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09.10.2026 18:45
Old Road
Referee: J. Walker
Briton Ferry
Match Timeline
GAP Connah S Quay FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
6'
T. Walters · Assist: T. Walters
Briton Ferry
🟨
23'
M. Bates
Briton Ferry
⚽
33'
T. Walters
Briton Ferry
🟨
45+1'
L. Cooper
Briton Ferry
🟨
51'
L. Bates
Briton Ferry
🔄
55'
R. Watson ↔ F. Deane
GAP Connah S Quay FC
🔄
55'
O. Anderson ↔ L. Bowen
Briton Ferry
🔄
55'
H. Mehasseb ↔ M. Woodcock
GAP Connah S Quay FC
⚽
58'
J. Hodkin
GAP Connah S Quay FC
⚽
63'
M. Woodcock
GAP Connah S Quay FC
🔄
74'
C. Hurford ↔ T. Cadeau
Briton Ferry
🔄
74'
R. George ↔ L. Herdman
Briton Ferry
🟨
76'
J. Lloyd
Briton Ferry
🔄
80'
T. Price ↔ M. Nicholls
Briton Ferry
🔄
89'
C. West ↔ A. McCoy
GAP Connah S Quay FC
🔄
89'
J. Hodkin ↔ F. Redshaw
GAP Connah S Quay FC

Briton Ferry vs GAP Connah S Quay FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 70.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
70.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Briton Ferry Win 26.1%
Draw 3.8%
GAP Connah S Quay FC Win 70.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Briton Ferry0.86
GAP Connah S Quay FC1.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
Briton Ferry Briton Ferry
WWDLW
14 GF / 29 GA
GAP Connah S Quay FC GAP Connah S Quay FC
WLDWL
31 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
0.93
Average Goals Scored
1.94
1.93
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
8
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 15 matches
GAP Connah S Quay FC GAP Connah S Quay FC 16 matches
Briton Ferry Statistic GAP Connah S Quay FC
4 Wins 10
3 Draws 2
8 Losses 4
14 Goals For 31
29 Goals Against 12
0.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.94
1.93 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
8 BTTS Yes 7
12 Over 1.5 11
8 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by GAP Connah S Quay FC's more proactive style and Briton Ferry's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward GAP Connah S Quay FC. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward GAP Connah S Quay FC having the stronger overall control. GAP Connah S Quay FC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 28 points while Briton Ferry sit 11 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. GAP Connah S Quay FC look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Briton Ferry Analysis

Briton Ferry sit 11 with 12 points after 12 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 11:20 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

GAP Connah S Quay FC Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 28 points from 12 games, GAP Connah S Quay FC bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 9 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with a 28:8 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Briton Ferry won 2 times, GAP Connah S Quay FC won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:14 from Briton Ferry's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
H2H summary: Briton Ferry wins 2, draws 0, GAP Connah S Quay FC wins 4

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 12 1 0 44:6 38 37
W W W W W
2 13 10 1 2 30:9 21 31
W W W W W
3 13 9 3 1 25:11 14 30
W L W W W
4 13 8 2 3 37:15 22 26
W L D W D
5 13 8 1 4 22:15 7 25
W L W W W
6 13 8 1 4 28:23 5 25
L W L L D
7 13 6 3 4 24:16 8 21
L W W D L
8 13 7 0 6 25:18 7 21
W W L W L
9 13 5 3 5 21:33 -12 18
L L W L W
10 13 5 1 7 22:23 -1 16
L L L L D
11 13 3 3 7 12:22 -10 12
L W D D L
12 13 3 1 9 8:19 -11 10
L L L L W
13 13 2 3 8 10:32 -22 9
W W L L D
14 13 2 2 9 12:25 -13 8
L W W L L
15 13 1 3 9 8:31 -23 6
W L L D L
16 13 0 2 11 14:44 -30 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)