Login Register
27.09.2026 16:30
Municipal El Plantio
Referee: Abraham Dominguez Cervantes, Spain
Burgos
Match Timeline
Eldense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
32'
Álex Serradell
Eldense
⚽
45'
D. Gonzalez Ballesteros · Assist: A. Fores
Burgos
🟨
55'
Unai Vencedor
Burgos
🔄
59'
R. Lopez ↔ J. Martinez
Eldense
🔄
59'
Fidel ↔ W. Rubio
Eldense
🔄
61'
J. Karrikaburu ↔ S. Lencina
Burgos
🔄
61'
J. Llabres ↔ V. Mollejo
Burgos
🔄
71'
I. Vilarrasa ↔ B. Martinez
Burgos
🔄
71'
A. Fores ↔ C. Sanchez
Burgos
🔄
71'
C. Guirao ↔ G. Macho
Eldense
🔄
71'
J. Rastrojo ↔ M. Nieto
Eldense
🔄
80'
J. Clemente ↔ A. Ibarrondo
Eldense
🔄
83'
U. Vencedor ↔ P. Galdames
Burgos
🟨
86'
Santiago Lencina
Burgos
🟨
87'
Juan Larios
Eldense
🟨
90+1'
Oier Luengo
Burgos

Burgos vs Eldense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Burgos Win 73.9%
Draw 6.7%
Eldense Win 19.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Burgos1.43
Eldense0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Burgos Burgos
WWDLW
14 GF / 11 GA
Eldense Eldense
WLDWL
10 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
5
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
8
2.83
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Burgos Burgos 11 matches
Eldense Eldense 12 matches
Burgos Statistic Eldense
5 Wins 2
4 Draws 2
2 Losses 8
14 Goals For 10
11 Goals Against 20
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
5 BTTS Yes 6
7 Over 1.5 8
5 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 5
2.83 Shots On Goal 4
10.5 Total Shots 12.83
3.67 Corners 6.83
49.7% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Burgos's more proactive style and Eldense's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Burgos arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 10 with 8 points compared to Eldense in 17 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Burgos expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Eldense in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Eldense having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Eldense. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Burgos Analysis

So far, Burgos have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 8 points from 5 matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 8:6 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Álex Forés (2 goals), David González (1 goals), Curro Sánchez (1 goals), with creative support from David González (1 assists), Curro Sánchez (1 assists), Jon Karrikaburu (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Eldense Analysis

Eldense sit 17 with 5 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats with a 4:8 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Smith (1 goals), Javi Martínez (1 goals), with creative support from Jorge Rastrojo (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Burgos won 1 times, Eldense won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:5 from Burgos's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.4%)
Predicted formations: Burgos 4-4-2 / Eldense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Burgos wins 1, draws 1, Eldense wins 3

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 0 2 16:5 11 21
W W W W W
2 9 7 0 2 19:10 9 21
L W W W W
3 9 6 2 1 15:4 11 20
L D W W W
4 9 5 2 2 11:4 7 17
W D L W W
5 9 4 4 1 10:7 3 16
W D D W L
6 9 5 1 3 9:8 1 16
W W L W L
7 9 4 3 2 15:9 6 15
D D W W L
8 9 4 2 3 12:10 2 14
L L W W W
9 9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
W L W L W
10 9 4 2 3 14:13 1 14
W W L L D
11 9 3 3 3 13:11 2 12
W D W D L
12 9 3 3 3 11:13 -2 12
D L D L W
13 9 3 2 4 14:15 -1 11
W L D L L
14 9 3 2 4 10:11 -1 11
W W L L W
15 9 3 2 4 13:16 -3 11
L D L L W
16 9 3 2 4 6:14 -8 11
L L L W L
17 9 3 1 5 13:15 -2 10
W D W L L
18 9 3 0 6 14:20 -6 9
L W L W L
19 9 2 2 5 12:17 -5 8
L L L L W
20 9 1 4 4 11:11 0 7
L W D L L
21 9 1 2 6 8:20 -12 5
L D W D L
22 9 0 1 8 5:20 -15 1
L L L L D
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation