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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
18.09.2026 19:00
Brentford Community Stadium
Referee: Andy Madley, England
Brentford
Match Timeline
Chelsea
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
61'
J. Anthony · Assist: J. Schuster
Brentford
🔄
69'
M. Kayode ↔ A. Hickey
Brentford
🔄
69'
Y. Yarmolyuk ↔ M. Sangare
Brentford
🔄
71'
W. Fofana ↔ J. Acheampong
Chelsea
🔄
71'
D. Welbeck ↔ G. Quenda
Chelsea
🔄
81'
K. Lewis-Potter ↔ M. Diouf
Brentford
🔄
81'
J. Anthony ↔ D. Ouattara
Brentford
⚽
83'
I. Thiago
Brentford
🟨
84'
Igor Thiago
Brentford
🟨
85'
Mamadou Sangare
Brentford
🔄
87'
M. Damsgaard ↔ F. Carvalho
Brentford
🔄
87'
V. Barco ↔ M. Nicoll-Jazuli
Chelsea
🔄
87'
P. Neto ↔ Estêvão
Chelsea
⚽
90'
F. Carvalho
Brentford

Brentford vs Chelsea Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Brentford Win 62.2%
Draw 9.4%
Chelsea Win 28.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brentford2.6
Chelsea1.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brentford Brentford
WWDLW
18 GF / 6 GA
Chelsea Chelsea
WLDWL
26 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
3
Average Goals Scored
2.6
1
Average Goals Conceded
2
4
BTTS Yes
8
4
Over 2.5
9
4.25
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brentford Brentford 6 matches
Chelsea Chelsea 10 matches
Brentford Statistic Chelsea
3 Wins 5
3 Draws 2
0 Losses 3
18 Goals For 26
6 Goals Against 20
3 Avg Goals Scored 2.6
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2
4 BTTS Yes 8
6 Over 1.5 9
4 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
4.25 Shots On Goal 6
17 Total Shots 15
4.5 Corners 5.25
47.3% Ball Possession 44.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Brentford won 3 times, Chelsea won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:22 from Brentford's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.6%)
Predicted formations: Brentford 4-2-3-1 / Chelsea 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Brentford 5, Chelsea 5
H2H summary: Brentford wins 3, draws 5, Chelsea wins 6

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 16:5 11 18
W W W W W
2 6 5 0 1 10:5 5 15
W L W W W
3 6 4 1 1 18:5 13 13
W W W D L
4 6 2 4 0 12:6 6 10
D W D D D
5 6 2 4 0 8:5 3 10
D W D D D
6 6 3 1 2 15:13 2 10
W L D L W
7 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
L D W D D
8 6 2 3 1 8:6 2 9
D L D D W
9 6 2 3 1 7:7 0 9
L W D W D
10 6 3 0 3 9:12 -3 9
W L W L L
11 6 2 2 2 10:13 -3 8
L W L D W
12 6 2 1 3 9:12 -3 7
W D L W L
13 6 1 3 2 9:9 0 6
D D L D W
14 6 2 0 4 5:11 -6 6
W W L L L
15 6 1 2 3 5:8 -3 5
L L W D D
16 6 1 2 3 6:11 -5 5
D W L D L
17 6 1 1 4 6:12 -6 4
L L L D W
18 6 0 3 3 7:13 -6 3
L L D D D
19 6 0 3 3 3:9 -6 3
D L D D L
20 6 0 2 4 6:10 -4 2
L D D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship