ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
23.08.2026 01:00
Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena
Central Norte
Match Timeline
CA Estudiantes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
B. Degregorio
CA Estudiantes
🔄
23'
M. Ribero ↔ G. Mancuso
Central Norte
🟨
31'
P. Sanz
Central Norte
🔄
43'
B. Degregorio ↔ S. Camacho
CA Estudiantes
🟨
45+2'
I. Vera
CA Estudiantes
🔄
56'
E. Almiron ↔ M. Nunez
CA Estudiantes
🔄
56'
I. Vera ↔ J. Vergara
CA Estudiantes
62'
J. Benitez
Central Norte
🔄
67'
S. Quiroga ↔ A. Bustinduy
Central Norte
🔄
67'
T. Castro ↔ J. Mateo
Central Norte
🟨
69'
E. Calderon
Central Norte
70'
F. Quinteros
CA Estudiantes
🔄
71'
M. Albarracin ↔ T. Squie
CA Estudiantes
🔄
71'
L. Silva ↔ R. Rodriguez
CA Estudiantes
🔄
81'
P. Sanz ↔ M. Moravec
Central Norte
🔄
81'
F. Vedoya ↔ A. Aleo
Central Norte
90'
F. Borda
Central Norte

Central Norte vs CA Estudiantes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.1%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Central Norte Win 45.5%
Draw 9%
CA Estudiantes Win 45.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Central Norte0.72
CA Estudiantes0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Central Norte Central Norte
WWDLW
16 GF / 25 GA
CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes
WLDWL
22 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
0.64
Average Goals Scored
0.85
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
10
BTTS Yes
8
5
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Central Norte Central Norte 25 matches
CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes 26 matches
Central Norte Statistic CA Estudiantes
5 Wins 9
10 Draws 8
10 Losses 9
16 Goals For 22
25 Goals Against 22
0.64 Avg Goals Scored 0.85
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
10 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 15
5 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 0
8 Clean Sheets 10
11 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward CA Estudiantes having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors CA Estudiantes.

Central Norte Analysis

With 23 points from 23 games and a place of 16, Central Norte still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 15:24, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

CA Estudiantes Analysis

CA Estudiantes sit 9 with 32 points after 24 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 20:20 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Central Norte won 2 times, CA Estudiantes won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Central Norte's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.1%)
H2H summary: Central Norte wins 2, draws 1, CA Estudiantes wins 1

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 17 7 6 35:25 10 58
W D D D W
2 29 16 7 6 47:27 20 55
W W W D D
3 29 14 7 8 36:25 11 49
W W W L W
4 29 12 10 7 42:28 14 46
L W L W W
5 29 12 10 7 23:16 7 46
D D W W L
6 29 12 9 8 35:25 10 45
L L L W W
7 30 11 9 10 27:25 2 42
W W L D L
8 30 9 12 9 24:27 -3 39
L D L W D
9 29 8 13 8 22:17 5 37
D D D D L
10 29 9 8 12 26:34 -8 35
L L W D D
11 29 8 9 12 26:29 -3 33
D W D W W
12 29 7 12 10 22:26 -4 33
W D W L L
13 30 6 14 10 17:26 -9 32
D L W D L
14 30 6 14 10 27:37 -10 32
L D D D L
15 29 6 13 10 19:27 -8 31
D D D D W
16 30 6 13 11 24:34 -10 31
D D L L L
17 30 7 10 13 23:34 -11 31
L W D L W
18 30 6 8 16 21:34 -13 26
W L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation