Charlotte vs Columbus Crew Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
74%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
68.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Charlotte
Columbus Crew
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Charlotte
22 matches
Columbus Crew
21 matches
| Charlotte | Statistic | Columbus Crew |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 6 |
| 4 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 9 |
| 35 | Goals For | 31 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.48 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.48 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.67 | Shots On Goal | 3.94 |
| 11.44 | Total Shots | 10.94 |
| 4.56 | Corners | 4.89 |
| 47% | Ball Possession | 54% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Charlotte's more proactive style and Columbus Crew's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Columbus Crew. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Charlotte expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Columbus Crew in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Columbus Crew having the stronger overall control.
Charlotte are currently 7 in the standings with 25 points from 18 matches. The record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 29:27 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Pep Biel (4 goals), Idan Toklomati (3 goals), Kerwin Calderón Vargas (2 goals), with creative support from Kerwin Calderón Vargas (4 assists), Pep Biel (3 assists), Ashley Westwood (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Columbus Crew sit 11 with 20 points after 18 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, while the 26:28 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Diego Rossi (4 goals), Maximilian Arfsten (3 goals), Dániel Gazdag (3 goals), with creative support from Maximilian Arfsten (2 assists), Hugo Picard (2 assists), Mohamed Farsi (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Charlotte won 4 times, Columbus Crew won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:15 from Charlotte's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.56 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 53:21 | 32 | 57 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 45:33 | 12 | 46 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 61:46 | 15 | 45 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 |
Charlotte
Home
|
26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 47:37 | 10 | 43 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | 7 | 39 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 50:42 | 8 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 46:60 | -14 | 34 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:48 | -14 | 33 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 54:61 | -7 | 33 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 39:34 | 5 | 32 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 31:39 | -8 | 29 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 39:49 | -10 | 29 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 |
Columbus Crew
Away
|
26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 26 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 14 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 26 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 31:53 | -22 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
L
|