BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
CFRJ / Maricá
Match Timeline
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
Pablo Thomaz
CFRJ / Maricá
15'
Lucas Marreta
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
70'
Ewerton Potiguar
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
75'
Victor Pereira
CFRJ / Maricá

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 56.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 68%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
56.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
68%
-
Probability Distribution
CFRJ / Maricá Win 66.9%
Draw 0%
Sampaio Corrêa RJ Win 33.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
CFRJ / Maricá1.3
Sampaio Corrêa RJ0.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
CFRJ / Maricá CFRJ / Maricá
WWDLW
3 GF / 1 GA
Sampaio Corrêa RJ Sampaio Corrêa RJ
WLDWL
1 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
0.5
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
0
1
Over 2.5
0
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CFRJ / Maricá CFRJ / Maricá 2 matches
Sampaio Corrêa RJ Sampaio Corrêa RJ 2 matches
CFRJ / Maricá Statistic Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2 Wins 1
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 1
3 Goals For 1
1 Goals Against 2
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1
1 BTTS Yes 0
1 Over 1.5 1
1 Over 2.5 0
0 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by CFRJ / Maricá's more proactive style and Sampaio Corrêa RJ's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sampaio Corrêa RJ having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. CFRJ / Maricá arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 6 points compared to Sampaio Corrêa RJ in 4 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sampaio Corrêa RJ.

CFRJ / Maricá Analysis

CFRJ / Maricá arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 6 points after 2 matches. The record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 3:1 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Lucas Sibito (2 goals), Pablo Thomaz (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Sampaio Corrêa RJ Analysis

Sampaio Corrêa RJ come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 3 points from 2 matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 1:2 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by O. Cruz Manhaes (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, CFRJ / Maricá won 3 times, Sampaio Corrêa RJ won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:19 from CFRJ / Maricá's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: CFRJ / Maricá wins 3, draws 4, Sampaio Corrêa RJ wins 6
Last matches: CFRJ / Maricá
07.06.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Velo Clube
1
3
L
30.05.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
XV de Piracicaba
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Noroeste
0
3
L
02.05.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Noroeste
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
XV de Piracicaba
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Velo Clube
2
1
W
09.08.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Aparecidense
2
2
D
02.08.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Aparecidense
1
2
L
26.07.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Rio Branco ES
0
3
L
19.07.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Portuguesa
0
1
L
12.07.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
3
1
W
05.07.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Boavista SC
1
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Pouso Alegre
1
1
D
14.06.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Porto Vitória
0
0
D
07.06.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Água Santa
0
1
L
31.05.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Água Santa
1
1
D
24.05.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Porto Vitória
2
1
W
Last matches: Sampaio Corrêa RJ
27.06.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Portuguesa
0
1
L
20.06.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Portuguesa
1
1
D
07.06.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Noroeste
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Velo Clube
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
CFRJ / Maricá
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Nova Iguaçu
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
XV de Piracicaba
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
XV de Piracicaba
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Velo Clube
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Noroeste
1
0
W
H2H: CFRJ / Maricá vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ
23.05.26
H2H
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
CFRJ / Maricá
1
1
D
18.04.26
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2
2
D
26.02.26
H2H
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
CFRJ / Maricá
2
1
L
12.02.26
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
0
4
L
27.01.26
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
0
1
L
26.01.25
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2
2
D
28.05.23
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
0
W
30.04.22
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
2
L
26.06.21
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
0
W
09.12.20
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
2
L
05.12.20
H2H
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
CFRJ / Maricá
0
0
D
28.11.20
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2
1
W
25.11.20
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
0
2
L
Last matches: CFRJ / Maricá
30.05.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
XV de Piracicaba
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Noroeste
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Velo Clube
2
1
W
02.08.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Aparecidense
1
2
L
19.07.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Portuguesa
0
1
L
05.07.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Boavista SC
1
0
W
07.06.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Água Santa
0
1
L
24.05.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Porto Vitória
2
1
W
17.05.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Pouso Alegre
1
0
W
03.05.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
1
1
D
19.04.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Rio Branco ES
2
0
W
H2H at home: CFRJ / Maricá
18.04.26
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2
2
D
12.02.26
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
0
4
L
27.01.26
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
0
1
L
26.01.25
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2
2
D
28.05.23
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
0
W
30.04.22
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
2
L
26.06.21
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
0
W
09.12.20
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
2
L
28.11.20
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2
1
W
25.11.20
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
0
2
L
Last matches: Sampaio Corrêa RJ
27.06.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Portuguesa
0
1
L
07.06.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Noroeste
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Nova Iguaçu
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
XV de Piracicaba
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Velo Clube
0
2
L
H2H away: Sampaio Corrêa RJ
18.04.26
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2
2
D
12.02.26
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
0
4
W
27.01.26
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
0
1
W
26.01.25
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2
2
D
28.05.23
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
0
L
30.04.22
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
2
W
26.06.21
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
0
L
09.12.20
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
2
W
28.11.20
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2
1
L
25.11.20
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
0
2
W