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PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Casa Pia
FT
3 - 2
Arouca
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Referee: D. Rosa
Casa Pia
Match Timeline
Arouca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
Javi Sánchez
Arouca
🟨
10'
David Sousa
Casa Pia
⚽
11'
I. Barbero · Assist: Tiago Esgaio
Arouca
⚽
21'
R. Brito · Assist: A. Conte
Casa Pia
⚽
25'
Cassiano · Assist: J. Livolant
Casa Pia
🟨
37'
Gaizka Larrazabal
Casa Pia
⚽
37'
A. Conte
Arouca
VAR
43'
João Goulart
Casa Pia
⚽
45'
Cassiano
Casa Pia
🔄
53'
K. Osundina ↔ J. Marques
Casa Pia
🟨
56'
Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira
Casa Pia
🔄
67'
I. Barbero ↔ D. Nandin
Arouca
🔄
67'
A. Trezza ↔ B. Mansilla
Arouca
🟨
73'
Cassiano
Casa Pia
🟨
79'
Ignacio de Arruabarrena
Arouca
🟨
83'
Joao Marques
Casa Pia
VAR
83'
Joao Marques
Casa Pia
🔄
84'
Cassiano ↔ D. Livramento
Casa Pia
🔄
84'
R. Brito ↔ I. Mohamed
Casa Pia
🔄
84'
Tiago Esgaio ↔ D. Monteiro
Arouca
🔄
84'
E. van Ee ↔ P. Gozalbez
Arouca
🔄
84'
B. Kuipers ↔ Puche
Arouca
🔄
90+3'
J. Livolant ↔ C. Mendes
Casa Pia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Casa Pia Win 0%
Draw 0%
Arouca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Casa Pia1.51
Arouca1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Casa Pia Casa Pia
WWDLW
22 GF / 39 GA
Arouca Arouca
WLDWL
26 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.86
Average Goals Conceded
2.19
10
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
14
2.9
Shots on Goal
3.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Casa Pia Casa Pia 21 matches
Arouca Arouca 21 matches
Casa Pia Statistic Arouca
4 Wins 6
7 Draws 5
10 Losses 10
22 Goals For 26
39 Goals Against 46
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.86 Avg Goals Conceded 2.19
10 BTTS Yes 11
18 Over 1.5 18
11 Over 2.5 14
7 Over 3.5 11
4 Clean Sheets 4
9 Failed To Score 7
2.9 Shots On Goal 3.38
8.48 Total Shots 10.38
3.62 Corners 3.86
44.1% Ball Possession 49.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Casa Pia won 5 times, Arouca won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:8 from Casa Pia's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Casa Pia 3-4-3 / Arouca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Casa Pia wins 5, draws 3, Arouca wins 2
Stats
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Arouca Arouca
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
2 Corner Kicks 3
21 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 1
31% Ball Possession 69%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 1
3 Blocked Shots 3
7 Shots insidebox 4
4 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
222 Total passes 502
150 Passes accurate 426
2.07 expected_goals 1.22
🟨 5 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Casa Pia
Formation
Arouca
P. Sequeira
P. Sequeira
J. Goulart
J. Goulart
Kaly
Kaly
D. Sousa
D. Sousa
G. Larrazabal
G. Larrazabal
L. Ofori
L. Ofori
R. Brito
⚽ ↓
R. Brito
A. Conte
⚽ 🎯
A. Conte
J. Livolant
🎯 ↓
J. Livolant
Cassiano
⚽ 2 ↓
Cassiano
K. Osundina
↓
K. Osundina
I. De Arruabarrena
I. De Arruabarrena
Tiago Esgaio
🎯 ↓
Tiago Esgaio
J. Sanchez
J. Sanchez
J. Fontan
J. Fontan
B. Kuipers
↓
B. Kuipers
E. van Ee
↓
E. van Ee
T. Fukui
T. Fukui
A. Trezza
↓
A. Trezza
H. Lee
H. Lee
N. Djouahra
N. Djouahra
I. Barbero
⚽ ↓
I. Barbero
Casa Pia 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
P. Sequeira
G
4
J. Goulart
D
3
Kaly
🟨 56'
D
43
D. Sousa
🟨 10'
D
72
G. Larrazabal
🟨 37'
M
80
L. Ofori
M
8
R. Brito
⚽ 21' ↓ 84'
M
5
A. Conte
⚽ 37' 🎯 21'
M
29
J. Livolant
🎯 25' ↓ 90+3'
F
90
Cassiano
⚽ 25' ⚽ 45' ↓ 84' 🟨 73'
F
13
K. Osundina
↓ 53'
F
Substitutes
95
I. Mandic
G
10
D. Livramento
↑ 84'
F
11
J. Marques
↑ 53' 🟨 83'
M
18
A. Geraldes
D
21
T. Morais
F
24
I. Mohamed
↑ 84'
M
27
Kaique Rocha
D
75
P. Rosas
D
99
C. Mendes
↑ 90+3'
F
Arouca 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
I. De Arruabarrena
🟨 79'
G
28
Tiago Esgaio
🎯 11' ↓ 84'
D
15
J. Sanchez
🟨 6'
D
3
J. Fontan
D
25
B. Kuipers
↓ 84'
D
22
E. van Ee
↓ 84'
M
21
T. Fukui
M
19
A. Trezza
↓ 67'
M
14
H. Lee
M
7
N. Djouahra
M
17
I. Barbero
⚽ 11' ↓ 67'
F
Substitutes
1
J. Valido
G
5
B. Popovic
D
6
D. Monteiro
↑ 84'
D
10
P. Gozalbez
↑ 84'
M
11
Puche
↑ 84'
F
20
J. Santiago Perez
M
23
D. Nandin
↑ 67'
F
24
B. Mansilla
↑ 67'
F
44
A. Dante
D
Last matches: Casa Pia
08.08.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Maritimo
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Leixoes
2
6
L
25.07.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Benfica B
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Estrela
2
1
W
28.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
2
0
W
20.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Vitória SC
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Tondela
0
1
L
27.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
23.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
SC Braga
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Alverca
1
3
L
06.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Benfica
1
1
D
20.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estrela
0
4
L
07.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estoril
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Moreirense
1
1
D
23.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Famalicao
0
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Nacional
0
0
D
02.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
FC Porto
2
1
W
Last matches: Arouca
08.08.26
Pri
Arouca
Guimaraes
1
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Arouca
Lusitânia Lourosa
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Santa Clara
0
3
L
22.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Feirense
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Rio Ave
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Arouca
Tondela
3
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Arouca
GIL Vicente
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Arouca
Santa Clara
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Alverca
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Estrela
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Arouca
SC Braga
0
1
L
06.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Estoril
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Moreirense
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Benfica
1
2
L
06.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Arouca
FC Porto
1
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Nacional
3
0
W
07.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Vitória SC
3
2
W
31.01.26
Pri
Arouca
Rio Ave
3
0
W
H2H: Casa Pia vs Arouca
14.02.26
H2H
Casa Pia
Arouca
3
2
W
14.09.25
H2H
Arouca
Casa Pia
0
2
W
04.05.25
H2H
Arouca
Casa Pia
0
0
D
20.12.24
H2H
Casa Pia
Arouca
3
1
W
18.02.24
H2H
Casa Pia
Arouca
1
0
W
17.09.23
H2H
Arouca
Casa Pia
0
1
W
25.02.23
H2H
Arouca
Casa Pia
2
0
L
04.09.22
H2H
Casa Pia
Arouca
0
0
D
09.05.21
H2H
Arouca
Casa Pia
2
1
L
10.01.21
H2H
Casa Pia
Arouca
1
1
D
Last matches: Casa Pia
28.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
2
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Tondela
0
1
L
23.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
SC Braga
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
0
0
D
06.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Benfica
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Moreirense
1
1
D
02.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
FC Porto
2
1
W
23.01.26
Pri
Casa Pia
AVS
3
3
D
28.12.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Vitória SC
0
0
D
13.12.25
Pri
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
1
1
D
29.11.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Alverca
0
2
L
01.11.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Estrela
3
5
L
03.10.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Estoril
2
2
D
21.09.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Famalicao
1
1
D
30.08.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Nacional
0
2
L
08.08.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Sporting CP
0
2
L
H2H at home: Casa Pia
14.02.26
H2H
Casa Pia
Arouca
3
2
W
20.12.24
H2H
Casa Pia
Arouca
3
1
W
18.02.24
H2H
Casa Pia
Arouca
1
0
W
04.09.22
H2H
Casa Pia
Arouca
0
0
D
10.01.21
H2H
Casa Pia
Arouca
1
1
D
Last matches: Arouca
08.08.26
Pri
Arouca
Guimaraes
1
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Arouca
Lusitânia Lourosa
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Santa Clara
0
3
L
22.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Feirense
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Rio Ave
1
2
L
11.05.26
Pri
Arouca
GIL Vicente
3
1
W
24.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Alverca
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Arouca
SC Braga
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Moreirense
1
0
W
06.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Arouca
FC Porto
1
3
L
31.01.26
Pri
Arouca
Rio Ave
3
0
W
17.01.26
Pri
Arouca
AVS
1
0
W
03.01.26
Pri
Arouca
Tondela
1
3
L
21.12.25
Pri
Arouca
Santa Clara
0
0
D
07.12.25
Pri
Arouca
Estrela
1
3
L
07.11.25
Pri
Arouca
Estoril
3
4
L
25.10.25
Pri
Arouca
Benfica
0
5
L
20.09.25
Pri
Arouca
Nacional
2
1
W
H2H away: Arouca
14.02.26
H2H
Casa Pia
Arouca
3
2
L
20.12.24
H2H
Casa Pia
Arouca
3
1
L
18.02.24
H2H
Casa Pia
Arouca
1
0
L
04.09.22
H2H
Casa Pia
Arouca
0
0
D
10.01.21
H2H
Casa Pia
Arouca
1
1
D