Cerro Largo vs Liverpool Montevideo Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
48.3%
|
2.23 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
2.00 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
2.32 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
2.96 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
5.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
9.50 |
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cerro Largo
25 matches
Liverpool Montevideo
27 matches
| Cerro Largo | Statistic | Liverpool Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 10 |
| 7 | Draws | 9 |
| 10 | Losses | 8 |
| 26 | Goals For | 35 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.3 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.93 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 3.5 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 11.5 |
| 0 | Corners | 4 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 56% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Liverpool Montevideo's more proactive style and Cerro Largo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Liverpool Montevideo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cerro Largo expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Liverpool Montevideo in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Liverpool Montevideo having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Liverpool Montevideo look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.
Cerro Largo sit 10 with 31 points after 25 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, while the 26:27 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 5 place with 38 points from 25 games, Liverpool Montevideo bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 10 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, with a 34:23 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cerro Largo won 4 times, Liverpool Montevideo won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:19 from Cerro Largo's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 15 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Liverpool Montevideo
Away
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 13 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 13 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 11 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 9 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 6 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
Cerro Largo
Home
|
6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
D
L
D
D
D
|
| 13 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 5 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 3 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
L
|