Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
54.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
61%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
54.4%
|
- |
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Casa Pia
28 matches
Santa Clara
35 matches
| Casa Pia | Statistic | Santa Clara |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 9 |
| 10 | Draws | 9 |
| 13 | Losses | 17 |
| 28 | Goals For | 33 |
| 52 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.94 |
| 1.86 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 2.82 | Shots On Goal | 2.97 |
| 8.68 | Total Shots | 9.83 |
| 3.79 | Corners | 4.09 |
| 42% | Ball Possession | 41.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Santa Clara. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Casa Pia expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Santa Clara in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Santa Clara having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Casa Pia approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 25 points from 28 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats with a 28:52 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Cassiano (5 goals), Gaizka Larrazabal (3 goals), J. Livolant (3 goals), with creative support from J. Livolant (8 assists), Gaizka Larrazabal (4 assists), A. Conte (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 29 matches, Santa Clara have collected 28 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Their overall return of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 15 losses with goals at 26:37 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Vinícius Lopes (6 goals), Gabriel Silva (4 goals), Serginho (4 goals), with creative support from Serginho (2 assists), Wendell (2 assists), Vinícius Lopes (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Casa Pia won 2 times, Santa Clara won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:7 from Casa Pia's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.71 goals per game.
Casa Pia
3
2
6
3
1
0
Lineups
Casa Pia
Torreense
Casa Pia
Torreense
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Tondela
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
SC Braga
Casa Pia
Alverca
Casa Pia
Benfica
Casa Pia
Estrela
Casa Pia
Estoril
Casa Pia
Moreirense
Casa Pia
Famalicao
Casa Pia
Arouca
Casa Pia
Nacional
Casa Pia
FC Porto
Casa Pia
AVS
Casa Pia
Sporting CP
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
Santa Clara
FC Porto
Santa Clara
Nacional
Santa Clara
Arouca
Santa Clara
SC Braga
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
GIL Vicente
Santa Clara
AVS
Santa Clara
Guimaraes
Santa Clara
Tondela
Santa Clara
Alverca
Santa Clara
Benfica
Santa Clara
Estrela
Santa Clara
Estoril
Santa Clara
Moreirense
Santa Clara
Famalicao
Santa Clara
Nacional
Santa Clara
FC Porto
Santa Clara
Arouca
Santa Clara
SC Braga
Casa Pia
Torreense
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
Tondela
Casa Pia
SC Braga
Casa Pia
Benfica
Casa Pia
Moreirense
Casa Pia
Arouca
Casa Pia
FC Porto
Casa Pia
AVS
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
Alverca
Casa Pia
Estrela
Casa Pia
Estoril
Casa Pia
Famalicao
Casa Pia
Nacional
Casa Pia
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
FC Porto
Santa Clara
Arouca
Santa Clara
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
AVS
Santa Clara
Tondela
Santa Clara
Alverca
Santa Clara
Estrela
Santa Clara
Moreirense
Santa Clara
Nacional
Santa Clara
SC Braga
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
GIL Vicente
Santa Clara
Guimaraes
Santa Clara
Benfica
Santa Clara
Estoril
Santa Clara
Shamrock Rovers
Santa Clara
Famalicao
Santa Clara
Larne
Santa Clara
NK Varazdin