NORWAY ELITESERIEN
05.09.2026 16:00
Brann Stadion
Referee: E. Eskas
Brann
Match Timeline
Lillestrom
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
4'
Espen Bjornsen Garnas ↔ Stian Kristiansen
Lillestrom
6'
Felix Vá
Lillestrom
22'
Fredrik Gulbrandsen
Lillestrom
🟨
45+5'
Noah Jean Holm
Brann
🔄
45'
Thore Pedersen ↔ Leo Cornic
Brann
🟨
56'
Yildren Ibrahimaj
Lillestrom
VAR
57'
Ulrik Mathisen
Brann
🔄
61'
Daniel Bassi ↔ Winston Robin Yaw Paintsil
Lillestrom
🔄
61'
Fredrik Gulbrandsen ↔ Thomas Lehne Olsen
Lillestrom
🔄
68'
Ulrik Mathisen ↔ Kristall Mani Ingason
Brann
🔄
68'
Noah Jean Holm ↔ Bård Finne
Brann
🔄
75'
Niklas Wassberg ↔ Saevar Atli Magnusson
Brann
🔄
75'
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim ↔ Filip Ottosson
Lillestrom
🔄
83'
Niklas Castro ↔ Julian Laegreid
Brann
89'
Bård Finne
Brann

Brann vs Lillestrom Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.75
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.49
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.5%
1.75
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.49
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.12
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.62
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Brann Win 64.5%
Draw 10.3%
Lillestrom Win 25.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brann1.85
Lillestrom1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brann Brann
WWDLW
62 GF / 45 GA
Lillestrom Lillestrom
WLDWL
56 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
2.07
Average Goals Scored
1.7
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
25
BTTS Yes
18
24
Over 2.5
19
4.58
Shots on Goal
3.95

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brann Brann 30 matches
Lillestrom Lillestrom 33 matches
Brann Statistic Lillestrom
13 Wins 13
6 Draws 6
11 Losses 14
62 Goals For 56
45 Goals Against 50
2.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
25 BTTS Yes 18
27 Over 1.5 26
24 Over 2.5 19
14 Over 3.5 14
3 Clean Sheets 8
3 Failed To Score 10
4.58 Shots On Goal 3.95
10.63 Total Shots 11.55
5.79 Corners 5.55
49.7% Ball Possession 52.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Lillestrom. Brann come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Brann Analysis

From their first 17 matches, Brann have collected 25 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, while the 36:27 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on Noah Jean Holm (6 goals), Kristall Máni Ingason (5 goals), Kristian Eriksen (4 goals), with creative support from Ulrik Mathisen (5 assists), Kristian Eriksen (3 assists), Kristall Máni Ingason (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Lillestrom Analysis

Lillestrom sit 5 with 26 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 23:21 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim (4 goals), Markus Karlsbakk (4 goals), Felix Vá (3 goals), with creative support from Felix Vá (5 assists), Ylldren Ibrahimaj (2 assists), Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Brann won 9 times, Lillestrom won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:9 from Brann's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.54 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.7%)
Predicted formations: Brann 4-3-3 / Lillestrom 4-3-3
Missing players: Brann 6, Lillestrom 4
H2H summary: Brann wins 9, draws 4, Lillestrom wins 0

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 16 2 2 52:17 35 50
W W W W W
2 20 15 2 3 51:20 31 47
W D W L W
3 20 11 3 6 43:30 13 36
W W W W L
4 20 10 5 5 37:27 10 35
L L D L W
5 20 10 2 8 28:26 2 32
W W L D L
6 20 9 3 8 36:29 7 30
W W L W W
7 20 8 3 9 24:31 -7 27
D L W W W
8
Brann Home
20 8 2 10 37:31 6 26
L L D W W
9 20 6 7 7 23:26 -3 25
D D D L L
10 20 6 5 9 27:41 -14 23
L L D L D
11 20 6 4 10 33:42 -9 22
L D L D L
12 20 6 4 10 22:34 -12 22
W L L D W
13 20 5 5 10 18:27 -9 20
L D D W L
14 20 5 4 11 20:37 -17 19
L W D L W
15 20 3 9 8 31:45 -14 18
L W L D D
16 20 4 4 12 22:41 -19 16
W L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen