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MEXICO › LIGA MX
29.08.2026 23:00
Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Referee: Victor Alfonso Caceres Hernandez, Mexico
CF Pachuca
Match Timeline
Guadalajara Chivas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
R. Alvarado · Assist: H. Camberos
Guadalajara Chivas
🟨
25'
Oussama Idrissi
CF Pachuca
🟨
32'
Francisco Venegas
CF Pachuca
🔄
51'
E. Alvarez ↔ B. Gutierrez
Guadalajara Chivas
🟨
53'
Carlos Sánchez
CF Pachuca
🔄
57'
A. Bautista ↔ R. Pizarro
CF Pachuca
🔄
59'
S. Sandoval ↔ R. Ledezma
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
59'
H. Camberos ↔ J. Carrillo
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
65'
E. Montiel ↔ A. Arroyo
CF Pachuca
🔄
65'
O. Idrissi ↔ N. Vallejo
CF Pachuca
VAR
74'
Nicolás Vallejo
CF Pachuca
⚽
79'
S. Rondon
CF Pachuca
🔄
84'
O. Govea ↔ K. Castaneda
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
84'
R. Marin ↔ A. Sepulveda
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
87'
Kenedy ↔ A. Alcaraz
CF Pachuca
🟨
90'
Andrés Arroyo
CF Pachuca

CF Pachuca vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
CF Pachuca Win 57.6%
Draw 5.7%
Guadalajara Chivas Win 36.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
CF Pachuca1.25
Guadalajara Chivas1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca
D L L L W
7 GF / 7 GA
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
W W D W L
8 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.63
4
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
1
3
Shots on Goal
6.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 6 matches
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 8 matches
CF Pachuca Statistic Guadalajara Chivas
2 Wins 4
1 Draws 3
3 Losses 1
10 Goals For 9
8 Goals Against 5
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.63
4 BTTS Yes 2
5 Over 1.5 3
4 Over 2.5 1
2 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 3
3 Shots On Goal 6.8
13.8 Total Shots 16.8
4 Corners 9.2
45.6% Ball Possession 60.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CF Pachuca won 2 times, Guadalajara Chivas won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:18 from CF Pachuca's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: CF Pachuca 4-3-3 / Guadalajara Chivas 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: CF Pachuca wins 2, draws 6, Guadalajara Chivas wins 7

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 3 1 32:16 16 27
W W D W D
2 13 6 5 2 20:12 8 23
W D D L D
3 13 7 2 4 29:22 7 23
W W D D L
4 13 6 4 3 28:18 10 22
D D L D L
6 13 6 3 4 21:23 -2 21
L W D W D
7 12 6 2 4 23:17 6 20
W W D L W
8 12 6 2 4 16:15 1 20
L L W W D
9 13 6 1 6 19:16 3 19
W W W W W
10 12 4 5 3 17:16 1 17
D D D L D
11 13 4 4 5 19:22 -3 16
L W D L D
12 13 4 4 5 18:22 -4 16
W D L W W
13 13 4 4 5 13:17 -4 16
L D D L D
14 13 3 5 5 14:18 -4 14
L D W W L
15 13 3 5 5 14:19 -5 14
W L L W D
16 13 3 4 6 20:18 2 13
L L D L D
17 13 2 3 8 15:26 -11 9
L L D L L
18 13 1 1 11 8:32 -24 4
L L D L W
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)