🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Saputo Stadium
Referee: A. Da Silva
CF Montreal
Match Timeline
Inter Miami
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
I. Fray
Inter Miami
🔄
59'
S. Reguilon ↔ N. Allen
Inter Miami
🔄
61'
S. Piette ↔ D. Pereira
CF Montreal
🔄
62'
D. Rios ↔ N. Streit
CF Montreal
🔄
80'
M. Longstaff ↔ F. Herbers
CF Montreal
🔄
80'
G. Berterame ↔ P. Plambeck
Inter Miami
81'
L. Suarez
Inter Miami
🟨
84'
T. Segovia
Inter Miami
🔄
90+6'
V. Loturi ↔ O. Escobar
CF Montreal
🔄
90+8'
Y. Bright ↔ D. Ruiz
Inter Miami
🔄
90+11'
E. Morales ↔ B. Craig
CF Montreal

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69.8%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
CF Montreal Win 27%
Draw 3.2%
Inter Miami Win 69.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
CF Montreal1.6
Inter Miami2.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
CF Montreal CF Montreal
WWDLW
32 GF / 43 GA
Inter Miami Inter Miami
WLDWL
49 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.52
Average Goals Scored
2.23
2.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.73
11
BTTS Yes
16
15
Over 2.5
16
4.63
Shots on Goal
6.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CF Montreal CF Montreal 21 matches
Inter Miami Inter Miami 22 matches
CF Montreal Statistic Inter Miami
6 Wins 12
3 Draws 7
12 Losses 3
32 Goals For 49
43 Goals Against 38
1.52 Avg Goals Scored 2.23
2.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.73
11 BTTS Yes 16
18 Over 1.5 20
15 Over 2.5 16
9 Over 3.5 11
4 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 4
4.63 Shots On Goal 6.56
13.25 Total Shots 15.44
5.19 Corners 5.72
47.9% Ball Possession 57.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Inter Miami's more proactive style and CF Montreal's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Inter Miami carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 31 points while CF Montreal sit 11 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Inter Miami look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Inter Miami. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

CF Montreal Analysis

So far, CF Montreal have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 15 points from 15 matches. The record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 22:31 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Prince Owusu (5 goals), Matthew Longstaff (2 goals), Daniel Rios (2 goals), with creative support from Prince Owusu (5 assists), Matthew Longstaff (3 assists), Victor Loturi (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Inter Miami Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 31 points from 15 games, Inter Miami bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 39:28, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Lionel Messi (8 goals), Germán Berterame (7 goals), Luis Suárez (5 goals), with creative support from Lionel Messi (7 assists), Rodrigo De Paul (4 assists), Mateo Silvetti (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, CF Montreal won 7 times, Inter Miami won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:23 from CF Montreal's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.21 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.8%)
Predicted formations: CF Montreal 4-3-3 / Inter Miami 4-3-3
Missing players: CF Montreal 3, Inter Miami 6
H2H summary: CF Montreal wins 7, draws 1, Inter Miami wins 6
Stats
CF Montreal CF Montreal
Inter Miami Inter Miami
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
9
5 Corner Kicks 6
7 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 1
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 9
0 Blocked Shots 9
6 Shots insidebox 11
2 Shots outsidebox 9
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
389 Total passes 526
323 Passes accurate 459
2.07 expected_goals 1.72
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

