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ITALY › SERIE A
24.10.2026 13:00
Unipol Domus

Cagliari vs Bologna Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 70.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
70.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
67.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Cagliari Win 50.7%
Draw 20.1%
Bologna Win 29.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cagliari1.16
Bologna0.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cagliari Cagliari
WWDLW
11 GF / 11 GA
Bologna Bologna
WLDWL
13 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
0.85
Average Goals Scored
1
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.62
4
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
6
3.89
Shots on Goal
3.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cagliari Cagliari 13 matches
Bologna Bologna 13 matches
Cagliari Statistic Bologna
6 Wins 3
4 Draws 3
3 Losses 7
11 Goals For 13
11 Goals Against 21
0.85 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.62
4 BTTS Yes 7
5 Over 1.5 9
4 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 5
3.89 Shots On Goal 3.57
11.44 Total Shots 12.57
4.11 Corners 3.71
43.7% Ball Possession 48.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Cagliari's more proactive style and Bologna's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Bologna. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cagliari expected to line up in 4-3-2-1 and Bologna in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bologna having the stronger overall control. Cagliari arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 13 points compared to Bologna in 14 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Cagliari Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 13 points from 6 games, Cagliari bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 6:3, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through D. Maldini (4 goals), P. Mendy (1 goals), with creative support from P. Mendy (1 assists), M. Adopo (1 assists), J. Fazzini (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Bologna Analysis

Bologna approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 5 points from 6 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 5:7, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through R. Piccoli (1 goals), F. Bernardeschi (1 goals), R. Orsolini (1 goals), with creative support from N. Cambiaghi (2 assists), Juan Miranda (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cagliari won 5 times, Bologna won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:21 from Cagliari's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.9%)
Predicted formations: Cagliari 4-3-2-1 / Bologna 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Cagliari 1, Bologna 0
H2H summary: Cagliari wins 5, draws 2, Bologna wins 8

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 1 0 21:9 12 19
W W D W W
2 7 6 1 0 14:4 10 19
W W W D W
3 7 5 2 0 16:3 13 17
W D D W W
4 7 4 3 0 14:7 7 15
W D W D D
5 7 4 2 1 12:7 5 14
W D L W W
6 7 4 1 2 13:9 4 13
W L W D W
7 6 4 1 1 6:3 3 13
D W W W L
8 7 3 2 2 9:8 1 11
L D W L D
9 7 3 1 3 10:7 3 10
L W D W L
10 7 3 0 4 10:11 -1 9
L W L L L
11 7 3 0 4 9:12 -3 9
W L L W L
12 7 2 2 3 12:14 -2 8
L D L W D
13 6 2 1 3 7:9 -2 7
W D L W L
14 7 1 2 4 6:10 -4 5
L W D L D
15 6 1 1 4 9:15 -6 4
L W L D L
16 6 1 1 4 4:10 -6 4
L W L D L
17 7 1 1 5 9:16 -7 4
L L L L L
18 7 1 1 5 5:13 -8 4
L W L D L
19 7 1 1 5 8:17 -9 4
L L D W L
20 7 1 0 6 6:16 -10 3
W L L L L
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