ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
23.08.2026 18:00
Estadio de Chacarita Juniors
Chacarita Juniors
Match Timeline
San Martin Tucuman
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
M. Melendez · Assist: A. Dominguez
Chacarita Juniors
🟨
12'
S. Brinone
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
20'
F. Facello ↔ A. Maldonado
Chacarita Juniors
🟨
24'
A. Galvan
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
46'
S. Brinone ↔ M. Veron
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
68'
M. Melendez ↔ F. Cristaldo
Chacarita Juniors
🔄
71'
L. Rodriguez ↔ M. Garcia
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
71'
G. Carabajal ↔ M. Garcia
San Martin Tucuman
71'
L. Arfaras · Assist: M. Veron
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
74'
N. Chaves ↔ B. Calderara
Chacarita Juniors
🔄
74'
M. Sanabria ↔ L. Brun
Chacarita Juniors
79'
L. Arfaras · Assist: M. Garcia
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
83'
L. Arfaras ↔ A. Cisnero
San Martin Tucuman
🟨
90+1'
B. Cabrera
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
90+2'
A. Veliez ↔ G. Rodriguez
San Martin Tucuman

Chacarita Juniors vs San Martin Tucuman Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.6%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Chacarita Juniors Win 54.6%
Draw 5.3%
San Martin Tucuman Win 40.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chacarita Juniors0.77
San Martin Tucuman0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors
WWDLW
18 GF / 26 GA
San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman
WLDWL
25 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.72
Average Goals Scored
0.93
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
7
BTTS Yes
11
5
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 25 matches
San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 27 matches
Chacarita Juniors Statistic San Martin Tucuman
7 Wins 7
6 Draws 13
12 Losses 7
18 Goals For 25
26 Goals Against 23
0.72 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
7 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 18
5 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 11
13 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between San Martin Tucuman's more proactive style and Chacarita Juniors's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Martin Tucuman having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors San Martin Tucuman.

Chacarita Juniors Analysis

With 26 points from 23 games and a place of 15, Chacarita Juniors still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 18:24 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

San Martin Tucuman Analysis

San Martin Tucuman sit 9 with 31 points after 24 league matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 10 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 22:20 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Chacarita Juniors won 5 times, San Martin Tucuman won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:9 from Chacarita Juniors's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.82 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
H2H summary: Chacarita Juniors wins 5, draws 3, San Martin Tucuman wins 3

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 14 11 4 31:15 16 53
D D W L W
2 30 14 11 5 36:24 12 53
W D W W W
3 30 15 8 7 45:36 9 53
D W W D D
4 29 15 3 11 34:28 6 48
W W L L W
5 30 13 8 9 34:25 9 47
W W L L W
6 30 12 9 9 33:27 6 45
W D L W W
7 30 12 9 9 31:27 4 45
L D W W L
8 30 11 9 10 25:26 -1 42
W L L W D
9 30 11 8 11 37:31 6 41
D D D L W
10 30 11 7 12 29:30 -1 40
L W L W W
11 30 9 12 9 32:30 2 39
L W L D W
12 30 9 9 12 26:34 -8 36
W L W D L
13 30 9 8 13 28:27 1 35
L W L L L
14 30 9 8 13 26:36 -10 35
L D L W D
15 29 8 8 13 21:28 -7 32
L W L L L
16 29 5 15 9 23:30 -7 30
D D L W D
17 30 8 6 16 22:31 -9 30
W L L L L
18 30 5 8 17 23:51 -28 23
L L L D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation