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24.10.2026 16:00
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

CA River Plate vs Uruguay Montevideo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
CA River Plate Win 71.7%
Draw 6.2%
Uruguay Montevideo Win 22.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
CA River Plate1.4
Uruguay Montevideo1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
CA River Plate CA River Plate
L W L W D
10 GF / 7 GA
Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Montevideo
D L L L L
3 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
0.97
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
17
BTTS Yes
16
16
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CA River Plate CA River Plate 29 matches
Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Montevideo 29 matches
CA River Plate Statistic Uruguay Montevideo
10 Wins 6
7 Draws 9
12 Losses 14
41 Goals For 28
42 Goals Against 40
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
17 BTTS Yes 16
22 Over 1.5 21
16 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Uruguay Montevideo's more proactive style and CA River Plate's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Uruguay Montevideo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 9 points while CA River Plate sit 13 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Uruguay Montevideo. CA River Plate have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Uruguay Montevideo having the stronger overall control.

CA River Plate Analysis

CA River Plate approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 4 points from 6 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 6:13 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Uruguay Montevideo Analysis

Uruguay Montevideo are currently 6 in the standings with 9 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 7:5 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, CA River Plate won 0 times, Uruguay Montevideo won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from CA River Plate's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.8%)
H2H summary: CA River Plate wins 0, draws 1, Uruguay Montevideo wins 0

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D