🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
25.07.2026 23:30
Saputo Stadium
Referee: A. Da Silva
CF Montreal
Match Timeline
Inter Miami
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
Ian Fray
Inter Miami
🔄
59'
S. Reguilon ↔ N. Allen
Inter Miami
🔄
61'
S. Piette ↔ D. Pereira
CF Montreal
🔄
62'
D. Rios ↔ N. Streit
CF Montreal
🔄
80'
M. Longstaff ↔ F. Herbers
CF Montreal
🔄
80'
G. Berterame ↔ P. Plambeck
Inter Miami
81'
L. Suarez
Inter Miami
🟨
84'
Telasco Segovia
Inter Miami
🔄
90+6'
V. Loturi ↔ O. Escobar
CF Montreal
🔄
90+11'
E. Morales ↔ B. Craig
CF Montreal
🔄
90+8'
Y. Bright ↔ D. Ruiz
Inter Miami

CF Montreal vs Inter Miami Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69.8%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
CF Montreal Win 27%
Draw 3.2%
Inter Miami Win 69.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
CF Montreal1.6
Inter Miami2.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
CF Montreal CF Montreal
WWDLW
32 GF / 43 GA
Inter Miami Inter Miami
WLDWL
49 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.52
Average Goals Scored
2.23
2.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.73
11
BTTS Yes
16
15
Over 2.5
16
4.63
Shots on Goal
6.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CF Montreal CF Montreal 21 matches
Inter Miami Inter Miami 22 matches
CF Montreal Statistic Inter Miami
6 Wins 12
3 Draws 7
12 Losses 3
32 Goals For 49
43 Goals Against 38
1.52 Avg Goals Scored 2.23
2.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.73
11 BTTS Yes 16
18 Over 1.5 20
15 Over 2.5 16
9 Over 3.5 11
4 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 4
4.63 Shots On Goal 6.56
13.25 Total Shots 15.44
5.19 Corners 5.72
47.9% Ball Possession 57.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Inter Miami's more proactive style and CF Montreal's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Inter Miami carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 31 points while CF Montreal sit 11 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Inter Miami look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Inter Miami. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

CF Montreal Analysis

So far, CF Montreal have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 15 points from 15 matches. The record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 22:31 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Prince Owusu (5 goals), Matthew Longstaff (2 goals), Daniel Rios (2 goals), with creative support from Prince Owusu (5 assists), Matthew Longstaff (3 assists), Victor Loturi (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Inter Miami Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 31 points from 15 games, Inter Miami bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 39:28, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Lionel Messi (8 goals), Germán Berterame (7 goals), Luis Suárez (5 goals), with creative support from Lionel Messi (7 assists), Rodrigo De Paul (4 assists), Mateo Silvetti (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, CF Montreal won 7 times, Inter Miami won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:23 from CF Montreal's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.21 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.8%)
Predicted formations: CF Montreal 4-3-3 / Inter Miami 4-3-3
Missing players: CF Montreal 3, Inter Miami 6
H2H summary: CF Montreal wins 7, draws 1, Inter Miami wins 6

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 17 6 3 53:21 32 57
W D L D W
2 26 14 4 8 45:33 12 46
W W W L W
3 25 12 9 4 61:46 15 45
D D D W L
4 26 12 7 7 47:37 10 43
W D W D W
5 25 11 6 8 45:38 7 39
L L D D D
6 26 10 6 10 50:42 8 36
W W W W W
7 26 10 4 12 46:60 -14 34
L W W W D
8 26 9 6 11 34:48 -14 33
W W L D L
9 25 8 9 8 54:61 -7 33
D D L L D
10 26 8 8 10 39:34 5 32
L W L D D
11 25 6 11 8 31:39 -8 29
L D W D L
12 26 6 11 9 39:49 -10 29
L L W D D
13 26 7 5 14 37:42 -5 26
W L L W L
14 26 7 5 14 30:43 -13 26
W D L D L
15 26 5 6 15 31:53 -22 21
L L L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)