ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena
Central Norte
Match Timeline
CA Estudiantes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
B. Degregorio
CA Estudiantes
🔄
23'
M. Ribero ↔ G. Mancuso
Central Norte
🟨
31'
P. Sanz
Central Norte
🔄
43'
B. Degregorio ↔ S. Camacho
CA Estudiantes
🟨
45+2'
I. Vera
CA Estudiantes
🔄
56'
E. Almiron ↔ M. Nunez
CA Estudiantes
🔄
56'
I. Vera ↔ J. Vergara
CA Estudiantes
62'
J. Benitez
Central Norte
🔄
67'
S. Quiroga ↔ A. Bustinduy
Central Norte
🔄
67'
T. Castro ↔ J. Mateo
Central Norte
🟨
69'
E. Calderon
Central Norte
70'
F. Quinteros
CA Estudiantes
🔄
71'
M. Albarracin ↔ T. Squie
CA Estudiantes
🔄
71'
L. Silva ↔ R. Rodriguez
CA Estudiantes
🔄
81'
P. Sanz ↔ M. Moravec
Central Norte
🔄
81'
F. Vedoya ↔ A. Aleo
Central Norte
90'
F. Borda
Central Norte

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.1%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Central Norte Win 45.5%
Draw 9%
CA Estudiantes Win 45.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Central Norte0.72
CA Estudiantes0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Central Norte Central Norte
WWDLW
16 GF / 25 GA
CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes
WLDWL
22 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
0.64
Average Goals Scored
0.85
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
10
BTTS Yes
8
5
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Central Norte Central Norte 25 matches
CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes 26 matches
Central Norte Statistic CA Estudiantes
5 Wins 9
10 Draws 8
10 Losses 9
16 Goals For 22
25 Goals Against 22
0.64 Avg Goals Scored 0.85
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
10 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 15
5 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 0
8 Clean Sheets 10
11 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward CA Estudiantes having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors CA Estudiantes.

Central Norte Analysis

With 23 points from 23 games and a place of 16, Central Norte still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 15:24, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

CA Estudiantes Analysis

CA Estudiantes sit 9 with 32 points after 24 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 20:20 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Central Norte won 1 times, CA Estudiantes won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from Central Norte's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.1%)
H2H summary: Central Norte wins 1, draws 1, CA Estudiantes wins 1

