BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Jose Americo de Almeida Filho
Referee: M. Lima Barbosa
Botafogo PB
Match Timeline
Brusque
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
Joao Pedro
Brusque
56'
Nene
Botafogo PB
🟨
58'
Jhonata Varela
Botafogo PB
🔄
61'
Raimar ↔ Davi Gabriel
Brusque
🔄
61'
Jonatan Lucca ↔ Clinton
Brusque
🔄
61'
Pedro Medeiros ↔ Jeferson
Brusque
🔄
68'
Dudu Hatamoto ↔ Kayon
Botafogo PB
🔄
68'
Henrique Dourado ↔ Giovanni
Botafogo PB
🔄
68'
Jhonata Varela ↔ Thallyson
Botafogo PB
🔄
69'
Macario ↔ Alvaro
Brusque
🟨
76'
Nene
Botafogo PB
🔄
78'
Joao Pedro ↔ Rafa Fonseca
Brusque
🔄
80'
R. Bastos ↔ Gustavo
Botafogo PB
🟨
88'
Gazao
Brusque
🔄
89'
Nene ↔ Gabriel Tota
Botafogo PB
90'
Giovanni
Botafogo PB

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 92%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
92%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Botafogo PB Win 42.4%
Draw 8.1%
Brusque Win 49.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo PB1.2
Brusque1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB
WWDLW
16 GF / 16 GA
Brusque Brusque
WLDWL
17 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1
7
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botafogo PB Botafogo PB 12 matches
Brusque Brusque 11 matches
Botafogo PB Statistic Brusque
5 Wins 6
1 Draws 3
6 Losses 2
16 Goals For 17
16 Goals Against 11
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1
7 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Brusque's more proactive style and Botafogo PB's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Brusque having the stronger overall control. Brusque carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 21 points while Botafogo PB sit 15 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Brusque. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Botafogo PB Analysis

With 13 points from 11 games and a place of 15, Botafogo PB still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 13:15, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Nene (5 goals), R. Bastos (3 goals), Felipe Azevedo (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Brusque Analysis

Brusque arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 21 points after 11 matches. The record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 17:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Adrianinho (5 goals), Joao Pedro (3 goals), Alvaro (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo PB won 1 times, Brusque won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:5 from Botafogo PB's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92%)
H2H summary: Botafogo PB wins 1, draws 0, Brusque wins 2

