ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
25.07.2026 18:00
Estadio Ciudad de Caseros
CA Estudiantes
Match Timeline
Ciudad de Bolívar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
A. Paredes
Ciudad de Bolívar
33'
A. Gonzalez
Ciudad de Bolívar
35'
F. Quinteros · Assist: F. Ardiles
CA Estudiantes
🟨
36'
E. Navarro
Ciudad de Bolívar
🟨
37'
N. Yeri
Ciudad de Bolívar
45'
F. Mucignat · Assist: G. Sanchez
Ciudad de Bolívar
🟨
53'
J. Correa
CA Estudiantes
🔄
56'
M. Albarracin ↔ I. Vera
CA Estudiantes
🟨
62'
R. Melo
CA Estudiantes
🔄
66'
R. Melo ↔ B. Degregorio
CA Estudiantes
🔄
66'
J. Correa ↔ S. Camacho
CA Estudiantes
🔄
66'
M. Acosta ↔ E. Almiron
CA Estudiantes
🔄
71'
A. Gonzalez ↔ A. Diaz
Ciudad de Bolívar
🔄
77'
E. Acosta ↔ L. Silva
CA Estudiantes
🔄
80'
F. Mucignat ↔ K. Caraballo
Ciudad de Bolívar
🔄
80'
G. Sanchez ↔ F. Ilarregui
Ciudad de Bolívar
🟨
85'
F. Peralta
Ciudad de Bolívar
🔄
89'
T. Guiacobini ↔ B. Quintana
Ciudad de Bolívar
🔄
89'
M. Gutierrez ↔ M. Gridel
Ciudad de Bolívar
🟨
90+5'
A. Rufinetti
Ciudad de Bolívar

CA Estudiantes vs Ciudad de Bolívar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 46.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
46.4%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
CA Estudiantes Win 46.4%
Draw 17.1%
Ciudad de Bolívar Win 36.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
CA Estudiantes0.8
Ciudad de Bolívar0.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes
WWDLW
18 GF / 18 GA
Ciudad de Bolívar Ciudad de Bolívar
WLDWL
19 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
0.86
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
0.77
6
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes 22 matches
Ciudad de Bolívar Ciudad de Bolívar 22 matches
CA Estudiantes Statistic Ciudad de Bolívar
8 Wins 7
7 Draws 10
7 Losses 5
18 Goals For 19
18 Goals Against 17
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 0.77
6 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 10
5 Over 2.5 5
0 Over 3.5 3
9 Clean Sheets 12
10 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ciudad de Bolívar. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ciudad de Bolívar having the stronger overall control. Ciudad de Bolívar arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

CA Estudiantes Analysis

CA Estudiantes approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 31 points after 21 outings. They have recorded 8 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, with a 18:16 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Ciudad de Bolívar Analysis

Ciudad de Bolívar approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 30 points from 20 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 19:16, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, CA Estudiantes won 1 times, Ciudad de Bolívar won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from CA Estudiantes's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.9%)
Predicted formations: CA Estudiantes - / Ciudad de Bolívar 4-4-2
H2H summary: CA Estudiantes wins 1, draws 0, Ciudad de Bolívar wins 1

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 17 7 6 35:25 10 58
W D D D W
2 29 16 7 6 47:27 20 55
W W W D D
3 29 14 7 8 36:25 11 49
W W W L W
4 29 12 10 7 42:28 14 46
L W L W W
5 29 12 10 7 23:16 7 46
D D W W L
6 29 12 9 8 35:25 10 45
L L L W W
7 30 11 9 10 27:25 2 42
W W L D L
8 30 9 12 9 24:27 -3 39
L D L W D
9 29 8 13 8 22:17 5 37
D D D D L
10 29 9 8 12 26:34 -8 35
L L W D D
11 29 8 9 12 26:29 -3 33
D W D W W
12 29 7 12 10 22:26 -4 33
W D W L L
13 30 6 14 10 17:26 -9 32
D L W D L
14 30 6 14 10 27:37 -10 32
L D D D L
15 29 6 13 10 19:27 -8 31
D D D D W
16 30 6 13 11 24:34 -10 31
D D L L L
17 30 7 10 13 23:34 -11 31
L W D L W
18 30 6 8 16 21:34 -13 26
W L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation