Bradford vs Bolton Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
38.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
90.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
69.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Bradford
Bolton
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bradford
48 matches
Bolton
49 matches
| Bradford | Statistic | Bolton |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wins | 21 |
| 11 | Draws | 18 |
| 15 | Losses | 10 |
| 58 | Goals For | 73 |
| 53 | Goals Against | 57 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.49 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.16 |
| 27 | BTTS Yes | 30 |
| 33 | Over 1.5 | 38 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 24 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 3.91 | Shots On Goal | 4.78 |
| 12.57 | Total Shots | 15.9 |
| 5.53 | Corners | 6.02 |
| 50% | Ball Possession | 56.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Bolton have the edge after taking the first leg 1-0, leaving Bradford needing to respond to a 1-goal deficit. In the previous meeting, Bolton controlled more possession in the first leg (65% against 35%). Bolton carried the greater threat on target, finishing with 1 shots on goal compared to 0. Bolton circulated the ball more often, making 514 passes to 264 and completing 422. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bradford expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Bolton in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bolton having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Bolton. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Ahead of this knockout test, Bradford arrive from a league campaign that has them 4 with 77 points after 46 matches. With 22 wins, 11 draws, and 13 losses plus a goal ratio of 58:51, they bring poor form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on A. Sarcevic (11 goals), B. Pointon (10 goals), S. Humphrys (7 goals), with creative support from Josh Neufville (7 assists), Max Power (5 assists), A. Sarcevic (3 assists), while defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 15 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, which supports a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.
Bolton come into this tie placed 5 in their league with 75 points from 46 matches. The return of 19 wins, 18 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 70:52 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by M. Burstow (12 goals), S. Dalby (10 goals), A. Cozier-Duberry (9 goals), with creative support from A. Cozier-Duberry (10 assists), M. Burstow (5 assists), S. Dalby (5 assists), and at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 10 draws, and 7 losses, which supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Bradford won 1 times, Bolton won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:12 from Bradford's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.73 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 |
Bradford
Home
|
46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
| 5 |
Bolton
Away
|
46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
L
L
L
L
L
|