04.08.2026 00:15
Estadio Unico Madre De Ciudades
Referee: Sebastian Zunino, Argentina
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Match Timeline
San Lorenzo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
31'
M. Santos · Assist: S. Moyano
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🟨
41'
Diego Barrera
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🔄
46'
J. Alvarez ↔ G. del Prete
San Lorenzo
🟨
50'
Matías Vera
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🔄
53'
N. Arias ↔ M. Cardillo
San Lorenzo
🟨
62'
Mathias de Ritis
San Lorenzo
🟨
63'
Santiago Moyano
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🟨
66'
Nicolás Tripichio
San Lorenzo
🔄
69'
M. Reali ↔ D. Herazo
San Lorenzo
🔄
72'
M. Santos ↔ L. Varaldo
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🔄
78'
H. Tijanovich ↔ T. Cravero
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🔄
78'
M. Iacobellis ↔ Y. Casermeiro
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🔄
78'
S. Moyano ↔ L. Marchi
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🔄
78'
J. Rattalino ↔ F. Gulli
San Lorenzo
🟨
81'
Yuri Casermeiro
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🔄
89'
L. Gonzalez ↔ J. Cardozo
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🟨
90+2'
Lucas Varaldo
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🟨
90+5'
Alexis Cuello
San Lorenzo

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs San Lorenzo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 94.9%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
94.9%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
70.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Central Cordoba de Santiago Win 49.9%
Draw 5.1%
San Lorenzo Win 45%
Expected Goals (xG)
Central Cordoba de Santiago0.73
San Lorenzo1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago
WWDLW
13 GF / 26 GA
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
WLDWL
22 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
0.68
Average Goals Scored
1.05
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
0.81
5
BTTS Yes
8
5
Over 2.5
4
2.28
Shots on Goal
3.74

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago 19 matches
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 21 matches
Central Cordoba de Santiago Statistic San Lorenzo
4 Wins 7
5 Draws 9
10 Losses 5
13 Goals For 22
26 Goals Against 17
0.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 0.81
5 BTTS Yes 8
10 Over 1.5 10
5 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 11
11 Failed To Score 6
2.28 Shots On Goal 3.74
7.89 Total Shots 10.32
2.89 Corners 3.79
39.2% Ball Possession 48.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors San Lorenzo. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Central Cordoba de Santiago Analysis

Central Cordoba de Santiago sit 13 with 16 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 11:21, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Diego Barrera (2 goals), Michael Santos (1 goals), Alejandro Maciel (1 goals), with creative support from Michael Santos (2 assists), Alejandro Maciel (1 assists), Matías Vera (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

San Lorenzo Analysis

San Lorenzo sit 7 with 22 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 4 defeats with a 14:14 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Rodrigo Auzmendi (2 goals), Ezequiel Herrera (1 goals), Alexis Cuello (1 goals), with creative support from Matias Reali (1 assists), Facundo Gulli (1 assists), Nahuel Barrios (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Central Cordoba de Santiago won 4 times, San Lorenzo won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:9 from Central Cordoba de Santiago's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.82 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Central Cordoba de Santiago 4-4-2 / San Lorenzo 4-4-2
H2H summary: Central Cordoba de Santiago wins 4, draws 2, San Lorenzo wins 5

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
W L D L W
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
W D W D D
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
D W D D D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W L D D L
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
D W L D W
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
W L D L W
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
D W L D W
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
L W W W L
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
L W D W W
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
W L W W D
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
L D W W W
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
L D L W D
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
L L D L L
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
D D D W W
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
D D D L W
Knockout Phase