URUGUAY SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.3%
Odds 2.04
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.82
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 27.2%
Odds 2.12
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.3%
2.04
BTTS Yes
63.2%
1.82
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
27.2%
2.12
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.25
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Cerrito Win 64.3%
Draw 12.6%
Uruguay Montevideo Win 23.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cerrito1.23
Uruguay Montevideo1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cerrito Cerrito
WWDLW
25 GF / 24 GA
Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Montevideo
WLDWL
23 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
11
BTTS Yes
12
7
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cerrito Cerrito 20 matches
Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Montevideo 20 matches
Cerrito Statistic Uruguay Montevideo
7 Wins 6
9 Draws 6
4 Losses 8
25 Goals For 23
24 Goals Against 24
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
11 BTTS Yes 12
13 Over 1.5 15
7 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Uruguay Montevideo's more proactive style and Cerrito's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Uruguay Montevideo. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Uruguay Montevideo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Cerrito Analysis

Cerrito sit 8 with 9 points after 6 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 8:8 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Uruguay Montevideo Analysis

From their first 6 matches, Uruguay Montevideo have collected 9 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 7:5 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Cerrito won 2 times, Uruguay Montevideo won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:26 from Cerrito's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.45 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.4%)
H2H summary: Cerrito wins 2, draws 3, Uruguay Montevideo wins 6
Last matches: Cerrito
14.08.26
Seg
Cerrito
Oriental
1
1
D
08.08.26
Seg
Cerrito
Colón
0
1
L
02.08.26
Seg
Cerrito
Fenix
1
1
D
18.07.26
Seg
Cerrito
Rentistas
0
0
D
12.07.26
Seg
Cerrito
Miramar
1
0
W
05.07.26
Seg
Cerrito
Tacuarembo
0
0
D
28.06.26
Seg
Cerrito
Plaza Colonia
1
0
W
21.06.26
Seg
Cerrito
La Luz
0
2
L
14.06.26
Seg
Cerrito
CA River Plate
4
6
L
07.06.26
Seg
Cerrito
Atenas
2
1
W
30.05.26
Seg
Cerrito
Paysandu
1
0
W
24.05.26
Seg
Cerrito
Sportivo Huracan
2
0
W
16.05.26
Seg
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
2
2
D
10.05.26
Seg
Cerrito
Oriental
2
2
D
25.04.26
Seg
Cerrito
Sportivo Huracan
1
1
D
18.04.26
Seg
Cerrito
La Luz
0
0
D
12.04.26
Seg
Cerrito
Fenix
1
4
L
06.04.26
Seg
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
2
1
W
29.03.26
Seg
Cerrito
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
21.03.26
Seg
Cerrito
Atenas
3
1
W
Last matches: Uruguay Montevideo
15.08.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Atenas
1
2
L
08.08.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Paysandu
1
0
W
01.08.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Sportivo Huracan
3
1
W
18.07.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
CA River Plate
1
1
D
12.07.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Oriental
1
1
D
05.07.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Colón
0
1
L
27.06.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Fenix
3
2
W
21.06.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Rentistas
0
1
L
13.06.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Miramar
1
3
L
07.06.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Tacuarembo
0
1
L
30.05.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Plaza Colonia
2
0
W
24.05.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
La Luz
0
2
L
16.05.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Cerrito
2
2
D
08.05.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Atenas
1
2
L
26.04.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
11.04.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
La Luz
2
0
W
06.04.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Cerrito
1
2
L
31.03.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Atenas
1
0
W
22.03.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Sportivo Huracan
1
1
D
15.03.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Fenix
1
1
D
H2H: Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo
16.05.26
H2H
Uruguay Montevideo
Cerrito
2
2
D
06.04.26
H2H
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
2
1
W
05.10.25
H2H
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
2
1
W
12.07.25
H2H
Uruguay Montevideo
Cerrito
0
0
D
06.04.25
H2H
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
1
3
L
04.12.24
H2H
Uruguay Montevideo
Cerrito
3
1
L
30.11.24
H2H
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
2
2
D
08.09.24
H2H
Uruguay Montevideo
Cerrito
3
0
L
26.05.24
H2H
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
