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18.10.2026 19:00
Municipal El Plantio
Referee: Manuel Angel Perez Hernandez
Burgos
Match Timeline
Sabadell
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
Alejandro Lizancos Saldaña
Burgos
🟨
13'
Grego Sierra
Burgos
🟨
29'
Óscar Sanz
Sabadell
🟨
31'
Sergio Francisco
Burgos
🔄
34'
David Gonzalez ↔ Curro
Burgos
🔄
45'
Kevin Appin ↔ Alberto Dadie
Burgos
VAR
62'
Curro
Burgos
⚽
63'
Curro
Burgos
🔄
64'
Pere Pons ↔ Eneko Aguilar
Sabadell
🔄
64'
Ton Ripoll ↔ Yanis Rahmani
Sabadell
🔄
64'
José Luis Català ↔ Gastón Joaquín Valles Velázquez
Sabadell
🔄
75'
Jon Karrikaburu ↔ Álex Forés
Burgos
🔄
76'
Javier Llabrés Exposito ↔ Victor Mollejo
Burgos
🔄
78'
Joel Priego ↔ Alain Ribeiro
Sabadell
🔄
78'
Quadri Liameed ↔ Nikolay Obolskiy
Sabadell
🔄
79'
Pablo Galdames ↔ José Gragera
Burgos

Burgos vs Sabadell Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.4%
Odds 2.95
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds 2.86
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.4%
2.95 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
2.10 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
2.86 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.58 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.33 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Burgos Win 59.4%
Draw 5%
Sabadell Win 35.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Burgos1.03
Sabadell1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Burgos Burgos
WWDLW
16 GF / 14 GA
Sabadell Sabadell
WLDWL
18 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.87
6
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
6
3.11
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Burgos Burgos 14 matches
Sabadell Sabadell 15 matches
Burgos Statistic Sabadell
6 Wins 6
4 Draws 7
4 Losses 2
16 Goals For 18
14 Goals Against 13
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.87
6 BTTS Yes 7
8 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 6
3.11 Shots On Goal 4
11.22 Total Shots 14.78
3.44 Corners 5.67
49% Ball Possession 44.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sabadell. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Burgos Analysis

Burgos are currently 7 in the standings with 14 points from 8 matches. The record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 12:9 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through David González (3 goals), Álex Forés (3 goals), Jon Karrikaburu (2 goals), with creative support from Jon Karrikaburu (2 assists), Javi Llabrés (2 assists), David González (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Sabadell Analysis

Sabadell arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 16 points after 9 matches. The record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 10:7 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through N. Gioacchini (3 goals), Ángel Baena (3 goals), Urri (1 goals), with creative support from Ton Ripoll (3 assists), Q. Liameed (3 assists), Urri (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Burgos 4-4-2 / Sabadell 4-4-2

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 0 2 20:7 13 24
W W W W W
2 10 7 2 1 18:4 14 23
W L D W W
3 10 7 1 2 20:11 9 22
D L W W W
4 10 6 1 3 11:9 2 19
W W W L W
5 10 5 3 2 17:9 8 18
W D D W W
6 10 5 3 2 12:5 7 18
D W D L W
7 10 5 2 3 16:13 3 17
W W W L L
8 10 5 2 3 13:10 3 17
W L L W W
9 10 5 2 3 13:10 3 17
W W L W L
10 10 4 4 2 10:8 2 16
L W D D W
11 10 4 2 4 13:13 0 14
W W W L L
12 10 3 3 4 15:14 1 12
L W D W D
13 9 3 3 3 11:13 -2 12
D L D L W
14 10 4 0 6 15:20 -5 12
W L W L W
15 9 3 2 4 14:15 -1 11
W L D L L
16 10 3 2 5 13:19 -6 11
L L D L L
17 10 3 2 5 6:15 -9 11
L L L L W
18 10 3 1 6 13:17 -4 10
L W D W L
19 10 2 2 6 14:21 -7 8
L L L L L
20 10 1 4 5 11:13 -2 7
L L W D L
21 10 1 2 7 9:22 -13 5
L L D W D
22 10 0 1 9 6:22 -16 1
L L L L L
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation