Brentford
Match Timeline
Chelsea
Brentford vs Chelsea Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
62.2%
|
2.75 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.9%
|
1.40 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
1.50 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.17 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.33 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
12.00 |
Probability Distribution
Brentford Win 62.2%
Draw 9.4%
Chelsea Win 28.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brentford2.6
Chelsea1.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brentford
WWDLW
18 GF / 6 GA
Chelsea
WLDWL
26 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
3
Average Goals Scored
2.6
1
Average Goals Conceded
2
4
BTTS Yes
8
4
Over 2.5
9
4.25
Shots on Goal
6
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Brentford
6 matches
Chelsea
10 matches
| Brentford | Statistic | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 5 |
| 3 | Draws | 2 |
| 0 | Losses | 3 |
| 18 | Goals For | 26 |
| 6 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 3 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.6 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4.25 | Shots On Goal | 6 |
| 17 | Total Shots | 15 |
| 4.5 | Corners | 5.25 |
| 46.3% | Ball Possession | 44.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Brentford won 3 times, Chelsea won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:22 from Brentford's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.6%)
Predicted formations: Brentford 4-2-3-1 / Chelsea 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Brentford 5, Chelsea 5
H2H summary: Brentford wins 3, draws 5, Chelsea wins 6
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 12 |
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16:5 | 11 | 10 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 4 |
Brentford
Home
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 9 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
| 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 |
Chelsea
Away
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
| 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 4 |
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 3 |
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | -9 | 3 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
D
L
L
L
|
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Relegation - Championship