CF Montreal
Formation
Inter Miami
Sebastian Breza
Sebastian Breza
Dawid Bugaj
Dawid Bugaj
Efraín Morales
Efraín Morales
Brayan Vera
Brayan Vera
Luca Petrasso
Luca Petrasso
Matthew Longstaff
Matthew Longstaff
Samuel Piette
Samuel Piette
Victor Loturi
Victor Loturi
Hennadii Synchuk
Hennadii Synchuk
Prince Owusu
Prince Owusu
Daniel Rios
Daniel Rios
Rocco Ríos Novo
Rocco Ríos Novo
Facundo Mura
Facundo Mura
Ian Fray
Ian Fray
Micael
Micael
Sergio Reguilón
Sergio Reguilón
Yannick Bright
Yannick Bright
Casemiro
Casemiro
Telasco Segovia
Telasco Segovia
Mateo Silvetti
Mateo Silvetti
Germán Berterame
Germán Berterame
Luis Suárez
Luis Suárez
CF Montreal 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Sebastian Breza
G
27
Dawid Bugaj
D
24
Efraín Morales
↓ 90+11'
D
4
Brayan Vera
D
13
Luca Petrasso
D
8
Matthew Longstaff
↓ 80'
M
6
Samuel Piette
↓ 61'
M
22
Victor Loturi
↓ 90+6'
M
18
Hennadii Synchuk
F
9
Prince Owusu
F
14
Daniel Rios
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
7
Daniel Pereira
↑ 61'
M
23
Noah Streit
M
21
Fabian Herbers
↑ 80'
F
5
Brandan Craig
↑ 90+11'
D
29
Olger Escobar
↑ 90+6'
F
41
Samsy Keita
G
2
Jalen Neal
D
26
Ivan Losenko
M
Inter Miami 4-4-2
Starting XI
34
Rocco Ríos Novo
G
4
Facundo Mura
D
17
Ian Fray
🟨 23'
D
16
Micael
D
3
Sergio Reguilón
↓ 59'
D
42
Yannick Bright
↓ 90+8'
M
5
Casemiro
M
8
Telasco Segovia
🟨 84'
M
24
Mateo Silvetti
M
19
Germán Berterame
↓ 80'
F
9
Luis Suárez
⚽ 81'
F
Substitutes
32
Noah Allen
↑ 59'
D
59
Preston Plambeck
↑ 80'
M
41
David Ruíz
↑ 90+8'
M
97
Dayne St. Clair
G
76
Ezequiel Abadia-Reda
D
70
Daniel Sumalla
D
55
Ian Urkidi
M
52
Diego Rey
F
56
Daniel Pinter
F
Last matches: CF Montreal
01.08.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New England Revolution
2
2
D
23.07.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Nashville SC
0
1
L
16.07.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Toronto FC
0
0
D
23.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
DC United
4
4
D
16.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
0
2
L
13.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
2
2
D
09.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
2
0
W
02.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Atlanta United FC
1
3
L
25.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New York City FC
1
0
W
18.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
4
1
W
11.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
1
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New England Revolution
0
3
L
22.03.26
Maj
CF Montreal
FC Cincinnati
3
4
L
14.03.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
1
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
3
0
W
28.02.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
0
3
L
22.02.26
Maj
CF Montreal
San Diego
0
5
L
14.02.26
Fri
CF Montreal
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0
2
L
10.02.26
Fri
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
4
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
CF Montreal
New England Revolution
2
1
W
Last matches: Inter Miami
01.08.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Columbus Crew
2
2
D
22.07.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
3
2
W
24.05.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
6
4
W
17.05.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
13.05.26
Maj
Inter Miami
FC Cincinnati
5
3
W
09.05.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Toronto FC
4
2
W
02.05.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Orlando City SC
3
4
L
25.04.26
Maj
Inter Miami
New England Revolution
1
1
D
23.04.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Real Salt Lake
2
0
W
18.04.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Colorado Rapids
3
2
W
11.04.26
Maj
Inter Miami
New York Red Bulls
2
2
D
04.04.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Austin
2
2
D
22.03.26
Maj
Inter Miami
New York City FC
3
2
W
18.03.26
CON
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
1
1
D
14.03.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Charlotte
0
0
D
11.03.26
CON
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
0
0
D
07.03.26
Maj
Inter Miami
DC United
2
1
W
02.03.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Orlando City SC
4
2
W
27.02.26
Fri
Inter Miami
Independiente del Valle
2
1
W
22.02.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Los Angeles FC
0
3
L
H2H: CF Montreal vs Inter Miami
25.07.26
H2H
CF Montreal
Inter Miami
0
1
L
05.07.25
H2H
CF Montreal
Inter Miami
1
4
L
28.05.25
H2H
Inter Miami
CF Montreal
4
2
L
11.05.24
H2H
CF Montreal
Inter Miami
2
3
L
10.03.24
H2H
Inter Miami
CF Montreal
2
3
W
27.05.23
H2H
CF Montreal
Inter Miami
1
0
W
26.02.23
H2H
Inter Miami
CF Montreal
2
0
L
16.02.23
H2H
Inter Miami
CF Montreal
1
2
W
09.10.22
H2H
Inter Miami
CF Montreal
1
3
W
06.08.22
H2H
CF Montreal
Inter Miami
2
2
D
01.08.21
H2H
Inter Miami
CF Montreal
2
1
L
03.07.21
H2H
CF Montreal
Inter Miami
1
0
W
13.05.21
H2H
Inter Miami
CF Montreal
0
2
W
17.10.20
H2H
CF Montreal
Inter Miami
2
1
W
Last matches: CF Montreal
01.08.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New England Revolution
2
2
D
16.07.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Toronto FC
0
0
D
16.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
0
2
L
13.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
2
2
D
09.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
2
0
W
25.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New York City FC
1
0
W
18.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
4
1
W
11.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
1
2
L
H2H at home: CF Montreal
25.07.26
H2H
CF Montreal
Inter Miami
0
1
L
05.07.25
H2H
CF Montreal
Inter Miami
1
4
L
11.05.24
H2H
CF Montreal
Inter Miami
2
3
L
27.05.23
H2H
CF Montreal
Inter Miami
1
0
W
06.08.22
H2H
CF Montreal
Inter Miami
2
2
D
03.07.21
H2H
CF Montreal
Inter Miami
1
0
W
17.10.20
H2H
CF Montreal
Inter Miami
2
1
W
Last matches: Inter Miami
13.05.26
Maj
Inter Miami
FC Cincinnati
5
3
W
09.05.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Toronto FC
4
2
W
23.04.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Real Salt Lake
2
0
W
18.04.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Colorado Rapids
3
2
W
22.03.26
Maj
Inter Miami
New York City FC
3
2
W
14.03.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Charlotte
0
0
D
11.03.26
CON
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
0
0
D
07.03.26
Maj
Inter Miami
DC United
2
1
W
02.03.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Orlando City SC
4
2
W
27.02.26
Fri
Inter Miami
Independiente del Valle
2
1
W
22.02.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Los Angeles FC
0
3
L
08.02.26
Fri
Inter Miami
Barcelona SC
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Inter Miami
Atletico Nacional
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Inter Miami
Alianza Lima
0
3
L
H2H away: Inter Miami
25.07.26
H2H
CF Montreal
Inter Miami
0
1
W
05.07.25
H2H
CF Montreal
Inter Miami
1
4
W
11.05.24
H2H
CF Montreal
Inter Miami
2
3
W
27.05.23
H2H
CF Montreal
Inter Miami
1
0
L
06.08.22
H2H
CF Montreal
Inter Miami
2
2
D
03.07.21
H2H
CF Montreal
Inter Miami
1
0
L
17.10.20
H2H
CF Montreal
Inter Miami
2
1
L