0
2
L
21.10.23
H2H
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
2
6
L
03.06.23
H2H
Uruguay Montevideo
Cerrito
3
0
L
Last matches: Cerrito
14.08.26
Seg
Cerrito
Oriental
1
1
D
02.08.26
Seg
Cerrito
Fenix
1
1
D
12.07.26
Seg
Cerrito
Miramar
1
0
W
28.06.26
Seg
Cerrito
Plaza Colonia
1
0
W
07.06.26
Seg
Cerrito
Atenas
2
1
W
24.05.26
Seg
Cerrito
Sportivo Huracan
2
0
W
18.04.26
Seg
Cerrito
La Luz
0
0
D
06.04.26
Seg
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
2
1
W
21.03.26
Seg
Cerrito
Atenas
3
1
W
19.10.25
Seg
Cerrito
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
12.10.25
Seg
Cerrito
Oriental
2
3
L
05.10.25
Seg
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
2
1
W
22.09.25
Seg
Cerrito
Fenix
2
2
D
06.09.25
Seg
Cerrito
Atenas
0
3
L
31.08.25
Seg
Cerrito
Central Espanol
0
1
L
24.08.25
Seg
Cerrito
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
16.08.25
Seg
Cerrito
La Luz
1
0
W
02.08.25
Seg
Cerrito
Colón
1
2
L
05.07.25
Seg
Cerrito
Albion FC
1
0
W
21.06.25
Seg
Cerrito
Rampla Juniors
1
0
W
H2H at home: Cerrito
06.04.26
H2H
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
2
1
W
05.10.25
H2H
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
2
1
W
06.04.25
H2H
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
1
3
L
30.11.24
H2H
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
2
2
D
26.05.24
H2H
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
0
2
L
21.10.23
H2H
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
2
6
L
Last matches: Uruguay Montevideo
01.08.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Sportivo Huracan
3
1
W
05.07.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Colón
0
1
L
21.06.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Rentistas
0
1
L
07.06.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Tacuarembo
0
1
L
24.05.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
La Luz
0
2
L
08.05.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Atenas
1
2
L
11.04.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
La Luz
2
0
W
06.04.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Cerrito
1
2
L
31.03.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Atenas
1
0
W
17.10.25
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Rentistas
3
1
W
05.10.25
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Cerrito
1
2
L
21.09.25
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
0
3
L
29.08.25
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Albion FC
1
0
W
20.08.25
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Rampla Juniors
0
1
L
11.08.25
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Central Espanol
0
1
L
03.08.25
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Tacuarembo
0
2
L
19.07.25
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
La Luz
0
1
L
05.07.25
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Colón
1
5
L
21.06.25
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Oriental
1
1
D
14.06.25
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Artigas
1
1
D
H2H away: Uruguay Montevideo
06.04.26
H2H
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
2
1
L
05.10.25
H2H
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
2
1
L
06.04.25
H2H
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
1
3
W
30.11.24
H2H
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
2
2
D
26.05.24
H2H
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
0
2
W
21.10.23
H2H
Cerrito
Uruguay Montevideo
2
6
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.35
Draw 3.29
Home 2.04
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.34
Over 1.75 1.43
Over 2.0 1.58
Over 2.25 1.87
Over 2.5 2.12
Over 2.75 2.44
Over 3.0 3.06
Under 1.5 3.02
Under 1.75 2.66
Under 2.0 2.31
Under 2.25 1.92
Under 2.5 1.69
Under 2.75 1.51
Under 3.0 1.34
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 3.20
Home 2.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.10
Home 2.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 2.20
Under 2.5 1.65
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.39
Draw 3.18
Home 2.03
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.29
Draw 1.99
Home 2.67
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.84
Draw 2.32
Home 2.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 0.75 1.07
Over 1.0 1.04
Over 1.25 1.18
Over 1.5 1.31
Over 1.75 1.40
Over 2.0 1.53
Over 2.25 1.82
Over 2.5 2.06
Over 2.75 2.35
Over 3.0 2.92
Over 3.25 3.28
Over 3.5 3.58
Over 3.75 4.38
Over 4.0 6.50
Over 4.5 8.00
Over 5.5 19.00
Under 0.5 7.75
Under 0.75 5.96
Under 1.0 6.75
Under 1.25 3.90
Under 1.5 2.92
Under 1.75 2.56
Under 2.0 2.21
Under 2.25 1.86
Under 2.5 1.67
Under 2.75 1.47
Under 3.0 1.31
Under 3.25 1.25
Under 3.5 1.21
Under 3.75 1.14
Under 4.0 1.05
Under 4.5 1.07
Under 5.5 1.02
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 3.20
Home 2.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.14
Home 2.60
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.29
Over 2.5 1.92
Over 3.5 3.25
Under 1.5 3.05
Under 2.5 1.72
Under 3.5 1.26

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D