BRAZIL SERIE C
30.06.2026 23:30
Jose Americo de Almeida Filho
Referee: M. Lima Barbosa
Botafogo PB
Match Timeline
Brusque
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
Joao Pedro
Brusque
56'
Nene
Botafogo PB
🟨
58'
Jhonata Varela
Botafogo PB
🔄
61'
Raimar ↔ Davi Gabriel
Brusque
🔄
61'
Jonatan Lucca ↔ Clinton
Brusque
🔄
61'
Pedro Medeiros ↔ Jeferson
Brusque
🔄
68'
Dudu Hatamoto ↔ Kayon
Botafogo PB
🔄
68'
Henrique Dourado ↔ Giovanni
Botafogo PB
🔄
68'
Jhonata Varela ↔ Thallyson
Botafogo PB
🔄
69'
Macario ↔ Alvaro
Brusque
🟨
76'
Nene
Botafogo PB
🔄
78'
Joao Pedro ↔ Rafa Fonseca
Brusque
🔄
80'
R. Bastos ↔ Gustavo
Botafogo PB
🟨
88'
Gazao
Brusque
🔄
89'
Nene ↔ Gabriel Tota
Botafogo PB
90'
Giovanni
Botafogo PB

Botafogo PB vs Brusque Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 92%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
92%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Botafogo PB Win 42.4%
Draw 8.1%
Brusque Win 49.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo PB1.2
Brusque1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB
WWDLW
16 GF / 16 GA
Brusque Brusque
WLDWL
17 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1
7
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botafogo PB Botafogo PB 12 matches
Brusque Brusque 11 matches
Botafogo PB Statistic Brusque
5 Wins 6
1 Draws 3
6 Losses 2
16 Goals For 17
16 Goals Against 11
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1
7 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Brusque's more proactive style and Botafogo PB's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Brusque having the stronger overall control. Brusque carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 21 points while Botafogo PB sit 15 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Brusque. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Botafogo PB Analysis

With 13 points from 11 games and a place of 15, Botafogo PB still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 13:15, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Nene (5 goals), R. Bastos (3 goals), Felipe Azevedo (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Brusque Analysis

Brusque arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 21 points after 11 matches. The record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 17:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Adrianinho (5 goals), Joao Pedro (3 goals), Alvaro (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo PB won 1 times, Brusque won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:5 from Botafogo PB's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92%)
H2H summary: Botafogo PB wins 1, draws 0, Brusque wins 2

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L W W D
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
L W W W D
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W L W W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W D W L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation