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BRAZIL › SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Ceara
FT
3 - 3
Vila Nova
Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo
Referee: Y. Ferreira
Ceara
Match Timeline
Vila Nova
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
13'
Rafa Silva · Assist: Janderson
Vila Nova
⚽
15'
Lucas Lima
Ceara
🟨
23'
Wendel Silva
Ceara
🔄
28'
Wendel Silva ↔ Lucca
Ceara
⚽
44'
Matheus Araujo · Assist: Melk
Ceara
⚽
45'
Matheus Araujo · Assist: Lucca
Ceara
🔄
46'
Caio Marcelo ↔ Hayner
Vila Nova
🔄
46'
Elias ↔ Anderson Jesus
Vila Nova
🟨
52'
Willian Formiga
Vila Nova
🔄
57'
Willian Formiga ↔ Higor
Vila Nova
🟨
58'
Willian Maranhão
Vila Nova
VAR
60'
Higor
Vila Nova
🔄
63'
Fernandinho ↔ Pedro Henrique
Ceara
⚽
63'
Joao Vieira
Vila Nova
⚽
67'
Rafa Silva
Vila Nova
🔄
69'
Matheus Araujo ↔ Juan Alano
Ceara
🔄
69'
Lucas Lima ↔ Julio Cesar
Ceara
🔄
69'
Vinicius Zanocelo ↔ Joao Gabriel
Ceara
🔄
77'
Willian Maranhao ↔ Nathan Camargo
Vila Nova
🟨
83'
Tiago Pagnussat
Vila Nova
🔄
84'
Tiago Pagnussat ↔ Samuel Lucas
Vila Nova

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 76.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
76.5%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
63.2%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ceara Win 32.1%
Draw 23.5%
Vila Nova Win 44.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ceara1
Vila Nova1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ceara Ceara
WWDLW
5 GF / 2 GA
Vila Nova Vila Nova
WLDWL
8 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.6
0.4
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
4
0
Over 2.5
3
4.6
Shots on Goal
3.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ceara Ceara 5 matches
Vila Nova Vila Nova 5 matches
Ceara Statistic Vila Nova
2 Wins 3
3 Draws 2
0 Losses 0
5 Goals For 8
2 Goals Against 5
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
0.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1
2 BTTS Yes 4
3 Over 1.5 4
0 Over 2.5 3
0 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 0
4.6 Shots On Goal 3.2
13 Total Shots 11.4
4.4 Corners 3.8
43.6% Ball Possession 50.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Ceara won 6 times, Vila Nova won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:17 from Ceara's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 4.18 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.5%)
Predicted formations: Ceara 4-2-3-1 / Vila Nova 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ceara wins 6, draws 2, Vila Nova wins 3
Stats
Ceara Ceara
Vila Nova Vila Nova
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
5
3 Corner Kicks 4
17 Fouls 12
7 Offsides 1
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 6
2 Shots off Goal 1
1 Blocked Shots 5
6 Shots insidebox 5
2 Shots outsidebox 6
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
324 Total passes 394
248 Passes accurate 322
1.02 expected_goals 1.70
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Vila Nova
Formation
Ceara
Helton Leite
Helton Leite
Elias
↓
Elias
Tiago Pagnussat
↓
Tiago Pagnussat
Caio Marcelo
↓
Caio Marcelo
Willian Formiga
↓
Willian Formiga
Willian Maranhao
↓
Willian Maranhao
Joao Vieira
⚽
Joao Vieira
Ryan
Ryan
Marquinhos Gabriel
Marquinhos Gabriel
Janderson
🎯
Janderson
Rafa Silva
⚽ 2
Rafa Silva
Bruno Ferreira
Bruno Ferreira
R. Ramos
R. Ramos
Eder
Eder
Luiz Otavio
Luiz Otavio
Sanchez
Sanchez
Lucas Lima
⚽ ↓
Lucas Lima
Vinicius Zanocelo
↓
Vinicius Zanocelo
Melk
🎯
Melk
Matheus Araujo
⚽ 2 ↓
Matheus Araujo
Fernandinho
↓
Fernandinho
Wendel Silva
↓
Wendel Silva
Vila Nova 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Helton Leite
G
2
Elias
↓ 46'
D
3
Tiago Pagnussat
↓ 84' 🟨 83'
D
38
Caio Marcelo
↓ 46'
D
13
Willian Formiga
↓ 57' 🟨 52'
D
8
Willian Maranhao
↓ 77' 🟨 58'
M
5
Joao Vieira
⚽ 63'
M
11
Ryan
10
Marquinhos Gabriel
M
99
Janderson
🎯 13'
M
9
Rafa Silva
⚽ 13' ⚽ 67'
F
Substitutes
29
Dalberson
G
33
Bruno Xavier
M
22
Hayner
↑ 46'
D
7
Ruan Ribeiro
F
20
Nathan Camargo
↑ 77'
M
18
Enzo Bizzotto
M
21
Dodo
M
14
Anderson Jesus
↑ 46'
6
Higor
↑ 57'
D
19
Gustavo Puskas
F
4
Samuel Lucas
↑ 84'
Ceara 3-5-1 (estimated)
Starting XI
94
Bruno Ferreira
G
2
R. Ramos
33
Eder
D
4
Luiz Otavio
D
12
Sanchez
D
31
Lucas Lima
⚽ 15' ↓ 69'
M
25
Vinicius Zanocelo
↓ 69'
M
40
Melk
🎯 44'
M
8
Matheus Araujo
⚽ 44' ⚽ 45' ↓ 69'
M
11
Fernandinho
↓ 63'
M
9
Wendel Silva
↓ 28' 🟨 23'
F
Substitutes
41
Gustavo Martins
G
7
Pedro Henrique
↑ 63'
F
21
Alex Silva
D
10
Juan Alano
↑ 69'
F
17
Fernando
D
30
Gustavo Prado
M
26
Richardson
M
29
Vina
M
20
Diego
D
99
Lucca
🎯 45' ↑ 28'
F
18
Julio Cesar
↑ 69'
D
81
Joao Gabriel
↑ 69'
M
Last matches: Ceara
22.07.26
Ser
Ceara
CRB
0
1
L
17.07.26
Ser
