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11.10.2026 18:00
Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Referee: Esteban Guerra
Cerro Largo
Match Timeline
Albion FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
Mario Garcia
Cerro Largo
🟨
19'
Sebastian Assis
Cerro Largo
🔄
46'
Mario Garcia ↔ Gustavo Viera
Cerro Largo
🔄
59'
Tobías Figueroa ↔ Alvaro Lopez
Albion FC
🔄
59'
Hernán Toledo ↔ Carlos Airala
Albion FC
🟨
60'
Santiago Franca·Ascarate
Cerro Largo
🟨
62'
Iker Zufiaurre
Albion FC
🟨
70'
alexis piegas
Cerro Largo
🔄
70'
Diego Daguerre ↔ Borys Barone
Cerro Largo
🔄
70'
emiliano jourdan ↔ elias leon de
Cerro Largo
🔄
70'
Brian Lozano ↔ nicolas ramos
Cerro Largo
🔄
71'
Iker Zufiaurre ↔ Mateo Baltasar Barcia Fernández
Albion FC
⚽
77'
Alvaro Lopez
Albion FC
🔄
79'
axel pandiani ↔ andres cordoba
Cerro Largo
🟨
82'
Carlos Airala
Albion FC
🔄
87'
Francisco Ginella ↔ Ignacio Neira
Albion FC
🔄
87'
Federico Puente ↔ Santiago Nicolas·Costa
Albion FC

Cerro Largo vs Albion FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 76.2%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.24
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
76.2%
1.36 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.24 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
2.97 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
26.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Cerro Largo Win 54%
Draw 22.3%
Albion FC Win 23.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cerro Largo1.1
Albion FC1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
WWDLW
29 GF / 36 GA
Albion FC Albion FC
WLDWL
41 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.16
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
13
BTTS Yes
19
10
Over 2.5
18
1.33
Shots on Goal
1.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 31 matches
Albion FC Albion FC 31 matches
Cerro Largo Statistic Albion FC
8 Wins 10
9 Draws 7
14 Losses 14
29 Goals For 41
36 Goals Against 42
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.16 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
13 BTTS Yes 19
21 Over 1.5 20
10 Over 2.5 18
4 Over 3.5 10
8 Clean Sheets 6
12 Failed To Score 8
1.33 Shots On Goal 1.75
3.33 Total Shots 2.25
1 Corners 0.5
16.3% Ball Possession 10.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cerro Largo expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Albion FC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Albion FC having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Albion FC. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Cerro Largo Analysis

Cerro Largo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 33 points from 31 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 9 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 29:36 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Albion FC Analysis

Albion FC sit 9 with 37 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 41:42 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Cerro Largo won 0 times, Albion FC won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:8 from Cerro Largo's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.7%)
Predicted formations: Cerro Largo 4-3-3 / Albion FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cerro Largo wins 0, draws 2, Albion FC wins 3

Standings

Primera: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 9 4 2 23:14 9 31
L D W D W
2 15 9 2 4 24:16 8 29
W W L D W
3 15 8 4 3 26:16 10 28
W W W W W
4 15 8 3 4 23:16 7 27
W D L D L
5 15 7 3 5 23:22 1 24
W L W L D
6 15 6 5 4 22:16 6 23
W D W D L
7 15 7 1 7 26:21 5 22
W L L W L
8 15 5 6 4 13:11 2 21
L D W D W
9 15 5 5 5 20:18 2 20
L W D L W
10 15 6 2 7 16:21 -5 20
W L W L L
11 15 4 6 5 17:21 -4 18
L L W D D
12 15 5 2 8 16:19 -3 17
L W L L D
13 15 5 2 8 14:20 -6 17
L W L W L
14 15 4 3 8 17:22 -5 15
W W D D W
15 15 2 4 9 12:23 -11 10
L L L W L
16 15 2 4 9 8:24 -16 10
L L L D D
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)