BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
CFRJ / Maricá
Match Timeline
Noroeste
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
Pedro Felipe
Noroeste
22'
Thiago Lopes
Noroeste
73'
Marlyson
Noroeste

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
CFRJ / Maricá Win 85.4%
Draw 14.6%
Noroeste Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
CFRJ / Maricá1
Noroeste0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
CFRJ / Maricá CFRJ / Maricá
WWDLW
5 GF / 5 GA
Noroeste Noroeste
WLDWL
4 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.8
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CFRJ / Maricá CFRJ / Maricá 5 matches
Noroeste Noroeste 5 matches
CFRJ / Maricá Statistic Noroeste
2 Wins 1
1 Draws 2
2 Losses 2
5 Goals For 4
5 Goals Against 5
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
2 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 2
2 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Noroeste. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Noroeste having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

CFRJ / Maricá Analysis

Placed 4 with 7 points from 5 outings, CFRJ / Maricá continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 5:5 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Lucas Sibito (2 goals), Pablo Thomaz (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Noroeste Analysis

Noroeste come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 5 points from 5 matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 4:5 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Marlyson (3 goals), A. Caua (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, CFRJ / Maricá won 0 times, Noroeste won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:4 from CFRJ / Maricá's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
H2H summary: CFRJ / Maricá wins 0, draws 0, Noroeste wins 2
Last matches: CFRJ / Maricá
07.06.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Velo Clube
1
3
L
30.05.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
XV de Piracicaba
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Noroeste
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
XV de Piracicaba
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2
2
D
12.04.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Velo Clube
2
1
W
09.08.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Aparecidense
2
2
D
02.08.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Aparecidense
1
2
L
26.07.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Rio Branco ES
0
3
L
19.07.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Portuguesa
0
1
L
12.07.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
3
1
W
05.07.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Boavista SC
1
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Pouso Alegre
1
1
D
14.06.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Porto Vitória
0
0
D
07.06.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Água Santa
0
1
L
31.05.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Água Santa
1
1
D
24.05.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Porto Vitória
2
1
W
Last matches: Noroeste
28.06.26
Ser
Noroeste
Portuguesa RJ
1
3
L
21.06.26
Ser
Noroeste
Portuguesa RJ
1
1
D
07.06.26
Ser
Noroeste
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Noroeste
XV de Piracicaba
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Noroeste
Nova Iguaçu
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Noroeste
Velo Clube
3
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Noroeste
CFRJ / Maricá
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Noroeste
Velo Clube
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Noroeste
Nova Iguaçu
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Noroeste
XV de Piracicaba
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ser
Noroeste
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
0
1
L
H2H: CFRJ / Maricá vs Noroeste
09.05.26
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Noroeste
0
3
L
02.05.26
H2H
Noroeste
CFRJ / Maricá
1
0
L
Last matches: CFRJ / Maricá
30.05.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
XV de Piracicaba
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Velo Clube
2
1
W
02.08.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Aparecidense
1
2
L
19.07.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Portuguesa
0
1
L
05.07.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Boavista SC
1
0
W
07.06.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Água Santa
0
1
L
24.05.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Porto Vitória
2
1
W
17.05.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Pouso Alegre
1
0
W
03.05.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Nova Iguaçu
1
1
D
19.04.25
Ser
CFRJ / Maricá
Rio Branco ES
2
0
W
H2H at home: CFRJ / Maricá
09.05.26
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Noroeste
0
3
L
Last matches: Noroeste
21.06.26
Ser
Noroeste
Portuguesa RJ
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Noroeste
XV de Piracicaba
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Noroeste
Nova Iguaçu
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Noroeste
Velo Clube
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Noroeste
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
0
1
L
H2H away: Noroeste
09.05.26
H2H
CFRJ / Maricá
Noroeste
0
3
W

Standings

Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)