Ceara
America Mineiro
1
1
D
13.07.26
Ser
Ceara
Athletic Club
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Ceara
Goias
0
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Juventude
0
2
L
20.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Botafogo SP
0
1
L
16.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Criciuma
1
1
D
10.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Avai
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Operario-PR
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Novorizontino
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Fortaleza EC
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Sport Recife
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Londrina
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Cuiaba
2
0
W
02.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Ponte Preta
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ser
Ceara
São Bernardo
1
1
D
Last matches: Vila Nova
22.07.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Fortaleza EC
2
1
W
18.07.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Criciuma
0
2
L
10.07.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Juventude
0
1
L
06.07.26
Ser
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
2
1
W
26.06.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Novorizontino
1
2
L
20.06.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
4
3
W
14.06.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Cuiaba
0
1
L
08.06.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Londrina
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Avai
2
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Goias
0
1
L
04.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Athletic Club
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ser
Vila Nova
CRB
2
2
D
H2H: Ceara vs Vila Nova
26.04.26
H2H
Ceara
Vila Nova
3
3
D
22.09.24
H2H
Ceara
Vila Nova
4
0
W
10.06.24
H2H
Vila Nova
Ceara
3
2
L
18.11.23
H2H
Vila Nova
Ceara
3
1
L
20.07.23
H2H
Ceara
Vila Nova
1
0
W
03.10.17
H2H
Ceara
Vila Nova
2
0
W
21.06.17
H2H
Vila Nova
Ceara
1
1
D
12.11.16
H2H
Ceara
Vila Nova
2
3
L
23.07.16
H2H
Vila Nova
Ceara
3
4
W
30.09.14
H2H
Vila Nova
Ceara
1
5
W
28.05.14
H2H
Ceara
Vila Nova
4
0
W
Last matches: Ceara
22.07.26
Ser
Ceara
CRB
0
1
L
13.07.26
Ser
Ceara
Athletic Club
0
0
D
20.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Botafogo SP
0
1
L
10.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Avai
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Operario-PR
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Fortaleza EC
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Ceara
São Bernardo
1
1
D
H2H at home: Ceara
26.04.26
H2H
Ceara
Vila Nova
3
3
D
22.09.24
H2H
Ceara
Vila Nova
4
0
W
20.07.23
H2H
Ceara
Vila Nova
1
0
W
03.10.17
H2H
Ceara
Vila Nova
2
0
W
12.11.16
H2H
Ceara
Vila Nova
2
3
L
28.05.14
H2H
Ceara
Vila Nova
4
0
W
Last matches: Vila Nova
18.07.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Criciuma
0
2
L
10.07.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Juventude
0
1
L
26.06.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Novorizontino
1
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Cuiaba
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Londrina
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Goias
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
1
0
W
01.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
1
1
D
H2H away: Vila Nova
26.04.26
H2H
Ceara
Vila Nova
3
3
D
22.09.24
H2H
Ceara
Vila Nova
4
0
L
20.07.23
H2H
Ceara
Vila Nova
1
0
L
03.10.17
H2H
Ceara
Vila Nova
2
0
L
12.11.16
H2H
Ceara
Vila Nova
2
3
W
28.05.14
H2H
Ceara
Vila Nova
4
0
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Criciuma
19 11 6 2 23:12 11 39
W W W W W
2
Operario-PR
19 10 5 4 27:22 5 35
W D W W W
3
Vila Nova Away
19 10 4 5 27:22 5 34
W L L W L
4
Juventude
19 9 5 5 21:12 9 32
L W W D W
5
Fortaleza EC
19 9 4 6 22:19 3 31
L W L W W
6
Novorizontino
19 8 6 5 28:18 10 30
L L L W W
7
Goias
19 8 5 6 21:25 -4 29
D W D W W
8
Atletico Goianiense
19 7 7 5 20:19 1 28
W D W L W
9
Sport Recife
19 6 10 3 24:18 6 28
D D D L L
10
São Bernardo
19 7 6 6 25:19 6 27
L D D L L
11
Athletic Club
19 6 9 4 18:17 1 27
W D D L W
12
CRB
19 7 5 7 29:32 -3 26
W W D L W
13
Nautico Recife
19 7 3 9 24:24 0 24
W L L D L
14
Botafogo SP
19 6 6 7 24:20 4 24
W D D W L
15
Cuiaba
19 5 9 5 14:14 0 24
L L D W D
16
Londrina
19 5 5 9 26:27 -1 20
L D D W D
17
Avai
19 5 5 9 21:26 -5 20
W D W L L
18
Ceara Home
19 4 7 8 16:22 -6 19
L D D L L
19
Ponte Preta
19 2 2 15 14:38 -24 8
L L L L L
20
America Mineiro
19 1 5 13 13:31 -18 8
L D D L L
Promotion
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Relegation