ARGENTINA PRIMERA B METROPOLITANA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla
Brown DE Adrogue
Match Timeline
Excursionistas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
25'
B. Baez ↔ N. Meaurio
Brown DE Adrogue
52'
J. Silva
Brown DE Adrogue
🔄
58'
G. Zoratti ↔ L. Chambi
Excursionistas
🔄
58'
M. Alaniz ↔ A. Avalos
Excursionistas
🔄
58'
M. Polvera ↔ M. Blanco
Excursionistas
🔄
64'
G. Tellas ↔ W. Gimenez
Excursionistas
🔄
65'
J. Silva ↔ F. Ferrario
Brown DE Adrogue
🔄
65'
M. Sproat ↔ B. Lopez
Brown DE Adrogue
🔄
73'
A. Paulides ↔ I. Arbello
Excursionistas
🔄
75'
B. Guerrero ↔ L. Gonzalez
Brown DE Adrogue
🔄
75'
L. Baldunciel ↔ A. Gonzalez
Brown DE Adrogue

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66.7%
-
BTTS No
55%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Brown DE Adrogue Win 29.3%
Draw 4%
Excursionistas Win 66.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brown DE Adrogue0.66
Excursionistas1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brown DE Adrogue Brown DE Adrogue
WWDLW
18 GF / 30 GA
Excursionistas Excursionistas
WLDWL
40 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
0.64
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
0.68
10
BTTS Yes
12
7
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brown DE Adrogue Brown DE Adrogue 28 matches
Excursionistas Excursionistas 28 matches
Brown DE Adrogue Statistic Excursionistas
6 Wins 15
10 Draws 8
12 Losses 5
18 Goals For 40
30 Goals Against 19
0.64 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 0.68
10 BTTS Yes 12
12 Over 1.5 18
7 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 5
11 Clean Sheets 13
13 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Excursionistas's more proactive style and Brown DE Adrogue's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Excursionistas. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Excursionistas having the stronger overall control. Excursionistas carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 50 points while Brown DE Adrogue sit 17 on 28, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Brown DE Adrogue Analysis

Brown DE Adrogue sit 17 with 28 points after 28 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 10 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 18:30 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Excursionistas Analysis

Placed 3 with 50 points from 27 outings, Excursionistas continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 14 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 38:18 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Brown DE Adrogue won 3 times, Excursionistas won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:1 from Brown DE Adrogue's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
H2H summary: Brown DE Adrogue wins 3, draws 0, Excursionistas wins 1

