MEXICO LIGA MX
29.08.2026 23:00
Estadio Hidalgo
Referee: Victor Alfonso Caceres Hernandez
CF Pachuca
Match Timeline
Guadalajara Chivas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
Roberto Alvarado · Assist: Hugo Camberos
Guadalajara Chivas
🟨
25'
Oussama Idrissi
CF Pachuca
🟨
32'
Francisco Venegas
CF Pachuca
🔄
51'
Efrain Alvarez ↔ Brian Gutierrez
Guadalajara Chivas
🟨
53'
Carlos Sánchez
CF Pachuca
🔄
57'
Alan Bautista ↔ Rodolfo Pizarro
CF Pachuca
🔄
59'
Santiago Sandoval ↔ Richard Ledezma
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
59'
Hugo Camberos ↔ Jordan Carrillo
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
65'
Oussama Idrissi ↔ Javier Vallejo
CF Pachuca
🔄
65'
Elías Montiel ↔ Andrés Arroyo
CF Pachuca
VAR
74'
Javier Vallejo
CF Pachuca
79'
Salomón Rondón
CF Pachuca
🔄
84'
Omar Govea ↔ Kevin Castañeda
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
84'
Ricardo Marín ↔ Ángel Sepúlveda
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
87'
Robert Nunes ↔ Adrián Alcaraz
CF Pachuca
🟨
90'
Andrés Arroyo
CF Pachuca

CF Pachuca vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.6%
Odds 3.38
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.81
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.6%
3.38
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
1.81
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.26
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
CF Pachuca Win 57.6%
Draw 5.7%
Guadalajara Chivas Win 36.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
CF Pachuca1.25
Guadalajara Chivas1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca
WWDLW
10 GF / 8 GA
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
WLDWL
9 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.63
4
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
1
3
Shots on Goal
6.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 6 matches
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 8 matches
CF Pachuca Statistic Guadalajara Chivas
2 Wins 4
1 Draws 3
3 Losses 1
10 Goals For 9
8 Goals Against 5
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.63
4 BTTS Yes 2
5 Over 1.5 3
4 Over 2.5 1
2 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 3
3 Shots On Goal 6.8
13.8 Total Shots 16.8
4 Corners 9.2
45.4% Ball Possession 60.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CF Pachuca won 2 times, Guadalajara Chivas won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:18 from CF Pachuca's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: CF Pachuca 4-3-3 / Guadalajara Chivas 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: CF Pachuca wins 2, draws 6, Guadalajara Chivas wins 7

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 15:6 9 17
W W D W W
2 7 5 1 1 17:6 11 16
W W W D W
3 7 5 1 1 15:6 9 16
L W W W W
4 8 5 0 3 16:14 2 15
W W W L L
5 7 4 1 2 10:7 3 13
W W L D W
6 8 4 1 3 11:9 2 13
W L D W W
7 7 4 1 2 10:8 2 13
L W L W D
8 7 4 1 2 10:9 1 13
W L W W D
9 8 4 1 3 12:14 -2 13
L D L W W
10 8 3 2 3 13:8 5 11
W W D D L
11 8 3 2 3 11:12 -1 11
L W L D D
12 7 3 1 3 13:10 3 10
D L L W W
13 8 2 2 4 9:13 -4 8
L D L D L
14 8 1 4 3 9:11 -2 7
D D D W L
15 8 1 4 3 7:12 -5 7
L D D L D
16 8 1 3 4 8:15 -7 6
L L W D L
17 8 1 1 6 6:13 -7 4
W L D L L
18 8 0 0 8 4:23 -19 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)