ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Vitality Stadium
Referee: C. Kavanagh
Bournemouth
Match Timeline
Burnley
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
38'
Zian Flemming
Burnley
🔄
63'
Evanilson ↔ E. Unal
Bournemouth
🔄
64'
J. Kluivert ↔ E. J. Kroupi
Bournemouth
🔄
65'
Z. Flemming ↔ A. Broja
Burnley
🔄
66'
J. Bruun Larsen ↔ L. Tchaouna
Burnley
67'
A. Semenyo
Bournemouth
🟨
74'
David Brooks
Bournemouth
🔄
74'
D. Brooks ↔ R. Christie
Bournemouth
🔄
77'
K. Walker ↔ O. Sonne
Burnley
🔄
77'
J. Anthony ↔ M. Edwards
Burnley
🔄
82'
L. Ugochukwu ↔ M. Tresor Ndayishimiye
Burnley
🔄
90+2'
M. Tavernier ↔ A. Scott
Bournemouth
🔄
90+3'
A. Jimenez ↔ A. Adli
Bournemouth
90'
A. Broja · Assist: M. Edwards
Burnley

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Bournemouth Win 0%
Draw 0%
Burnley Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bournemouth1.76
Burnley1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bournemouth Bournemouth
WWDLW
25 GF / 28 GA
Burnley Burnley
WLDWL
18 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
2.06
9
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
9
5.06
Shots on Goal
3.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bournemouth Bournemouth 16 matches
Burnley Burnley 16 matches
Bournemouth Statistic Burnley
5 Wins 3
6 Draws 1
5 Losses 12
25 Goals For 18
28 Goals Against 33
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 2.06
9 BTTS Yes 9
11 Over 1.5 14
10 Over 2.5 9
9 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 5
5.06 Shots On Goal 3.38
13.13 Total Shots 8.75
5.38 Corners 3.69
51.7% Ball Possession 40.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bournemouth won 5 times, Burnley won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:25 from Bournemouth's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Bournemouth 4-2-3-1 / Burnley 4-4-2
H2H summary: Bournemouth wins 5, draws 3, Burnley wins 7
Stats
Bournemouth Bournemouth
Burnley Burnley
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
12
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
5 Corner Kicks 3
11 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 2
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Goal 1
12 Shots off Goal 1
3 Blocked Shots 2
11 Shots insidebox 1
5 Shots outsidebox 3
0 Goalkeeper Saves 0
506 Total passes 269
404 Passes accurate 178
1.41 expected_goals 0.38
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Bournemouth
Formation
Burnley
D. Petrovic
D. Petrovic
A. Jimenez
A. Jimenez
B. Diakite
B. Diakite
M. Senesi
M. Senesi
A. Truffert
A. Truffert
M. Tavernier
M. Tavernier
L. Cook
L. Cook
D. Brooks
D. Brooks
J. Kluivert
J. Kluivert
A. Semenyo
A. Semenyo
Evanilson
Evanilson
M. Dubravka
M. Dubravka
J. Laurent
J. Laurent
J. Worrall
J. Worrall
H. Ekdal
H. Ekdal
Lucas Pires
Lucas Pires
K. Walker
K. Walker
L. Ugochukwu
L. Ugochukwu
J. Cullen
J. Cullen
J. Anthony
J. Anthony
J. Bruun Larsen
J. Bruun Larsen
Z. Flemming
Z. Flemming
Bournemouth 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
D. Petrovic
G
20
A. Jimenez
↓ 90+3'
D
18
B. Diakite
D
5
M. Senesi
D
3
A. Truffert
D
16
M. Tavernier
↓ 90+2'
M
4
L. Cook
M
7
D. Brooks
↓ 74' 🟨 74'
M
19
J. Kluivert
↓ 64'
M
24
A. Semenyo
⚽ 67'
M
9
Evanilson
↓ 63'
F
Substitutes
40
W. Dennis
G
15
A. Smith
D
10
R. Christie
↑ 74'
M
26
E. Unal
↑ 63'
F
23
J. Hill
D
8
A. Scott
↑ 90+2'
M
21
A. Adli
↑ 90+3'
F
22
E. J. Kroupi
↑ 64'
F
6
J. Soler
D
Burnley 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
M. Dubravka
G
29
J. Laurent
D
4
J. Worrall
D
18
H. Ekdal
D
23
Lucas Pires
D
2
K. Walker
↓ 77'
M
8
L. Ugochukwu
↓ 82'
M
24
J. Cullen
M
11
J. Anthony
↓ 77'
M
7
J. Bruun Larsen
↓ 66'
F
19
Z. Flemming
↓ 65' 🟨 38'
F
Substitutes
13
M. Weiss
G
31
M. Tresor Ndayishimiye
↑ 82'
F
27
A. Broja
⚽ 90' ↑ 65'
F
22
O. Sonne
↑ 77'
D
17
L. Tchaouna
↑ 66'
F
35
A. Barnes
F
10
M. Edwards
🎯 90' ↑ 77'
F
16
Florentino
M
12
B. Humphreys
D
Last matches: Bournemouth
15.08.26
Fri
Bournemouth
FSV Mainz 05
1
2
L
08.08.26
Fri
Bournemouth
Real Betis
2
2
D
04.08.26
Fri
Bournemouth
Genoa
10
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Bournemouth
FC Augsburg
5
2
W
24.07.26
Fri
Bournemouth
FC St. Pauli
4
1
W
24.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
19.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Manchester City
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Fulham
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
3
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Leeds
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Newcastle
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Arsenal
2
1
W
20.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Manchester United
2
2
D
14.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Burnley
0
0
D
03.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Brentford
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Sunderland
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
West Ham
0
0
D
10.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Everton