Lineups

Brown DE Adrogue
Formation
Excursionistas
M. Wysocki
M. Wysocki
L. Sanchez
L. Sanchez
A. Ortiz
A. Ortiz
J. Bogado
J. Bogado
E. Robles
E. Robles
C. Aguirre
C. Aguirre
L. Baldunciel
L. Baldunciel
J. Silva
J. Silva
B. Baez
B. Baez
M. Sproat
M. Sproat
B. Guerrero
B. Guerrero
N. Rodriguez
N. Rodriguez
M. Fernandez
M. Fernandez
I. Maizarez
I. Maizarez
G. Pedrosa
G. Pedrosa
M. Arango
M. Arango
G. Zoratti
G. Zoratti
M. Alaniz
M. Alaniz
A. Paulides
A. Paulides
A. Espeche
A. Espeche
G. Tellas
G. Tellas
M. Polvera
M. Polvera
Brown DE Adrogue 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Wysocki
2
L. Sanchez
3
A. Ortiz
4
J. Bogado
5
E. Robles
6
C. Aguirre
7
L. Baldunciel
↓ 75'
8
J. Silva
⚽ 52' ↓ 65'
9
B. Baez
↓ 25'
10
M. Sproat
↓ 65'
11
B. Guerrero
↓ 75'
Substitutes
12
S. Giovini
13
M. Pieres
15
A. Castano
16
V. Galeano
17
L. Gonzalez
↑ 75'
18
F. Ferrario
↑ 65'
19
B. Lopez
↑ 65'
20
N. Meaurio
↑ 25'
14
A. Gonzalez
↑ 75'
Excursionistas 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
N. Rodriguez
4
M. Fernandez
2
I. Maizarez
6
G. Pedrosa
3
M. Arango
5
G. Zoratti
↓ 58'
8
M. Alaniz
↓ 58'
7
A. Paulides
↓ 73'
10
A. Espeche
11
G. Tellas
↓ 64'
9
M. Polvera
↓ 58'
Substitutes
12
M. Blengio
13
D. Ledesma
14
G. Rodriguez
15
L. Chambi
↑ 58'
16
I. Arbello
↑ 73'
17
A. Avalos
↑ 58'
18
M. Blanco
↑ 58'
19
M. Cardozo
20
W. Gimenez
↑ 64'
Last matches: Brown DE Adrogue
15.08.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Villa Dalmine
0
1
L
31.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Arsenal Sarandi
1
1
D
25.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Argentino de Merlo
1
0
W
18.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Talleres Remedios
0
1
L
14.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Laferrere
0
1
L
10.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Ituzaingó
0
0
D
04.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Armenio
0
0
D
27.06.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Flandria
2
0
W
20.06.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Argentino Quilmes
2
4
L
13.06.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Defensores Unidos
1
1
D
06.06.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Comunicaciones
1
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Dock Sud
1
0
W
26.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Talleres Remedios
1
2
L
22.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Merlo
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Camioneros
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Sportivo Italiano
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
San Martín Burzaco
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Villa San Carlos
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Liniers
0
1
L
14.04.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Real Pilar
1
1
D
Last matches: Excursionistas
15.08.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Laferrere
5
3
W
31.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Armenio
2
1
W
25.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Flandria
1
1
D
18.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Argentino Quilmes
0
0
D
14.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Defensores Unidos
2
0
W
10.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Comunicaciones
1
2
L
04.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Dock Sud
1
3
L
27.06.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Merlo
5
0
W
20.06.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Camioneros
1
1
D
13.06.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Sportivo Italiano
1
0
W
06.06.26
Pri
Excursionistas
San Martín Burzaco
2
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Villa San Carlos
2
0
W
27.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Argentino Quilmes
2
2
D
22.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Liniers
4
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Real Pilar
1
0
W
08.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
UAI Urquiza
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Villa Dalmine
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Ituzaingó
3
1
W
17.04.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Arsenal Sarandi
0
1
L
14.04.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
1
1
D
H2H: Brown DE Adrogue vs Excursionistas
08.08.26
H2H
Brown DE Adrogue
Excursionistas
1
0
W
28.03.26
H2H
Excursionistas
Brown DE Adrogue
1
0
L
09.07.25
H2H
Excursionistas
Brown DE Adrogue
0
2
W
19.02.25
H2H
Brown DE Adrogue
Excursionistas
2
0
W
Last matches: Brown DE Adrogue
25.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Argentino de Merlo
1
0
W
14.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Laferrere
0
1
L
10.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Ituzaingó
0
0
D
27.06.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Flandria
2
0
W
20.06.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Argentino Quilmes
2
4
L
06.06.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Comunicaciones
1
2
L
26.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Talleres Remedios
1
2
L
22.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Merlo
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Sportivo Italiano
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Villa San Carlos
2
1
W
14.04.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Real Pilar
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Villa Dalmine
1
4
L
21.03.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Arsenal Sarandi
0
4
L
22.02.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Armenio
0
0
D
08.11.25
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Argentino Quilmes
1
1
D
18.10.25
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Flandria
1
1
D
04.10.25
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Laferrere
1
1
D
20.09.25
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Comunicaciones
0
1
L
08.09.25
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
San Martín Burzaco
0
0
D
23.08.25
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Merlo
1
0
W
H2H at home: Brown DE Adrogue
08.08.26
H2H
Brown DE Adrogue
Excursionistas
1
0
W
19.02.25
H2H
Brown DE Adrogue
Excursionistas
2
0
W
Last matches: Excursionistas
25.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Flandria
1
1
D
14.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Defensores Unidos
2
0
W
04.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Dock Sud
1
3
L
13.06.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Sportivo Italiano
1
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Villa San Carlos
2
0
W
27.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Argentino Quilmes
2
2
D
16.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Real Pilar
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Villa Dalmine
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Ituzaingó
3
1
W
14.04.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Laferrere
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Armenio
2
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Comunicaciones
1
1
D
15.02.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Merlo
2
1
W
28.11.25
Pri
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
0
4
L
15.11.25
Pri
Excursionistas
Villa Dalmine
1
2
L
02.11.25
Pri
Excursionistas
Fénix
5
1
W
12.10.25
Pri
Excursionistas
Liniers
0
1
L
27.09.25
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Armenio
1
2
L
13.09.25
Pri
Excursionistas
Sacachispas
1
1
D
H2H away: Excursionistas
08.08.26
H2H
Brown DE Adrogue
Excursionistas
1
0
L
19.02.25
H2H
Brown DE Adrogue
Excursionistas
2
0
L

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 16 8 6 45:23 22 56
W L W D D
2 30 16 8 6 33:15 18 56
W L D W W
3 30 15 10 5 35:18 17 55
D W D W W
4 30 15 10 5 33:16 17 55
W L W D D
5 30 14 11 5 39:22 17 53
L D D D W
6 30 14 10 6 36:22 14 52
W W D D W
7 30 12 9 9 33:31 2 45
D D W W L
8 30 12 8 10 33:33 0 44
W W L D D
9 30 11 9 10 36:39 -3 42
L D W L W
10 30 10 10 10 31:29 2 40
D L D L W
11 30 10 9 11 30:30 0 39
D W L L D
12 30 9 11 10 33:45 -12 38
D L D L D
13 30 8 13 9 28:30 -2 37
D L D L L
14 30 8 13 9 26:28 -2 37
W D D D D
15 30 8 12 10 32:31 1 36
L W D D W
16 30 7 11 12 29:35 -6 32
W W D W L
17 30 7 11 12 21:30 -9 32
L W D D D
18 30 7 10 13 19:31 -12 31
L W D W L
19 30 7 8 15 23:36 -13 29
D D L D L
20 30 3 18 9 14:25 -11 27
L D D D L
21 30 5 11 14 24:36 -12 26
L L L D D
22 30 1 10 19 19:47 -28 13
D L D D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)