ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
06.09.2026 20:00
Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena
Central Norte
Match Timeline
Almirante Brown
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
T. Villoldo
Almirante Brown
🟨
32'
G. Alegre Rojas
Almirante Brown
🟨
47'
G. Mancuso
Central Norte
🟨
56'
E. Cardozo
Almirante Brown
🟨
60'
M. Villarreal
Central Norte
🔄
66'
G. Mancuso ↔ T. Castro
Central Norte
🟨
67'
M. Santiago
Almirante Brown
🟨
71'
M. Rosales
Central Norte
🔄
71'
L. Jara ↔ S. Gauna
Almirante Brown
🔄
71'
M. Zanotti ↔ E. Martinez
Almirante Brown
🔄
74'
E. Bodencer ↔ M. Moravec
Central Norte
🔄
75'
G. Flores ↔ T. Almada
Almirante Brown
🔄
81'
M. Rosales ↔ L. Felissia
Central Norte
🔄
81'
S. Quiroga ↔ A. Bustinduy
Central Norte
🔄
85'
L. Pascual ↔ J. Velazquez
Almirante Brown
🔄
85'
M. Santiago ↔ G. Moreyra
Almirante Brown

Central Norte vs Almirante Brown Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.3%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.3%
-
BTTS No
60.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Central Norte Win 44.6%
Draw 8.8%
Almirante Brown Win 46.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Central Norte0.66
Almirante Brown0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Central Norte Central Norte
WWDLW
20 GF / 28 GA
Almirante Brown Almirante Brown
WLDWL
23 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
0.71
Average Goals Scored
0.85
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.59
12
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Central Norte Central Norte 28 matches
Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 27 matches
Central Norte Statistic Almirante Brown
6 Wins 12
12 Draws 8
10 Losses 7
20 Goals For 23
28 Goals Against 16
0.71 Avg Goals Scored 0.85
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.59
12 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 11
7 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
9 Clean Sheets 16
12 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Almirante Brown's more proactive style and Central Norte's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Almirante Brown carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 41 points while Central Norte sit 14 on 28, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Almirante Brown. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Almirante Brown having the stronger overall control.

Central Norte Analysis

With 28 points from 26 games and a place of 14, Central Norte still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 10 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 17:25, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Almirante Brown Analysis

Almirante Brown approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 41 points after 26 outings. With 11 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 22:16, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Central Norte won 1 times, Almirante Brown won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from Central Norte's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.3%)
H2H summary: Central Norte wins 1, draws 1, Almirante Brown wins 1

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 17 7 6 35:25 10 58
W D D D W
2 29 16 7 6 47:27 20 55
W W W D D
3 29 14 7 8 36:25 11 49
W W W L W
4 29 12 10 7 42:28 14 46
L W L W W
5 29 12 10 7 23:16 7 46
D D W W L
6 29 12 9 8 35:25 10 45
L L L W W
7 30 11 9 10 27:25 2 42
W W L D L
8 30 9 12 9 24:27 -3 39
L D L W D
9 29 8 13 8 22:17 5 37
D D D D L
10 29 9 8 12 26:34 -8 35
L L W D D
11 29 8 9 12 26:29 -3 33
D W D W W
12 29 7 12 10 22:26 -4 33
W D W L L
13 30 6 14 10 17:26 -9 32
D L W D L
14 30 6 14 10 27:37 -10 32
L D D D L
15 29 6 13 10 19:27 -8 31
D D D D W
16 30 6 13 11 24:34 -10 31
D D L L L
17 30 7 10 13 23:34 -11 31
L W D L W
18 30 6 8 16 21:34 -13 26
W L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation