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MONTENEGRO › FIRST LEAGUE
24.10.2026 15:00
Podgorica City Stadium

Buducnost Podgorica vs Arsenal Tivat Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Buducnost Podgorica Win 56.7%
Draw 15.5%
Arsenal Tivat Win 27.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Buducnost Podgorica1.66
Arsenal Tivat0.79
Recent Form (Last 5)
Buducnost Podgorica Buducnost Podgorica
WWDLW
27 GF / 20 GA
Arsenal Tivat Arsenal Tivat
WLDWL
11 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
0.65
1
Average Goals Conceded
2.12
5
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Buducnost Podgorica Buducnost Podgorica 20 matches
Arsenal Tivat Arsenal Tivat 17 matches
Buducnost Podgorica Statistic Arsenal Tivat
10 Wins 2
3 Draws 4
7 Losses 11
27 Goals For 11
20 Goals Against 36
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 0.65
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2.12
5 BTTS Yes 8
14 Over 1.5 11
9 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 6
11 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Buducnost Podgorica's more proactive style and Arsenal Tivat's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Buducnost Podgorica arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 15 points compared to Arsenal Tivat in 10 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Arsenal Tivat arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Arsenal Tivat having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Arsenal Tivat. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Buducnost Podgorica Analysis

Buducnost Podgorica approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 15 points after 10 outings. They have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a 11:7 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Arsenal Tivat Analysis

With 7 points from 9 games and a place of 10, Arsenal Tivat still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 5:11 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Buducnost Podgorica won 9 times, Arsenal Tivat won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 36:11 from Buducnost Podgorica's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.5%)
H2H summary: Buducnost Podgorica wins 9, draws 3, Arsenal Tivat wins 3

Standings

Prva Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 5 3 3 12:7 5 18
W D W W W
2 10 5 2 3 17:12 5 17
D W W L W
3 11 4 5 2 14:11 3 17
W D D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:7 4 15
D W W W D
5 9 4 3 2 8:5 3 15
W D W L D
6 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L D L D L
7 11 3 3 5 10:17 -7 12
D D L L W
8 11 2 5 4 12:18 -6 11
D D L D L
9 9 1 5 3 7:9 -2 8
L L D D D
10 10 1 4 5 6:13 -7 7
L L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Prva Crnogorska Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga Liga