Lineups

CA Estudiantes
Formation
Central Norte
J. Lungarzo
J. Lungarzo
J. Benitez
J. Benitez
F. Quinteros
F. Quinteros
M. Albarracin
M. Albarracin
R. Melo
R. Melo
Caro Nicolas
Caro Nicolas
F. Ardiles
F. Ardiles
L. Silva
L. Silva
E. Almiron
E. Almiron
B. Degregorio
B. Degregorio
I. Vera
I. Vera
F. Hass
F. Hass
P. Sanz
P. Sanz
E. Calderon
E. Calderon
A. Lamosa
A. Lamosa
M. Rosales
M. Rosales
T. Castro
T. Castro
M. Villarreal
M. Villarreal
M. Ribero
M. Ribero
F. Vedoya
F. Vedoya
S. Quiroga
S. Quiroga
F. Borda
F. Borda
CA Estudiantes 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
J. Lungarzo
2
J. Benitez
⚽ 62'
3
F. Quinteros
⚽ 70'
4
M. Albarracin
↓ 71'
5
R. Melo
6
Caro Nicolas
7
F. Ardiles
8
L. Silva
↓ 71'
9
E. Almiron
↓ 56'
10
B. Degregorio
↓ 43' 🟨 22'
11
I. Vera
↓ 56' 🟨 45+2'
Substitutes
12
F. Vila
13
B. Bernardi
14
F. Dure
15
T. Squie
↑ 71'
16
B. Sanchez de Leon
17
R. Rodriguez
↑ 71'
18
S. Camacho
↑ 43'
19
M. Nunez
↑ 56'
20
J. Vergara
↑ 56'
Central Norte 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
F. Hass
3
P. Sanz
↓ 81' 🟨 31'
2
E. Calderon
🟨 69'
6
A. Lamosa
4
M. Rosales
7
T. Castro
↓ 67'
5
M. Villarreal
8
M. Ribero
↓ 23'
10
F. Vedoya
↓ 81'
11
S. Quiroga
↓ 67'
9
F. Borda
⚽ 90'
Substitutes
12
E. Vazquez
13
M. Padilla
14
L. Felissia
15
A. Bustinduy
↑ 67'
16
G. Mancuso
↑ 23'
17
K. Isa Luna
18
M. Moravec
↑ 81'
19
J. Mateo
↑ 67'
20
A. Aleo
↑ 81'
Last matches: Central Norte
16.08.26
Pri
Central Norte
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
0
D
10.08.26
Pri
Central Norte
All Boys
1
1
D
02.08.26
Pri
Central Norte
Los Andes
1
0
W
26.07.26
Pri
Central Norte
Godoy Cruz
1
2
L
12.07.26
Pri
Central Norte
Colon Santa Fe
0
4
L
05.07.26
Pri
Central Norte
San Miguel
1
1
D
21.06.26
Pri
Central Norte
Godoy Cruz
1
0
W
14.06.26
Pri
Central Norte
San Telmo
0
0
D
06.06.26
Pri
Central Norte
Acassuso
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Central Norte
Chaco For Ever
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
Central Norte
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
Central Norte
Racing Cordoba
2
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Central Norte
Deportivo Madryn
2
3
L
02.05.26
Pri
Central Norte
Defensores De Belgrano
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Central Norte
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Central Norte
Almirante Brown
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Central Norte
Atletico Mitre
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Central Norte
CA Estudiantes
0
1
L
29.03.26
Pri
Central Norte
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
0
W
22.03.26
Pri
Central Norte
All Boys
1
0
W
Last matches: CA Estudiantes
15.08.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Chacarita Juniors
2
0
W
08.08.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Deportivo Madryn
0
1
L
01.08.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Defensores De Belgrano
1
1
D
25.07.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Ciudad de Bolívar
1
2
L
17.07.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
11.07.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Atletico Mitre
3
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Racing Cordoba
1
1
D
20.06.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Ciudad de Bolívar
2
1
W
14.06.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
All Boys
2
1
W
06.06.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Los Andes
0
0
D
30.05.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Godoy Cruz
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Deportivo Moron
0
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Colon Santa Fe
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
San Miguel
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
San Telmo
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Acassuso
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Chaco For Ever
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Central Norte
1
0
W
29.03.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Chacarita Juniors
3
0
W
H2H: Central Norte vs CA Estudiantes
04.04.26
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Central Norte
1
0
L
29.06.25
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Central Norte
0
1
W
23.02.25
H2H
Central Norte
CA Estudiantes
1
1
D
Last matches: Central Norte
16.08.26
Pri
Central Norte
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
0
D
02.08.26
Pri
Central Norte
Los Andes
1
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
Central Norte
San Miguel
1
1
D
21.06.26
Pri
Central Norte
Godoy Cruz
1
0
W
14.06.26
Pri
Central Norte
San Telmo
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Central Norte
Chaco For Ever
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pri
Central Norte
Deportivo Madryn
2
3
L
26.04.26
Pri
Central Norte
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Central Norte
Atletico Mitre
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pri
Central Norte
All Boys
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Central Norte
Colon Santa Fe
0
0
D
17.06.24
Cop
Central Norte
Antofagasta
1
5
L
H2H at home: Central Norte
23.02.25
H2H
Central Norte
CA Estudiantes
1
1
D
Last matches: CA Estudiantes
01.08.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Defensores De Belgrano
1
1
D
17.07.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
20.06.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Ciudad de Bolívar
2
1
W
06.06.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Los Andes
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Deportivo Moron
0
2
L
09.05.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
San Miguel
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Acassuso
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
0
W
29.03.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Chacarita Juniors
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Deportivo Madryn
0
3
L
23.02.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Atletico Mitre
0
1
L
15.02.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Racing Cordoba
0
1
L
18.01.26
Cop
CA Estudiantes
Independ. Rivadavia
0
2
L
11.05.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Fénix
0
1
L
29.04.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
San Telmo
1
2
L
14.04.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
San Miguel
1
0
W
08.04.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
UAI Urquiza
1
1
D
23.03.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Acassuso
1
1
D
14.03.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Deportivo Español
1
0
W
04.03.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Tristan Suarez
0
1
L
H2H away: CA Estudiantes
23.02.25
H2H
Central Norte
CA Estudiantes
1
1
D

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 16 4 6 32:23 9 52
W W W L L
2 25 13 6 6 41:24 17 45
D W W L W
3 26 12 9 5 34:20 14 45
W W W D L
4 26 11 8 7 22:16 6 41
W L W W D
5 25 10 10 5 36:24 12 40
W D W W D
6 25 11 7 7 29:22 7 40
W L W W W
7 26 9 8 9 23:22 1 35
L W L D L
8 26 8 11 7 22:23 -1 35
D L L L W
9 25 8 9 8 20:15 5 33
L L L L D
10 26 8 8 10 24:29 -5 32
D D W L W
11 25 6 11 8 20:25 -5 29
L W L L D
12 26 6 11 9 25:33 -8 29
L D W W D
13 25 6 9 10 17:25 -8 27
W D D W L
14 26 5 12 9 15:24 -9 27
L W D L D
15 25 5 11 9 16:23 -7 26
L D L D D
16 25 6 7 12 22:29 -7 25
W L L W W
17 25 5 9 11 20:29 -9 24
D L L W L
18 25 5 7 13 18:30 -12 22
L D L D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation