BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Francisco Stedile
Caxias
Match Timeline
Figueirense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
Jhonatan Ribeiro
Caxias
27'
Dentinho
Caxias
🟨
38'
Marcelo Freitas
Caxias
🟨
44'
Arthur Henrique
Figueirense
45'
Emerson Galego
Figueirense
🟨
54'
Dudu
Figueirense
🔄
56'
Mailson ↔ Jose Carlos
Figueirense
🔄
59'
Joao Lucas ↔ Vitor Feijao
Caxias
🔄
59'
Jhonatan Ribeiro ↔ Calyson
Caxias
63'
Jhonnathan
Figueirense
🔄
74'
Dudu ↔ L. Renz
Figueirense
🔄
74'
Igor Bolt ↔ Silvinho
Figueirense
🔄
74'
Emerson Galego ↔ Hyuri
Figueirense
🔄
76'
Marcelo Freitas ↔ Gaspar
Caxias
🟨
80'
Breno
Figueirense
🔄
82'
Breno ↔ Felipe Santiago
Figueirense
🔄
84'
Felipe Albuquerque ↔ Vitor Gabriel
Caxias
🔄
84'
Breno Santos ↔ Matheus Nunes
Caxias
🟨
86'
Lucas Dias
Figueirense
🟨
87'
Vitor Gabriel
Caxias

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 64.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
64.4%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
-
Correct Score 1-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Caxias Win 35.6%
Draw 25.9%
Figueirense Win 38.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Caxias1.1
Figueirense0.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
Caxias Caxias
WWDLW
16 GF / 12 GA
Figueirense Figueirense
WLDWL
15 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.94
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
8
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Caxias Caxias 16 matches
Figueirense Figueirense 16 matches
Caxias Statistic Figueirense
6 Wins 5
6 Draws 6
4 Losses 5
16 Goals For 15
12 Goals Against 20
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
8 BTTS Yes 9
10 Over 1.5 10
5 Over 2.5 8
0 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Caxias's more proactive style and Figueirense's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Figueirense having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Figueirense. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Caxias Analysis

Caxias sit 11 with 21 points after 15 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 14:12 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Figueirense Analysis

Figueirense sit 13 with 21 points after 16 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, while the 15:20 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Caxias won 2 times, Figueirense won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:5 from Caxias's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.1%)
H2H summary: Caxias wins 2, draws 0, Figueirense wins 1

