19.09.2026 21:00
ATCO Field

Cavalry FC vs Forge Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.1%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
83%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cavalry FC Win 67.1%
Draw 3.8%
Forge Win 29.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cavalry FC1.5
Forge1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cavalry FC Cavalry FC
WWDLW
41 GF / 12 GA
Forge Forge
WLDWL
34 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.95
Average Goals Scored
1.48
0.57
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
10
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
10
2.57
Shots on Goal
2.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cavalry FC Cavalry FC 21 matches
Forge Forge 23 matches
Cavalry FC Statistic Forge
15 Wins 14
4 Draws 4
2 Losses 5
41 Goals For 34
12 Goals Against 19
1.95 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
0.57 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
10 BTTS Yes 10
15 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 6
9 Clean Sheets 11
3 Failed To Score 5
2.57 Shots On Goal 2.65
7.52 Total Shots 7.83
2.86 Corners 2.91
25.4% Ball Possession 23.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cavalry FC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Forge in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Forge having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Cavalry FC come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Forge.

Cavalry FC Analysis

Cavalry FC approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 46 points after 20 outings. The return of 14 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 40:12, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through S. Camargo (2 goals), C. Elva (1 goals), G. Ntignee (1 goals), with creative support from S. Camargo (1 assists), C. Elva (1 assists), G. Ntignee (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Forge Analysis

Placed 2 with 42 points from 20 outings, Forge continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, while the 30:15 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on H. Massunda (1 goals), with creative support from R. Rama (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cavalry FC won 6 times, Forge won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:14 from Cavalry FC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
Predicted formations: Cavalry FC 4-2-3-1 / Forge 4-3-3
H2H summary: Cavalry FC wins 6, draws 4, Forge wins 5

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 15 4 2 41:12 29 49
W W W W W
2
Forge Away
21 14 3 4 33:15 18 45
W D L W W
3 22 10 4 8 34:37 -3 34
L D W L W
4 22 9 3 10 30:28 2 30
L W L L L
5 22 6 5 11 31:37 -6 23
W L L W L
6 20 5 8 7 29:42 -13 23
W D D L D
7 21 6 4 11 29:38 -9 22
L L W D L
8 21 1 7 13 25:43 -18 10
L D D W L