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 12 4 2 35:14 21 40
D L W W W
2 18 11 5 2 45:32 13 38
D W W W W
3 17 9 3 5 28:21 7 30
D W D L W
4 17 9 2 6 32:23 9 29
W L L W W
5 18 7 5 6 31:24 7 26
D W W L D
6 18 7 5 6 45:44 1 26
W L W W D
7 18 7 4 7 29:27 2 25
L W D W W
8 18 7 4 7 29:39 -10 25
W L L W D
9 18 5 8 5 26:29 -3 23
D W D D D
10 18 6 2 10 30:47 -17 20
L W W L D
11 18 5 5 8 26:28 -2 20
D W L W D
12 18 3 8 7 24:32 -8 17
D L D D L
13 18 4 4 10 25:33 -8 16
W W W L D
14 18 4 4 10 24:35 -11 16
D L L D D
15 18 3 3 12 19:33 -14 12
L L D L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

CF Montreal 3 missing
-
T. Gillier
Missing Fixture Concussion
OUT
-
B. Hidalgo
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
W. Carmona
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
Inter Miami 6 missing
-
R. de Paul
Missing Fixture Rest
OUT
-
L. Messi
Missing Fixture Rest
OUT
-
M. Falcon
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
G. Lujan
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
D. Ayala
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
T. Allende
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT