Celje vs Aluminij Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
65.4%
|
2.25 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.2%
|
1.62 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.1%
|
2.41 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
73.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Draw |
-
|
7.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Celje
Aluminij
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Celje
22 matches
Aluminij
23 matches
| Celje | Statistic | Aluminij |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 3 |
| 8 | Draws | 9 |
| 7 | Losses | 11 |
| 31 | Goals For | 24 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.04 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 3.14 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 4.71 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 2.71 | Corners | 0 |
| 29.6% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Aluminij's more proactive style and Celje's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Celje have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Aluminij. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Aluminij having the stronger overall control.
Celje approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 12 points from 9 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 11:11 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Aluminij come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 13 points from 10 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 16:11 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Celje won 8 times, Aluminij won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:17 from Celje's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 19:8 | 11 | 20 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 18 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 18 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
Aluminij
Away
|
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 13 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
| 6 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:16 | 1 | 13 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 7 |
Celje
Home
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
| 8 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 11 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:21 | -11 | 9 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 5 |
L
L
L
D
L
|