ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
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Estadio Ciudad de Caseros

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
CA Estudiantes Win 37.5%
Draw 4.6%
Ferro Carril Oeste Win 58%
Expected Goals (xG)
CA Estudiantes0.86
Ferro Carril Oeste1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes
WWDLW
23 GF / 24 GA
Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste
WLDWL
32 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.85
Average Goals Scored
1.23
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
9
BTTS Yes
11
7
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes 27 matches
Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 26 matches
CA Estudiantes Statistic Ferro Carril Oeste
9 Wins 16
8 Draws 4
10 Losses 6
23 Goals For 32
24 Goals Against 23
0.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
9 BTTS Yes 11
16 Over 1.5 15
7 Over 2.5 10
0 Over 3.5 4
10 Clean Sheets 11
11 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ferro Carril Oeste having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ferro Carril Oeste. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Ferro Carril Oeste carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 49 points while CA Estudiantes sit 7 on 35, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

CA Estudiantes Analysis

CA Estudiantes are currently 7 in the standings with 35 points from 25 matches. The record of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 22:20 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Ferro Carril Oeste Analysis

Ferro Carril Oeste approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 49 points after 25 outings. They have recorded 15 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a 31:23 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, CA Estudiantes won 4 times, Ferro Carril Oeste won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:8 from CA Estudiantes's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
H2H summary: CA Estudiantes wins 4, draws 1, Ferro Carril Oeste wins 3
Last matches: CA Estudiantes
23.08.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Central Norte
1
2
L
15.08.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Chacarita Juniors
2
0
W
08.08.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Deportivo Madryn
0
1
L
01.08.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Defensores De Belgrano
1
1
D
25.07.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Ciudad de Bolívar
1
2
L
17.07.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
11.07.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Atletico Mitre
3
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Racing Cordoba
1
1
D
20.06.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Ciudad de Bolívar
2
1
W
14.06.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
All Boys
2
1
W
06.06.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Los Andes
0
0
D
30.05.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Godoy Cruz
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Deportivo Moron
0
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Colon Santa Fe
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
San Miguel
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
San Telmo
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Acassuso
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Chaco For Ever
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Central Norte
1
0
W
Last matches: Ferro Carril Oeste
24.08.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
All Boys
1
0
W
15.08.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Atlanta
3
1
W
09.08.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Los Andes
2
1
W
01.08.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Godoy Cruz
1
3
L
26.07.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Deportivo Moron
0
4
L
17.07.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Colon Santa Fe
2
0
W
11.07.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
San Miguel
1
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
San Telmo
2
1
W
21.06.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Deportivo Moron
1
0
W
14.06.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Acassuso
2
1
W
07.06.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Chaco For Ever
2
1
W
30.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Racing Cordoba
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Central Norte
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Deportivo Madryn
1
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Defensores De Belgrano
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Ciudad de Bolívar
4
2
W
28.04.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Almirante Brown
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Atletico Mitre
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
CA Estudiantes
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
All Boys
0
0
D
H2H: CA Estudiantes vs Ferro Carril Oeste
12.04.26
H2H
Ferro Carril Oeste
CA Estudiantes
0
1
W
23.06.24
H2H
Ferro Carril Oeste
CA Estudiantes
2
2
D
03.02.24
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
0
W
09.07.23
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
2
L
05.03.23
H2H
Ferro Carril Oeste
CA Estudiantes
0
2
W
04.06.22
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
2
L
10.01.21
H2H
Ferro Carril Oeste
CA Estudiantes
1
2
W
11.04.20
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
0
D
22.10.19
H2H
Ferro Carril Oeste
CA Estudiantes
1
0
L
Last matches: CA Estudiantes
15.08.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Chacarita Juniors
2
0
W
08.08.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Deportivo Madryn
0
1
L
25.07.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Ciudad de Bolívar
1
2
L
11.07.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Atletico Mitre
3
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Racing Cordoba
1
1
D
14.06.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
All Boys
2
1
W
30.05.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Godoy Cruz
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Colon Santa Fe
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
San Telmo
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Chaco For Ever
0
0
D
04.04.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Central Norte
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Defensores De Belgrano
0
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Almirante Brown
0
1
L
18.05.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Sacachispas
4
2
W
08.05.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
All Boys
1
2
L
20.04.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Barracas Central
0
0
D
29.03.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Flandria
2
0
W
20.03.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Deportivo Riestra
1
2
L
09.03.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Atlanta
3
1
W
22.02.19
Pri
CA Estudiantes
Talleres Remedios
2
0
W
H2H at home: CA Estudiantes
03.02.24
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
0
W
09.07.23
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
2
L
04.06.22
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
2
L
11.04.20
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
0
D
Last matches: Ferro Carril Oeste
09.08.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Los Andes
2
1
W
26.07.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Deportivo Moron
0
4
L
11.07.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
San Miguel
1
0
W
07.06.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Chaco For Ever
2
1
W
30.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Racing Cordoba
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Deportivo Madryn
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Ciudad de Bolívar
4
2
W
19.04.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Atletico Mitre
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
All Boys
0
0
D
28.03.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Atlanta
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Godoy Cruz
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Colon Santa Fe
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
San Telmo
2
0
W
H2H away: Ferro Carril Oeste
03.02.24
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
0
L
09.07.23
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
2
W
04.06.22
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
2
W
11.04.20
H2H
CA Estudiantes
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
0
D

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 16 4 6 32:23 9 52
W W W L L
2 25 13 6 6 41:24 17 45
D W W L W
3 26 12 9 5 34:20 14 45
W W W D L
4 26 11 8 7 22:16 6 41
W L W W D
5 25 10 10 5 36:24 12 40
W D W W D
6 25 11 7 7 29:22 7 40
W L W W W
7 26 9 8 9 23:22 1 35
L W L D L
8 26 8 11 7 22:23 -1 35
D L L L W
9 25 8 9 8 20:15 5 33
L L L L D
10 26 8 8 10 24:29 -5 32
D D W L W
11 25 6 11 8 20:25 -5 29
L W L L D
12 26 6 11 9 25:33 -8 29
L D W W D
13 25 6 9 10 17:25 -8 27
W D D W L
14 26 5 12 9 15:24 -9 27
L W D L D
15 25 5 11 9 16:23 -7 26
L D L D D
16 25 6 7 12 22:29 -7 25
W L L W W
17 25 5 9 11 20:29 -9 24
D L L W L
18 25 5 7 13 18:30 -12 22
L D L D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation