BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
CFRJ / Maricá
Match Timeline
XV de Piracicaba
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
David Ribeiro
XV de Piracicaba
52'
Isael
CFRJ / Maricá
72'
G. Kuhn
XV de Piracicaba

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 76.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
76.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
CFRJ / Maricá Win 32.3%
Draw 23.1%
XV de Piracicaba Win 44.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
CFRJ / Maricá0.83
XV de Piracicaba1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
CFRJ / Maricá CFRJ / Maricá
WWDLW
5 GF / 8 GA
XV de Piracicaba XV de Piracicaba
WLDWL
10 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
2
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CFRJ / Maricá CFRJ / Maricá 6 matches
XV de Piracicaba XV de Piracicaba 6 matches
CFRJ / Maricá Statistic XV de Piracicaba
2 Wins 3
1 Draws 3
3 Losses 0
5 Goals For 10
8 Goals Against 5
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
2 BTTS Yes 4
3 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around XV de Piracicaba's more proactive style and CFRJ / Maricá's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward XV de Piracicaba. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward XV de Piracicaba having the stronger overall control. CFRJ / Maricá have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. XV de Piracicaba carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 12 points while CFRJ / Maricá sit 5 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

CFRJ / Maricá Analysis

CFRJ / Maricá sit 5 with 7 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 5:8, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Lucas Sibito (2 goals), Pablo Thomaz (2 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

XV de Piracicaba Analysis

XV de Piracicaba come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 12 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 10:5 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Antonio Gabriel (2 goals), David Ribeiro (2 goals), Henry (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, CFRJ / Maricá won 0 times, XV de Piracicaba won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from CFRJ / Maricá's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.9%)
H2H summary: CFRJ / Maricá wins 0, draws 0, XV de Piracicaba wins 2
Last matches: CFRJ / Maricá
07.06.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Velo Clube
1
3
L
30.05.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Noroeste
0
3
L
02.05.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Noroeste
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
XV de Piracicaba
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2
2
D
12.04.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Velo Clube
2
1
W
09.08.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Aparecidense
2
2
D
02.08.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Aparecidense
1
2
L
26.07.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Rio Branco ES
0
3
L
19.07.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Portuguesa
0
1
L
12.07.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
3
1
W
05.07.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Boavista SC
1
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Pouso Alegre
1
1
D
14.06.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Porto Vitória
0
0
D
07.06.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Água Santa
0
1
L
31.05.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Água Santa
1
1
D
24.05.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Porto Vitória
2
1
W
Last matches: XV de Piracicaba
11.07.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
Cianorte
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
Cianorte
0
4
L
27.06.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
América RJ
2
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
América RJ
1
1
D
07.06.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
Nova Iguaçu
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
Noroeste
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
Velo Clube
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
CFRJ / Maricá
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
Velo Clube
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
Noroeste
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
Nova Iguaçu
4
1
W
H2H: CFRJ / Maricá vs XV de Piracicaba
16.05.26
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
XV de Piracicaba
1
2
L
25.04.26
H2H
XV de Piracicaba
CFRJ / Maricá
1
0
L
Last matches: CFRJ / Maricá
30.05.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Noroeste
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Velo Clube
2
1
W
02.08.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Aparecidense
1
2
L
19.07.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Portuguesa
0
1
L
05.07.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Boavista SC
1
0
W
07.06.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Água Santa
0
1
L
24.05.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Porto Vitória
2
1
W
17.05.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Pouso Alegre
1
0
W
03.05.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
1
1
D
19.04.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Rio Branco ES
2
0
W
H2H at home: CFRJ / Maricá
16.05.26
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
XV de Piracicaba
1
2
L
Last matches: XV de Piracicaba
04.07.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
Cianorte
0
4
L
20.06.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
América RJ
1
1
D
07.06.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
Nova Iguaçu
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
Velo Clube
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
Noroeste
2
2
D
H2H away: XV de Piracicaba
16.05.26
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
XV de Piracicaba
1
2
W

Standings

Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)