Lineups

Botafogo PB
Formation
Brusque
Luiz Daniel
Luiz Daniel
Diogo Mateus
Diogo Mateus
Yan Souto
Yan Souto
Igor Morais
Igor Morais
Patric Calmon
Patric Calmon
Jhonata Varela
Jhonata Varela
Igor Maduro
Igor Maduro
Nene
Nene
Dudu Hatamoto
Dudu Hatamoto
Henrique Dourado
Henrique Dourado
R. Bastos
R. Bastos
Matheus Nogueira
Matheus Nogueira
Pedro Medeiros
Pedro Medeiros
Ryan Santos
Ryan Santos
Cipriano
Cipriano
Raimar
Raimar
Bernardo
Bernardo
Gazao
Gazao
Jonatan Lucca
Jonatan Lucca
Joao Pedro
Joao Pedro
Adrianinho
Adrianinho
Macario
Macario
Botafogo PB 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
27
Luiz Daniel
2
Diogo Mateus
3
Yan Souto
14
Igor Morais
6
Patric Calmon
5
Jhonata Varela
↓ 68' 🟨 58'
8
Igor Maduro
10
Nene
⚽ 56' ↓ 89' 🟨 76'
7
Dudu Hatamoto
↓ 68'
9
Henrique Dourado
↓ 68'
77
R. Bastos
↓ 80'
Substitutes
21
Leandro Mathias
4
Saimon
12
Erick
15
Kayon
↑ 68'
16
Bull
18
Giovanni
⚽ 90' ↑ 68'
20
Thallyson
↑ 68'
30
L. M. Alves
31
Gustavo
↑ 80'
33
Julio Vaz
35
Octavio
88
Gabriel Tota
↑ 89'
Brusque 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Matheus Nogueira
2
Pedro Medeiros
↓ 61'
3
Ryan Santos
4
Cipriano
6
Raimar
↓ 61'
5
Bernardo
7
Gazao
🟨 88'
8
Jonatan Lucca
↓ 61'
10
Joao Pedro
↓ 78' 🟨 28'
17
Adrianinho
19
Macario
↓ 69'
Substitutes
12
Paulo Gianezini
9
Alvaro
↑ 69'
13
Leonardo Ataide
14
Rafael Milhorim
15
Alex Paulino
16
Davi Gabriel
↑ 61'
18
Clinton
↑ 61'
20
Joao Prado
21
Leonardo
22
Jeferson
↑ 61'
24
Rafa Fonseca
↑ 78'
Last matches: Botafogo PB
12.07.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Confiança
2
0
W
06.07.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Anápolis
2
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Volta Redonda
2
0
W
15.06.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Maringá
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ituano
0
1
L
18.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Maranhão
1
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Paysandu
2
4
L
25.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Floresta
1
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Figueirense
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ferroviária
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Barra
1
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
Botafogo PB
Santa Cruz RN
3
1
W
Last matches: Brusque
13.07.26
Ser
Brusque
AO Itabaiana
0
1
L
06.07.26
Ser
Brusque
Figueirense
3
1
W
21.06.26
Ser
Brusque
Floresta
2
1
W
14.06.26
Ser
Brusque
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
01.06.26
Ser
Brusque
Barra
2
2
D
24.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Anápolis
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Ferroviária
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Ypiranga-RS
3
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Volta Redonda
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Confiança
2
1
W
20.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Maringá
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Paysandu
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Caxias
2
1
W
H2H: Botafogo PB vs Brusque
30.06.26
H2H
Botafogo PB
Brusque
2
0
W
28.07.25
H2H
Botafogo PB
Brusque
1
3
L
08.07.23
H2H
Botafogo PB
Brusque
1
2
L
Last matches: Botafogo PB
12.07.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Confiança
2
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Volta Redonda
2
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Maringá
2
1
W
18.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Floresta
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Barra
1
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
Botafogo PB
Santa Cruz RN
3
1
W
H2H at home: Botafogo PB
30.06.26
H2H
Botafogo PB
Brusque
2
0
W
28.07.25
H2H
Botafogo PB
Brusque
1
3
L
08.07.23
H2H
Botafogo PB
Brusque
1
2
L
Last matches: Brusque
13.07.26
Ser
Brusque
AO Itabaiana
0
1
L
01.06.26
Ser
Brusque
Barra
2
2
D
17.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Ferroviária
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Volta Redonda
1
1
D
20.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Maringá
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Paysandu
1
1
D
H2H away: Brusque
30.06.26
H2H
Botafogo PB
Brusque
2
0
L
28.07.25
H2H
Botafogo PB
Brusque
1
3
W
08.07.23
H2H
Botafogo PB
Brusque
1
2
W

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 7 4 3 17:14 3 25
W W D L W
2 14 7 3 4 20:15 5 24
L W L W L
3 14 7 3 4 15:10 5 24
W W W L W
4 14 7 2 5 22:19 3 23
W L L W L
5 14 6 5 3 25:14 11 23
L D D L W
6 14 7 1 6 19:15 4 22
W W W W D
7 14 6 4 4 27:24 3 22
W W D D D
8 14 6 4 4 15:12 3 22
W L L W W
9 14 5 6 3 13:10 3 21
D W D D L
10 14 5 5 4 15:14 1 20
D D W L L
11 14 5 4 5 16:16 0 19
L L D D D
12 14 5 3 6 17:19 -2 18
L W D W D
13 14 5 3 6 10:15 -5 18
D L W L W
14 14 5 2 7 13:19 -6 17
L L L D W
15 14 4 5 5 11:14 -3 17
W L D L D
16 14 4 5 5 12:18 -6 17
D L D D W
17 14 4 4 6 12:17 -5 16
W W W L D
18 14 3 6 5 17:16 1 15
L W L D L
19 14 3 2 9 8:14 -6 11
L L D W L
20 14 2 3 9 9:18 -9 9
L L D W L
Play-offs
Relegation