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Wolves
2
0
W
Last matches: Burnley
02.08.26
Fri
Burnley
Torino
0
1
L
29.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Espanyol
2
2
D
26.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Ajax
1
2
L
16.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Real Salt Lake
1
4
L
12.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Burnley
FC Cincinnati
1
3
L
24.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Wolves
1
1
D
18.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Arsenal
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Aston Villa
2
2
D
01.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Leeds
1
3
L
22.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Manchester City
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
1
4
L
11.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Brighton
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Fulham
1
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Bournemouth
0
0
D
03.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Everton
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Brentford
3
4
L
21.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Chelsea
1
1
D
14.02.26
FA
Burnley
Mansfield Town
1
2
L
11.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Crystal Palace
3
2
W
H2H: Bournemouth vs Burnley
14.03.26
H2H
Burnley
Bournemouth
0
0
D
20.12.25
H2H
Bournemouth
Burnley
1
1
D
03.03.24
H2H
Burnley
Bournemouth
0
2
W
28.10.23
H2H
Bournemouth
Burnley
2
1
W
07.01.23
H2H
Bournemouth
Burnley
2
4
L
09.02.21
H2H
Burnley
Bournemouth
0
2
W
22.02.20
H2H
Burnley
Bournemouth
3
0
L
21.12.19
H2H
Bournemouth
Burnley
0
1
L
06.04.19
H2H
Bournemouth
Burnley
1
3
L
22.09.18
H2H
Burnley
Bournemouth
4
0
L
13.05.18
H2H
Burnley
Bournemouth
1
2
W
29.11.17
H2H
Bournemouth
Burnley
1
2
L
13.05.17
H2H
Bournemouth
Burnley
2
1
W
10.12.16
H2H
Burnley
Bournemouth
3
2
L
15.02.14
H2H
Bournemouth
Burnley
1
1
D
Last matches: Bournemouth
04.08.26
Fri
Bournemouth
Genoa
10
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Bournemouth
FC St. Pauli
4
1
W
19.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Manchester City
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
3
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Leeds
2
2
D
20.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Manchester United
2
2
D
03.03.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Brentford
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Sunderland
1
1
D
07.02.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Liverpool
3
2
W
07.01.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Tottenham
3
2
W
03.01.26
Pre
Bournemouth
Arsenal
2
3
L
06.12.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Chelsea
0
0
D
02.12.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Everton
0
1
L
22.11.25
Pre
Bournemouth
West Ham
2
2
D
26.10.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
2
0
W
03.10.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Fulham
3
1
W
21.09.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Newcastle
0
0
D
13.09.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Brighton
2
1
W
23.08.25
Pre
Bournemouth
Wolves
1
0
W
H2H at home: Bournemouth
20.12.25
H2H
Bournemouth
Burnley
1
1
D
28.10.23
H2H
Bournemouth
Burnley
2
1
W
07.01.23
H2H
Bournemouth
Burnley
2
4
L
21.12.19
H2H
Bournemouth
Burnley
0
1
L
06.04.19
H2H
Bournemouth
Burnley
1
3
L
29.11.17
H2H
Bournemouth
Burnley
1
2
L
13.05.17
H2H
Bournemouth
Burnley
2
1
W
15.02.14
H2H
Bournemouth
Burnley
1
1
D
Last matches: Burnley
26.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Ajax
1
2
L
16.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Real Salt Lake
1
4
L
12.07.26
Fri
Burnley
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Burnley
FC Cincinnati
1
3
L
18.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Arsenal
0
1
L
01.05.26
Pre
Burnley
Leeds
1
3
L
19.04.26
Pre
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
1
4
L
21.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Fulham
1
3
L
03.03.26
Pre
Burnley
Everton
0
2
L
21.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Chelsea
1
1
D
11.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Crystal Palace
3
2
W
02.02.26
Pre
Burnley
Sunderland
0
3
L
17.01.26
Pre
Burnley
Liverpool
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pre
Burnley
Brighton
0
2
L
06.12.25
Pre
Burnley
Newcastle
1
2
L
29.11.25
Pre
Burnley
Brentford
1
3
L
08.11.25
Pre
Burnley
West Ham
2
3
L
26.10.25
Pre
Burnley
Wolves
3
2
W
05.10.25
Pre
Burnley
Aston Villa
1
2
L
27.09.25
Pre
Burnley
Manchester City
1
5
L
H2H away: Burnley
20.12.25
H2H
Bournemouth
Burnley
1
1
D
28.10.23
H2H
Bournemouth
Burnley
2
1
L
07.01.23
H2H
Bournemouth
Burnley
2
4
W
21.12.19
H2H
Bournemouth
Burnley
0
1
W
06.04.19
H2H
Bournemouth
Burnley
1
3
W
29.11.17
H2H
Bournemouth
Burnley
1
2
W
13.05.17
H2H
Bournemouth
Burnley
2
1
L
15.02.14
H2H
Bournemouth
Burnley
1
1
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship