COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
07.10.2026 23:15

Bucaramanga vs Independiente Medellin Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Bucaramanga Win 0%
Draw 0%
Independiente Medellin Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bucaramanga1.29
Independiente Medellin1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga
WWDLW
34 GF / 28 GA
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin
WLDWL
50 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
14
BTTS Yes
24
12
Over 2.5
20
4
Shots on Goal
4.24

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 26 matches
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 35 matches
Bucaramanga Statistic Independiente Medellin
7 Wins 16
12 Draws 8
7 Losses 11
34 Goals For 50
28 Goals Against 44
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
14 BTTS Yes 24
20 Over 1.5 26
12 Over 2.5 20
6 Over 3.5 10
9 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 5
4 Shots On Goal 4.24
12.6 Total Shots 13.03
4.16 Corners 4.82
51.1% Ball Possession 48.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bucaramanga won 3 times, Independiente Medellin won 11 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:28 from Bucaramanga's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Bucaramanga 3-4-3 / Independiente Medellin 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bucaramanga wins 3, draws 1, Independiente Medellin wins 11

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W W W L W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
D L D L L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
L D L L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
D W D W W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
W D D L D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
W D W L W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
D D W D L
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D D D D L
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
D L D W L
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D W D W W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W L W W W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D D D W W
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
D D W D D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L W D W
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
L D L W L
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D W D L L
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L L D L L
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
D D L L L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L W W D L
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
W D D L L
Post season qualification