 3.25 1.57
Under 3.5 1.46
Under 3.75 1.34
Under 4.5 1.17
Under 5.5 1.04

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 14 4 2 40:15 25 46
W W D L W
2 20 11 6 3 48:38 10 39
D L D W W
3 19 11 2 6 36:25 11 35
W W W L L
4 20 10 3 7 32:25 7 33
W L L D W
5 20 8 6 6 48:46 2 30
W D W L W
6 20 8 5 7 35:31 4 29
D W L W D
7 20 7 5 8 34:29 5 26
L L D W W
8 20 7 4 9 30:42 -12 25
L L W L L
9 20 5 9 6 27:33 -6 24
L D D W D
10 20 6 3 11 32:50 -18 21
L D L W W
11 20 4 9 7 29:36 -7 21
D W D L D
12 20 5 5 10 28:33 -5 20
L L D W L
13 20 5 5 10 30:37 -7 20
D W W W W
14 20 5 5 10 27:37 -10 20
W D D L L
15 20 5 3 12 23:35 -12 18
W W L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Charlotte 3 missing
-
H. Toffolo
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
A. John
Missing Fixture Upper-Body Injury
OUT
-
N. Berchimas
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
DC United 3 missing
-
K. Rowles
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
Peglow
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
G. Segal
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT