🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
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Bank of America Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
68.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Charlotte Win 74%
Draw 6.9%
Columbus Crew Win 19.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Charlotte1.55
Columbus Crew1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Charlotte Charlotte
WWDLW
35 GF / 30 GA
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
WLDWL
31 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.59
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.48
14
BTTS Yes
15
14
Over 2.5
13
4.67
Shots on Goal
3.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Charlotte Charlotte 22 matches
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 21 matches
Charlotte Statistic Columbus Crew
10 Wins 6
4 Draws 6
8 Losses 9
35 Goals For 31
30 Goals Against 31
1.59 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.48
14 BTTS Yes 15
16 Over 1.5 18
14 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 4
4.67 Shots On Goal 3.94
11.39 Total Shots 10.94
4.56 Corners 4.89
47% Ball Possession 54%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Charlotte's more proactive style and Columbus Crew's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Columbus Crew. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Charlotte expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Columbus Crew in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Columbus Crew having the stronger overall control.

Charlotte Analysis

Charlotte are currently 7 in the standings with 25 points from 18 matches. The record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 29:27 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Pep Biel (4 goals), Idan Toklomati (3 goals), Kerwin Calderón Vargas (2 goals), with creative support from Kerwin Calderón Vargas (4 assists), Pep Biel (3 assists), Ashley Westwood (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Columbus Crew Analysis

Columbus Crew sit 11 with 20 points after 18 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, while the 26:28 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Diego Rossi (4 goals), Maximilian Arfsten (3 goals), Dániel Gazdag (3 goals), with creative support from Maximilian Arfsten (2 assists), Hugo Picard (2 assists), Mohamed Farsi (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Charlotte won 3 times, Columbus Crew won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:14 from Charlotte's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.1%)
Predicted formations: Charlotte 4-3-3 / Columbus Crew 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Charlotte wins 3, draws 3, Columbus Crew wins 2
Last matches: Charlotte
02.08.26
Maj
Charlotte
Chicago Fire
1
2
L
25.07.26
Maj
Charlotte
New York Red Bulls
2
0
W
23.07.26
Maj
Charlotte
Atlanta United FC
2
2
D
23.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
New England Revolution
1
0
W
16.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
Toronto FC
3
1
W
13.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
New York City FC
0
1
L
09.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
FC Cincinnati
2
2
D
02.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
New England Revolution
0
1
L
26.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Nashville SC
2
4
L
22.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Orlando City SC
1
4
L
18.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
New York City FC
2
1
W
11.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Nashville SC
1
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
21.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
New York Red Bulls
6
1
W
14.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
Inter Miami
0
0
D
08.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
Austin
3
1
W
01.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
3
L
21.02.26
Maj
Charlotte
St. Louis City
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Charlotte
Minnesota United FC
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Charlotte
San Jose Earthquakes
0
1
L
Last matches: Columbus Crew
01.08.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Inter Miami
2
2
D
25.07.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
2
1
W
22.07.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
1
2
L
12.07.26
Fri
Columbus Crew
Burnley
1
1
D
24.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
16.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New York Red Bulls
2
3
L
10.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
0
3
L
02.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
2
3
L
25.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
2
0
W
22.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
1
W
18.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
1
2
L
12.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Orlando City SC
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
3
1
W
21.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Toronto FC
1
2
L
14.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
0
1
L
08.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
0
0
D
01.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Sporting Kansas City
2
2
D
22.02.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Portland Timbers
2
3
L
11.02.26
Fri
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
0
1
L
H2H: Charlotte vs Columbus Crew
24.05.25
H2H
Charlotte
Columbus Crew
3
2
W
03.05.25
H2H
Columbus Crew
Charlotte
4
2
L
17.07.24
H2H
Columbus Crew
Charlotte
1
1
D
23.03.24
H2H
Charlotte
Columbus Crew
2
0
W
03.06.23
H2H
Columbus Crew
Charlotte
4
2
L
22.04.23
H2H
Charlotte
Columbus Crew
1
0
W
05.10.22
H2H
Charlotte
Columbus Crew
2
2
D
18.06.22
H2H
Columbus Crew
Charlotte
1
1
D
Last matches: Charlotte
23.07.26
Maj
Charlotte
Atlanta United FC
2
2
D
23.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
New England Revolution
1
0
W
16.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
Toronto FC
3
1
W
13.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
New York City FC
0
1
L
09.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
FC Cincinnati
2
2
D
11.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Nashville SC
1
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
21.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
New York Red Bulls
6
1
W
14.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
Inter Miami
0
0
D
08.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
Austin
3
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
Charlotte
Minnesota United FC
2
1
W
23.01.26
Fri
Charlotte
Charleston Battery
3
1
W
H2H at home: Charlotte
24.05.25
H2H
Charlotte
Columbus Crew
3
2
W
23.03.24
H2H
Charlotte
Columbus Crew
2
0
W
22.04.23
H2H
Charlotte
Columbus Crew
1
0
W
05.10.22
H2H
Charlotte
Columbus Crew
2
2
D
Last matches: Columbus Crew
01.08.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Inter Miami
2
2
D
16.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New York Red Bulls
2
3
L
10.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
0
3
L
18.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
1
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
3
1
W
21.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Toronto FC
1
2
L
01.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Sporting Kansas City
2
2
D
22.02.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Portland Timbers
2
3
L
11.02.26
Fri
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
Columbus Crew
Colorado Rapids
4
1
W
H2H away: Columbus Crew
24.05.25
H2H
Charlotte
Columbus Crew
3
2
L
23.03.24
H2H
Charlotte
Columbus Crew
2
0
L
22.04.23
H2H
Charlotte
Columbus Crew
1
0
L
05.10.22
H2H
Charlotte
Columbus Crew
2
2
D

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 12 4 2 35:14 21 40
D L W W W
2 18 11 5 2 45:32 13 38
D W W W W
3 17 9 3 5 28:21 7 30
D W D L W
4 17 9 2 6 32:23 9 29
W L L W W
5 18 7 5 6 31:24 7 26
D W W L D
6 18 7 5 6 45:44 1 26
W L W W D
7 18 7 4 7 29:27 2 25
L W D W W
8 18 7 4 7 29:39 -10 25
W L L W D
9 18 5 8 5 26:29 -3 23
D W D D D
10 18 6 2 10 30:47 -17 20
L W W L D
11 18 5 5 8 26:28 -2 20
D W L W D
12 18 3 8 7 24:32 -8 17
D L D D L
13 18 4 4 10 25:33 -8 16
W W W L D
14 18 4 4 10 24:35 -11 16
D L L D D
15 18 3 3 12 19:33 -14 12
L L D L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)