Lineups

Caxias
Formation
Figueirense
G. Busatto
G. Busatto
Felipe Albuquerque
Felipe Albuquerque
Ianson
Ianson
Mancha
Mancha
Roberto
Roberto
Breno Santos
Breno Santos
Marcelo Freitas
Marcelo Freitas
Joao Lucas
Joao Lucas
Dentinho
Dentinho
Jhonatan Ribeiro
Jhonatan Ribeiro
Quirino
Quirino
Fabricio Santana
Fabricio Santana
Vitor Ricardo
Vitor Ricardo
Lucas Dias
Lucas Dias
Jhonnathan
Jhonnathan
Arthur Henrique
Arthur Henrique
Breno
Breno
Raynan
Raynan
Dudu
Dudu
Igor Bolt
Igor Bolt
Mailson
Mailson
Emerson Galego
Emerson Galego
Caxias 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
G. Busatto
2
Felipe Albuquerque
↓ 84'
3
Ianson
4
Mancha
6
Roberto
5
Breno Santos
↓ 84'
8
Marcelo Freitas
↓ 76' 🟨 38'
10
Joao Lucas
↓ 59'
7
Dentinho
⚽ 27'
19
Jhonatan Ribeiro
↓ 59' 🟨 21'
9
Quirino
Substitutes
12
Marcelo
13
Windson
14
Mauricio Ribeiro
15
Grigor
16
Victor Sa
17
Gaspar
↑ 76'
18
Vitor Gabriel
↑ 84' 🟨 87'
11
Vitor Feijao
↑ 59'
20
Felipe Rangel
21
Calyson
↑ 59'
22
Matheus Nunes
↑ 84'
23
Andre
Figueirense 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
Fabricio Santana
22
Vitor Ricardo
37
Lucas Dias
🟨 86'
25
Jhonnathan
⚽ 63'
6
Arthur Henrique
🟨 44'
14
Breno
↓ 82' 🟨 80'
7
Raynan
8
Dudu
↓ 74' 🟨 54'
70
Igor Bolt
↓ 74'
17
Mailson
↓ 56'
99
Emerson Galego
⚽ 45' ↓ 74'
Substitutes
23
Vava
2
Leo Maia
3
Anderson Conceicao
27
Felipe Santiago
↑ 82'
5
Renan Areias
26
L. Renz
↑ 74'
11
Arthur Martins
19
Joao Marcos
82
Jose Carlos
↑ 56'
88
Silvinho
↑ 74'
91
Hyuri
↑ 74'
Last matches: Caxias
22.08.26
Ser
Caxias
Santa Cruz
0
2
L
09.08.26
Ser
Caxias
AO Itabaiana
2
0
W
26.07.26
Ser
Caxias
Botafogo PB
1
2
L
11.07.26
Ser
Caxias
Floresta
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Caxias
Ferroviária
1
0
W
30.06.26
Ser
Caxias
Anápolis
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Caxias
Maringá
1
1
D
13.06.26
Ser
Caxias
Guarani Campinas
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Ituano
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Maranhão
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Paysandu
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Barra
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Amazonas
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ser
Caxias
Ypiranga-RS
2
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Caxias
Volta Redonda
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Caxias
Confiança
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Caxias
Brusque
1
2
L
Last matches: Figueirense
23.08.26
Ser
Figueirense
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
08.08.26
Ser
Figueirense
Ferroviária
2
2
D
25.07.26
Ser
Figueirense
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
13.07.26
Ser
Figueirense
Volta Redonda
0
0
D
06.07.26
Ser
Figueirense
Brusque
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Guarani Campinas
1
1
D
20.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Ituano
0
0
D
14.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Floresta
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Paysandu
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Confiança
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
AO Itabaiana
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Amazonas
1
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Barra
0
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Anápolis
1
3
L
19.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Botafogo PB
2
1
W
13.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Maringá
1
3
L
06.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
H2H: Caxias vs Figueirense
16.08.26
H2H
Caxias
Figueirense
1
2
L
05.05.25
H2H
Figueirense
Caxias
2
3
W
02.06.24
H2H
Caxias
Figueirense
2
1
W
Last matches: Caxias
26.07.26
Ser
Caxias
Botafogo PB
1
2
L
11.07.26
Ser
Caxias
Floresta
0
0
D
30.06.26
Ser
Caxias
Anápolis
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Caxias
Maringá
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Ituano
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Paysandu
2
0
W
27.04.26
Ser
Caxias
Ypiranga-RS
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Caxias
Confiança
1
0
W
H2H at home: Caxias
16.08.26
H2H
Caxias
Figueirense
1
2
L
02.06.24
H2H
Caxias
Figueirense
2
1
W
Last matches: Figueirense
23.08.26
Ser
Figueirense
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
25.07.26
Ser
Figueirense
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
06.07.26
Ser
Figueirense
Brusque
1
3
L
20.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Ituano
0
0
D
14.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Floresta
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Confiança
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Amazonas
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Anápolis
1
3
L
06.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
H2H away: Figueirense
16.08.26
H2H
Caxias
Figueirense
1
2
W
02.06.24
H2H
Caxias
Figueirense
2
1
L

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 9 4 5 26:20 6 31
D W L W L
2 18 9 3 6 26:19 7 30
W D D W W
3 18 9 2 7 26:26 0 29
W L W L W
4 18 8 5 5 22:20 2 29
D L W L W
5 18 8 4 6 19:14 5 28
W L D L W
6 18 8 4 6 25:22 3 28
W D W W L
7 18 7 6 5 32:22 10 27
L D L W L
8 18 7 6 5 21:15 6 27
L W D D W
9 18 7 6 5 18:16 2 27
W W W D W
10 18 7 6 5 31:30 1 27
W D L D W
11 18 7 6 5 20:20 0 27
W W L D D
12 18 7 4 7 19:21 -2 25
D D W W L
13 18 6 7 5 17:21 -4 25
D W D W D
14 18 6 6 6 17:16 1 24
L L W L D
15 18 6 4 8 18:19 -1 22
L L W L L
16 18 6 3 9 13:23 -10 21
L W L L D
17 18 5 3 10 16:21 -5 18
W L W W L
18 18 4 6 8 19:21 -2 18
L W L L L
19 18 4 5 9 14:25 -11 17
L L L D W
20 18 3 4 11 11:19 -8 13
L D L D L
Play-offs
Relegation