Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
63.5%
|
1.76 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
2.03 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.13 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.75 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Ceara
Londrina
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ceara
23 matches
Londrina
23 matches
| Ceara | Statistic | Londrina |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 5 |
| 7 | Draws | 6 |
| 10 | Losses | 12 |
| 23 | Goals For | 28 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.22 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.48 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.17 | Shots On Goal | 3.65 |
| 13.52 | Total Shots | 13.04 |
| 5.48 | Corners | 5.43 |
| 51.3% | Ball Possession | 45.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ceara expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Londrina in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Londrina having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Londrina. Londrina arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
With 25 points from 21 games and a place of 16, Ceara still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 22:25, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Melk (4 goals), Júlio César (2 goals), Lucas Lima (2 goals), with creative support from Melk (3 assists), Giulio (3 assists), Júlio César (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Londrina approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 20 points from 22 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 28:34, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Bruno Santos (4 goals), Iago Teles (2 goals), Paulinho Moccelin (2 goals), with creative support from Bruno Santos (3 assists), João Vitor (2 assists), Iago Teles (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Ceara won 6 times, Londrina won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:8 from Ceara's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.56 goals per game.
Ceara
5
4
4
3
4
5
Lineups
Ceara
Nautico Recife
Ceara
Cuiaba
Ceara
Ponte Preta
Ceara
São Bernardo
Ceara
CRB
Ceara
America Mineiro
Ceara
Athletic Club
Ceara
Goias
Ceara
Juventude
Ceara
Botafogo SP
Ceara
Criciuma
Ceara
Avai
Ceara
Operario-PR
Ceara
Novorizontino
Ceara
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
Ceara
Sport Recife
Ceara
Vila Nova
Ceara
Londrina
Ceara
Nautico Recife
Londrina
Atletico Goianiense
Londrina
Sport Recife
Londrina
Goias
Londrina
Novorizontino
Londrina
Nautico Recife
Londrina
Botafogo SP
Londrina
America Mineiro
Londrina
CRB
Londrina
Cuiaba
Londrina
Athletic Club
Londrina
Avai
Londrina
Criciuma
Londrina
Vila Nova
Londrina
Fortaleza EC
Londrina
Ponte Preta
Londrina
São Bernardo
Londrina
Operario-PR
Londrina
Juventude
Londrina
Ceara
Londrina
Atletico Goianiense
Ceara
Cuiaba
Ceara
Ponte Preta
Ceara
CRB
Ceara
Athletic Club
Ceara
Botafogo SP
Ceara
Avai
Ceara
Operario-PR
Ceara
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
Ceara
Vila Nova
Ceara
Nautico Recife
Ceara
São Bernardo
Londrina
Sport Recife
Londrina
Goias
Londrina
Nautico Recife
Londrina
America Mineiro
Londrina
Cuiaba
Londrina
Criciuma
Londrina
Fortaleza EC
Londrina
Ponte Preta
Londrina
Operario-PR
Londrina
Juventude
Londrina
Atletico Goianiense
Londrina
Novorizontino
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 26:13 | 13 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 44 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 43 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 35:25 | 10 | 41 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 40 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 33:24 | 9 | 38 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 36 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 36 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 27:23 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 30:28 | 2 | 34 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 34 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 33 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 34:29 | 5 | 32 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:26 | 2 | 31 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 29 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Ceara
Home
|
24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 18 |
Londrina
Away
|
24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 21 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 19 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16:42 | -26 | 11 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16:50 | -34 | 10 |
L
L
D
L
D
|