Login Register
ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
24.10.2026 14:00
Abbey Stadium

Cambridge United vs Plymouth Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Cambridge United Win 39.9%
Draw 12.8%
Plymouth Win 47.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cambridge United1.26
Plymouth1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cambridge United Cambridge United
WWDLW
22 GF / 14 GA
Plymouth Plymouth
WLDWL
31 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.82
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
11
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
8
4.5
Shots on Goal
4.91

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cambridge United Cambridge United 15 matches
Plymouth Plymouth 17 matches
Cambridge United Statistic Plymouth
8 Wins 11
6 Draws 2
1 Losses 4
22 Goals For 31
14 Goals Against 16
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.82
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
11 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 4
4.5 Shots On Goal 4.91
13.6 Total Shots 14.55
7.4 Corners 5.27
48% Ball Possession 45.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Plymouth. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Plymouth look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cambridge United expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Plymouth in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Plymouth having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Cambridge United Analysis

Placed 5 with 16 points from 9 outings, Cambridge United continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 14:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through G. Yahyai (3 goals), B. Knight (2 goals), Z. Bradshaw (2 goals), with creative support from P. Mpanzu (2 assists), B. Knight (1 assists), Z. Bradshaw (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Plymouth Analysis

Plymouth approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 19 points after 10 outings. With 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 18:12, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Pepple (4 goals), W. Evans (3 goals), O. Irow (3 goals), with creative support from R. Curtis (2 assists), B. Ibrahim (2 assists), H. White (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Cambridge United won 4 times, Plymouth won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:12 from Cambridge United's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.92 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.2%)
Predicted formations: Cambridge United 4-2-3-1 / Plymouth 4-4-2
H2H summary: Cambridge United wins 4, draws 4, Plymouth wins 4

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 10:5 5 20
W D D W W
2 10 6 1 3 21:11 10 19
W W W D L
3 10 5 4 1 18:9 9 19
W D W L D
4 11 6 1 4 18:14 4 19
L W W L W
5 10 5 4 1 16:12 4 19
W W D D W
6 9 5 3 1 20:8 12 18
W D D D W
7 10 4 3 3 22:12 10 15
L W D D W
8 8 4 3 1 16:9 7 15
D W D W W
9 10 4 2 4 15:11 4 14
W D L W L
10 11 3 4 4 16:18 -2 13
D L L W D
11 10 3 4 3 16:20 -4 13
W L D W W
12 9 3 3 3 12:10 2 12
L W L W W
13 9 3 3 3 13:15 -2 12
D W D D L
14 9 3 3 3 12:15 -3 12
W L D W L
15 10 3 3 4 7:15 -8 12
L L D D W
16 9 3 2 4 17:17 0 11
L W L L D
17 9 2 3 4 10:11 -1 9
L W W L L
18 9 1 6 2 11:16 -5 9
W L D D D
19 10 2 3 5 9:16 -7 9
D W L L D
20 9 2 2 5 13:16 -3 8
L L L D L
21 9 2 2 5 9:17 -8 8
L L D L L
22 9 2 2 5 9:21 -12 8
L L W D L
23 9 1 4 4 8:13 -5 7
L L L L D
24 9 2 1 6 6:13 -7 7
W L L D L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two