ITALY SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio dei Marmi
Referee: Andrea Calzavara, Italy
Carrarese
Match Timeline
Mantova
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
B. Tomasevic
Mantova
22'
F. Ruocco · Assist: E. Gliozzi
Mantova
🟨
45'
F. Modesto
Mantova
🔄
46'
B. Tomasevic ↔ A. Meroni
Mantova
🟨
56'
J. Rouhi
Carrarese
🔄
57'
J. Silva ↔ D. Wieser
Mantova
🔄
59'
F. Abiuso ↔ G. Marconi
Carrarese
🔄
59'
Y. Khafi ↔ T. Guercio
Carrarese
61'
R. Ilie · Assist: A. Castellini
Mantova
🔄
67'
R. Ilie ↔ F. Chinetti
Mantova
🔄
67'
F. Ruocco ↔ D. Bragantini
Mantova
🔄
75'
J. Rouhi ↔ P. Pinelli
Carrarese
80'
P. Pinelli · Assist: M. Cisse
Carrarese
🔄
84'
F. Reale ↔ M. Finotto
Carrarese
🔄
84'
L. Romani ↔ N. Schiavi
Carrarese
🔄
90+2'
A. Meroni ↔ F. Paoletti
Mantova

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 48.7%
Odds 3.07
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.03
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
48.7%
3.07
BTTS Yes
58.2%
1.75
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.03
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.20
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Carrarese Win 37.3%
Draw 14.1%
Mantova Win 48.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Carrarese0.52
Mantova2.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Carrarese Carrarese
WWDLW
1 GF / 3 GA
Mantova Mantova
WLDWL
18 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
0.33
Average Goals Scored
3.6
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
0
BTTS Yes
2
0
Over 2.5
3
3
Shots on Goal
7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Carrarese Carrarese 3 matches
Mantova Mantova 5 matches
Carrarese Statistic Mantova
1 Wins 4
0 Draws 0
2 Losses 1
1 Goals For 18
3 Goals Against 4
0.33 Avg Goals Scored 3.6
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
0 BTTS Yes 2
1 Over 1.5 4
0 Over 2.5 3
0 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 1
3 Shots On Goal 7
8 Total Shots 12
3 Corners 3
28% Ball Possession 30%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Carrarese won 0 times, Mantova won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from Carrarese's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.9%)
Predicted formations: Carrarese 3-5-2 / Mantova 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Carrarese wins 0, draws 3, Mantova wins 1
Stats
Carrarese Carrarese
Mantova Mantova
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
4
2 Corner Kicks 3
19 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 0
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Goal 4
6 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 4
6 Shots insidebox 9
4 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
430 Total passes 465
333 Passes accurate 377
0.86 expected_goals 1.17
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Carrarese
Formation
Mantova
Giovanni Garofani
Giovanni Garofani
Fabio Ruggeri
Fabio Ruggeri
Filippo Oliana
Filippo Oliana
Lorenzo Romani
Lorenzo Romani
Niccolò Belloni
Niccolò Belloni
Gabriele Parlanti
Gabriele Parlanti
Yanis Khafi
Yanis Khafi
Filippo Reale
Filippo Reale
Jonas Rouhi
Jonas Rouhi
Fabio Abiuso
Fabio Abiuso
Moustapha Cissé
🎯
Moustapha Cissé
Francesco Bardi
Francesco Bardi
Bodin Tomašević
Bodin Tomašević
Stefano Cella
Stefano Cella
Alessio Castellini
🎯
Alessio Castellini
Jonathan Silva
Jonathan Silva
Simone Trimboli
Simone Trimboli
Lorenzo Ignacchiti
Lorenzo Ignacchiti
Fahem Benaissa-Yahia
Fahem Benaissa-Yahia
Rareș Ilie
Rareș Ilie
Francesco Ruocco
Francesco Ruocco
Ettore Gliozzi
🎯
Ettore Gliozzi
Carrarese 3-5-2
Starting XI
12
Giovanni Garofani
G
13
Fabio Ruggeri
D
6
Filippo Oliana
D
41
Lorenzo Romani
↓ 84'
D
7
Niccolò Belloni
M
77
Gabriele Parlanti
M
8
Yanis Khafi
↓ 59'
M
33
Filippo Reale
↓ 84'
M
73
Jonas Rouhi
↓ 75' 🟨 56'
M
9
Fabio Abiuso
↓ 59'
F
11
Moustapha Cissé
🎯 80'
F
Substitutes
78
Tommaso Guercio
↑ 59'
D
91
Giacomo Marconi
↑ 59'
F
66
Pietro Pinelli
⚽ 80' ↑ 75'
M
18
Nicolas Schiavi
↑ 84'
M
32
Mattia Finotto
↑ 84'
F
19
Vincenzo Fiorillo
G
22
Mattia Bencaster
G
56
Niccolò Romagnoli
D
25
Filippo Liberati
M
71
Giulio Baroncelli
M
Mantova 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
22
Francesco Bardi
G
5
Bodin Tomašević
↓ 46' 🟨 10'
D
29
Stefano Cella
D
27
Alessio Castellini
🎯 61'
D
41
Jonathan Silva
↓ 57'
M
21
Simone Trimboli
M
25
Lorenzo Ignacchiti
M
50
Fahem Benaissa-Yahia
M
8
Rareș Ilie
⚽ 61' ↓ 67'
F
19
Francesco Ruocco
⚽ 22' ↓ 67'
F
9
Ettore Gliozzi
🎯 22'
F
Substitutes
13
Andrea Meroni
↑ 46' ↓ 90+2'
D
10
David Wieser
↑ 57'
M
71
Federico Chinetti
↑ 67'
F
30
Davide Bragantini
↑ 67'
F
20
Flavio Paoletti
↑ 90+2'
M
1
Luca Gemello
G
12
Manuel Gasparini
G
33
Cristian Marai
D
6
Jean Pierre Longonda
M
18
Sambaly Keïta
M
11
Ismael Cajazzo
M
99
Vanja Vlahović
F
Last matches: Carrarese
15.08.26
Cop
Carrarese
Torino
0
1
L
08.08.26
Fri
Carrarese
Virtus Entella
1
0
W
26.07.26
Fri
Carrarese
Napoli
0
2
L
08.05.26
Ser
Carrarese
Virtus Entella
1
2
L
01.05.26
Ser
Carrarese
Cesena
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Carrarese
Frosinone
0
3
L
19.04.26
Ser
Carrarese
Pescara
2
2
D
12.04.26
Ser
Carrarese
Reggiana
0
2
L
06.04.26
Ser
Carrarese
Spezia
3
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Carrarese
Bari
3
0
W
18.03.26
Ser
Carrarese
Sampdoria
2
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Carrarese
Juve Stabia
1
1
D
08.03.26
Ser
Carrarese
Palermo
0
1
L
04.03.26
Ser
Carrarese
Catanzaro
3
3
D
01.03.26
Ser
Carrarese
Mantova
1
1
D
21.02.26
Ser
Carrarese
Monza
0
1
L
14.02.26
Ser
Carrarese
Modena
0
2
L
10.02.26
Ser
Carrarese
Padova
0
1
L
07.02.26
Ser
Carrarese
Sudtirol
0
0
D
31.01.26
Ser
Carrarese
Venezia
1
2
L
Last matches: Mantova
16.08.26
Cop
Mantova
Lazio
2
0
W
09.08.26
Fri
Mantova
Athletic Carpi
0
1
L
06.08.26
Fri
Mantova
Legnago Salus
3
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Mantova
Alcione
6
2
W
26.07.26
Fri
Mantova
Ambrosiana
7
0
W
08.05.26
Ser
Mantova
Frosinone
0
5
L
01.05.26
Ser
Mantova
Monza
3
2
W
25.04.26
Ser
Mantova
Sudtirol
3
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Mantova
Avellino
0
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Mantova
Spezia
2
0
W
06.04.26
Ser
Mantova
Virtus Entella
1
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Mantova
Modena
1
2
L
17.03.26
Ser
Mantova
Cesena
3
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Mantova
Empoli
2
2
D
08.03.26
Ser
Mantova
Juve Stabia
2
0
W
04.03.26
Ser
Mantova
Palermo
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ser
Mantova
Carrarese
1
1
D
21.02.26
Ser
Mantova
Sampdoria
2
1
W
14.02.26
Ser
Mantova
Catanzaro
0
2
L
10.02.26
Ser
Mantova
Reggiana
0
1
L
H2H: Carrarese vs Mantova
01.03.26
H2H
Mantova
Carrarese
1
1
D
27.12.25
H2H
Carrarese
Mantova
0
0
D
09.05.25
H2H
Mantova
Carrarese
2
1
L
20.10.24
H2H
Carrarese
Mantova
1
1
D
Last matches: Carrarese
01.05.26
Ser
Carrarese
Cesena
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Carrarese
Pescara
2
2
D
06.04.26
Ser
Carrarese
Spezia
3
1
W
18.03.26
Ser
Carrarese
Sampdoria
2
0
W
08.03.26
Ser
Carrarese
Palermo
0
1
L
04.03.26
Ser
Carrarese
Catanzaro
3
3
D
21.02.26
Ser
Carrarese
Monza
0
1
L
07.02.26
Ser
Carrarese
Sudtirol
0
0
D
23.01.26
Ser
Carrarese
Empoli
3
0
W
10.01.26
Ser
Carrarese
Bari
1
0
W
27.12.25
Ser
Carrarese
Mantova
0
0
D
14.12.25
Ser
Carrarese
Virtus Entella
3
1
W
22.11.25
Ser
Carrarese
Reggiana
0
0
D
01.11.25
Ser
Carrarese
Frosinone
0
2
L
25.10.25
Ser
Carrarese
Venezia
3
2
W
05.10.25
Ser
Carrarese
Juve Stabia
3
0
W
01.10.25
Ser
Carrarese
Modena
0
0
D
21.09.25
Ser
Carrarese
Avellino
3
4
L
31.08.25
Ser
Carrarese
Padova
0
0
D
H2H at home: Carrarese
27.12.25
H2H
Carrarese
Mantova
0
0
D
20.10.24
H2H
Carrarese
Mantova
1
1
D
Last matches: Mantova
16.08.26
Cop
Mantova
Lazio
2
0
W
06.08.26
Fri
Mantova
Legnago Salus
3
1
W
08.05.26
Ser
Mantova
Frosinone
0
5
L
25.04.26
Ser
Mantova
Sudtirol
3
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Mantova
Spezia
2
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Mantova
Modena
1
2
L
14.03.26
Ser
Mantova
Empoli
2
2
D
04.03.26
Ser
Mantova
Palermo
1
2
L
14.02.26
Ser
Mantova
Catanzaro
0
2
L
10.02.26
Ser
Mantova
Reggiana
0
1
L
31.01.26
Ser
Mantova
Pescara
2
2
D
17.01.26
Ser
Mantova
Padova
2
1
W
27.12.25
Ser
Mantova
Carrarese
0
0
D
13.12.25
Ser
Mantova
Cesena
2
3
L
29.11.25
Ser
Mantova
Venezia
0
3
L
02.11.25
Ser
Mantova
Sampdoria
1
0
W
26.10.25
Ser
Mantova
Bari
0
1
L
04.10.25
Ser
Mantova
Avellino
0
0
D
30.09.25
Ser
Mantova
Juve Stabia
1
2
L
14.09.25
Ser
Mantova
Virtus Entella
0
1
L
H2H away: Mantova
27.12.25
H2H
Carrarese
Mantova
0
0
D
20.10.24
H2H
Carrarese
Mantova
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.07
Draw 3.19
Home 2.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.67
Draw 2.19
Home 3.01
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.31
Over 2.0 1.51
Over 2.25 1.77
Over 2.5 2.03
Over 2.75 2.32
Over 3.0 2.83
Over 3.5 3.48
Over 4.5 6.81
Under 1.5 3.37
Under 2.0 2.56
Under 2.25 2.06
Under 2.5 1.80
Under 2.75 1.61
Under 3.0 1.43
Under 3.5 1.29
Under 4.5 1.10
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 3.20
Home 2.35
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.10
Home 3.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 2.40
Home 2.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.30
Over 2.5 2.00
Over 3.5 3.40
Over 4.5 7.00
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Under 0.5 9.50
Under 1.5 3.40
Under 2.5 1.80
Under 3.5 1.30
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.06
Draw 3.22
Home 2.33
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.80
Draw 2.02
Home 2.96
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.32
Draw 2.45
Home 2.59
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.13
Over 1.5 1.24
Over 1.75 1.32
Over 2.0 1.41
Over 2.25 1.68
Over 2.5 1.89
Over 2.75 2.08
Over 3.0 2.49
Over 3.25 2.79
Over 3.5 3.08
Over 3.75 3.80
Over 4.0 5.25
Over 4.25 5.64
Over 4.5 6.05
Over 5.0 9.40
Over 5.5 12.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Under 0.5 8.20
Under 0.75 8.70
Under 1.0 8.10
Under 1.25 4.66
Under 1.5 3.38
Under 1.75 3.02
Under 2.0 2.62
Under 2.25 2.15
Under 2.5 1.88
Under 2.75 1.64
Under 3.0 1.45
Under 3.25 1.34
Under 3.5 1.28
Under 3.75 1.19
Under 4.0 1.09
Under 4.25 1.08
Under 4.5 1.06
Under 5.0 1.02
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.95
Draw 3.30
Home 2.33
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.30
Draw 2.08
Home 2.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 2.45
Home 2.65
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.0 1.45
Over 2.25 1.68
Over 2.5 1.90
Over 2.75 2.16
Over 3.0 2.63
Over 3.25 3.00
Over 3.5 3.25
Over 4.5 6.00
Under 1.5 3.20
Under 2.0 2.50
Under 2.25 2.02
Under 2.5 1.77
Under 2.75 1.58
Under 3.0 1.41
Under 3.25 1.32
Under 3.5 1.28
Under 4.5 1.08

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
3 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
5 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
6 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
7 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
8 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
15 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
16 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
18 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
19 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
?
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation