Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Botafogo Win 0%
Draw 0%
Gremio Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo1.44
Gremio1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo
WWDLW
37 GF / 35 GA
Gremio
WLDWL
28 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
16
BTTS Yes
15
15
Over 2.5
11
4.96
Shots on Goal
3.7
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Botafogo
24 matches
Gremio
23 matches
| Botafogo | Statistic | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 7 |
| 6 | Draws | 7 |
| 9 | Losses | 9 |
| 37 | Goals For | 28 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.54 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.22 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.96 | Shots On Goal | 3.7 |
| 12.88 | Total Shots | 11.25 |
| 3.92 | Corners | 4.15 |
| 49.3% | Ball Possession | 49.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo won 5 times, Gremio won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:30 from Botafogo's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Botafogo 4-2-3-1 / Gremio 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Botafogo wins 5, draws 2, Gremio wins 7
Last matches: Botafogo
24.08.26
Ser
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
2
3
L
16.08.26
Ser
Botafogo
Vitoria
0
1
L
09.08.26
Ser
Botafogo
Fluminense
1
1
D
26.07.26
Ser
Botafogo
Cruzeiro
1
0
W
23.07.26
Ser
Botafogo
Vitoria
0
0
D
16.07.26
Ser
Botafogo
Santos
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Bahia
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Corinthians
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Remo
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Internacional
2
2
D
18.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Chapecoense-sc
4
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Coritiba
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Mirassol
3
2
W
29.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
1
4
L
21.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
18.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
Palmeiras
1
2
L
14.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
Flamengo
0
3
L
Last matches: Gremio
23.08.26
Ser
Gremio
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
16.08.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico-MG
0
3
L
08.08.26
Ser
Gremio
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
26.07.26
Ser
Gremio
Fluminense
1
1
D
17.07.26
Ser
Gremio
Mirassol
1
2
L
12.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Gremio
Cascavel
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Corinthians
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Santos
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Flamengo
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Coritiba
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Internacional
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Remo
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
19.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
W
H2H: Botafogo vs Gremio
29.07.26
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
0
0
D
05.02.26
H2H
Gremio
Botafogo
5
3
L
22.11.25
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
3
2
W
24.09.25
H2H
Gremio
Botafogo
1
1
D
29.09.24
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
0
0
D
16.06.24
H2H
Gremio
Botafogo
1
2
W
09.11.23
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
3
4
L
09.07.23
H2H
Gremio
Botafogo
0
2
W
08.02.21
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
2
5
L
14.10.20
H2H
Gremio
Botafogo
3
1
L
27.10.19
H2H
Gremio
Botafogo
3
0
L
12.06.19
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
0
1
L
01.09.18
H2H
Gremio
Botafogo
4
0
L
28.04.18
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
2
1
W
13.08.17
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
1
0
W
Last matches: Botafogo
24.08.26
Ser
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
2
3
L
09.08.26
Ser
Botafogo
Fluminense
1
1
D
23.07.26
Ser
Botafogo
Vitoria
0
0
D
16.07.26
Ser
Botafogo
Santos
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Corinthians
3
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Remo
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Internacional
2
2
D
12.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Coritiba
2
2
D
01.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Mirassol
3
2
W
14.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
Flamengo
0
3
L
11.03.26
CON
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
26.02.26
CON
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
2
0
W
30.01.26
Ser
Botafogo
Cruzeiro
4
0
W
H2H at home: Botafogo
29.07.26
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
0
0
D
22.11.25
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
3
2
W
29.09.24
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
0
0
D
09.11.23
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
3
4
L
08.02.21
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
2
5
L
12.06.19
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
0
1
L
28.04.18
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
2
1
W
13.08.17
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
1
0
W
Last matches: Gremio
23.08.26
Ser
Gremio
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
16.08.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico-MG
0
3
L
17.07.26
Ser
Gremio
Mirassol
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Gremio
Cascavel
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Internacional
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
16.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
12.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Sao Paulo
0
2
L
28.01.26
Ser
Gremio
Fluminense
1
2
L
H2H away: Gremio
29.07.26
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
0
0
D
22.11.25
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
3
2
L
29.09.24
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
0
0
D
09.11.23
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
3
4
W
08.02.21
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
2
5
W
12.06.19
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
0
1
W
28.04.18
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
2
1
L
13.08.17
H2H
Botafogo
Gremio
1
0
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 44:20 | 24 | 51 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 45:21 | 24 | 45 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 44 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36:29 | 7 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 39 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34:28 | 6 | 37 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 29:25 | 4 | 35 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 34 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:24 | 2 | 32 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 30 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 |
Botafogo
Home
|
23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 37:37 | 0 | 30 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
| 13 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 24:37 | -13 | 29 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 26 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 |
Gremio
Away
|
23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
| 16 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 17 | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 26:36 | -10 | 24 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 19 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28:39 | -11 | 23 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 24:46 | -22 | 14 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B