ITALY SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Referee: G. Manganiello
Bologna
Match Timeline
AC Milan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
20'
R. Loftus-Cheek · Assist: A. Rabiot
AC Milan
39'
C. Nkunku
AC Milan
48'
A. Rabiot
AC Milan
🟨
51'
Federico Ravaglia
Bologna
🔄
53'
R. Orsolini ↔ F. Bernardeschi
Bologna
🔄
54'
S. Castro ↔ T. Dallinga
Bologna
🟨
58'
Remo Freuler
Bologna
🟨
64'
Lewis Ferguson
Bologna
🔄
65'
R. Freuler ↔ N. Moro
Bologna
🔄
67'
R. Loftus-Cheek ↔ S. Ricci
AC Milan
🔄
67'
Z. Athekame ↔ F. Tomori
AC Milan
🔄
72'
C. Nkunku ↔ N. Fullkrug
AC Milan
🔄
72'
L. Modric ↔ A. Jashari
AC Milan
🔄
78'
J. Miranda ↔ C. Lykogiannis
Bologna
🔄
78'
J. Rowe ↔ N. Cambiaghi
Bologna
🔄
83'
D. Bartesaghi ↔ P. Estupinan
AC Milan

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Bologna Win 0%
Draw 0%
AC Milan Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bologna1.2
AC Milan1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bologna Bologna
WWDLW
49 GF / 38 GA
AC Milan AC Milan
WLDWL
40 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.54
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
0.77
19
BTTS Yes
12
17
Over 2.5
11
4.88
Shots on Goal
4.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bologna Bologna 33 matches
AC Milan AC Milan 26 matches
Bologna Statistic AC Milan
13 Wins 15
10 Draws 8
10 Losses 3
49 Goals For 40
38 Goals Against 20
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.54
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 0.77
19 BTTS Yes 12
26 Over 1.5 18
17 Over 2.5 11
10 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 12
8 Failed To Score 3
4.88 Shots On Goal 4.73
14.91 Total Shots 14.35
5.76 Corners 5.31
55.5% Ball Possession 53.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bologna won 2 times, AC Milan won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:31 from Bologna's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Bologna 4-2-3-1 / AC Milan 3-5-2
H2H summary: Bologna wins 2, draws 3, AC Milan wins 10
Stats
Bologna Bologna
AC Milan AC Milan
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
1
5 Corner Kicks 0
14 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 1
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Goal 7
9 Shots off Goal 2
2 Blocked Shots 1
7 Shots insidebox 10
6 Shots outsidebox 0
4 Goalkeeper Saves 2
491 Total passes 429
430 Passes accurate 361
0.45 expected_goals 2.66
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Bologna
Formation
AC Milan
F. Ravaglia
F. Ravaglia
N. Zortea
N. Zortea
T. Heggem
T. Heggem
N. Casale
N. Casale
J. Miranda
J. Miranda
R. Freuler
R. Freuler
L. Ferguson
L. Ferguson
R. Orsolini
R. Orsolini
J. Odgaard
J. Odgaard
J. Rowe
J. Rowe
S. Castro
S. Castro
M. Maignan
M. Maignan
K. De Winter
K. De Winter
M. Gabbia
M. Gabbia
S. Pavlovic
S. Pavlovic
Z. Athekame
Z. Athekame
Y. Fofana
Y. Fofana
L. Modric
L. Modric
A. Rabiot
🎯
A. Rabiot
D. Bartesaghi
D. Bartesaghi
R. Loftus-Cheek
R. Loftus-Cheek
C. Nkunku
C. Nkunku
Bologna 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
F. Ravaglia
🟨 51'
G
20
N. Zortea
D
14
T. Heggem
D
16
N. Casale
D
33
J. Miranda
↓ 78'
D
8
R. Freuler
↓ 65' 🟨 58'
M
19
L. Ferguson
🟨 64'
M
7
R. Orsolini
↓ 53'
M
21
J. Odgaard
M
11
J. Rowe
↓ 78'
M
9
S. Castro
↓ 54'
F
Substitutes
25
M. Pessina
G
82
M. Franceschelli
G
4
T. Pobega
M
5
E. Fauske Helland
D
6
N. Moro
↑ 65'
M
10
F. Bernardeschi
↑ 53'
F
17
Joao Mario
M
22
C. Lykogiannis
↑ 78'
D
23
S. Sohm
M
24
T. Dallinga
↑ 54'
F
28
N. Cambiaghi
↑ 78'
F
30
B. Dominguez
F
41
M. Vitik
D
AC Milan 3-5-2
Starting XI
16
M. Maignan
G
5
K. De Winter
D
46
M. Gabbia
D
31
S. Pavlovic
D
24
Z. Athekame
↓ 67'
M
19
Y. Fofana
M
14
L. Modric
↓ 72'
M
12
A. Rabiot
⚽ 48' 🎯 20'
M
33
D. Bartesaghi
↓ 83'
M
8
R. Loftus-Cheek
⚽ 20' ↓ 67'
F
18
C. Nkunku
⚽ 39' ↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
1
P. Terracciano
G
96
L. Torriani
G
2
P. Estupinan
↑ 83'
D
4
S. Ricci
↑ 67'
M
9
N. Fullkrug
↑ 72'
F
10
R. Leao
F
23
F. Tomori
↑ 67'
D
27
D. Odogu
D
30
A. Jashari
↑ 72'
M
Last matches: Bologna
15.08.26
Fri
Bologna
Brighton
0
1
L
08.08.26
Fri
Bologna
Pisa
1
4
L
01.08.26
Fri
Bologna
Cambuur
3
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Bologna
Iraklis 1908
2
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Bologna
1. FC Heidenheim
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Bologna
Arminia Bielefeld
0
4
L
23.05.26
Ser
Bologna
Inter
3
3
D
17.05.26
Ser
Bologna
Atalanta
1
0
W
11.05.26
Ser
Bologna
Napoli
3
2
W
03.05.26
Ser
Bologna
Cagliari
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Bologna
AS Roma
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Bologna
Juventus
0
2
L
16.04.26
UEF
Bologna
Aston Villa
0
4
L
12.04.26
Ser
Bologna
Lecce
2
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
Bologna
Aston Villa
1
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Bologna
Cremonese
2
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bologna
Lazio
0
2
L
19.03.26
UEF
Bologna
AS Roma
4
3
W
15.03.26
Ser
Bologna
Sassuolo
1
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
Bologna
AS Roma
1
1
D
Last matches: AC Milan
15.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Manchester United
4
2
W
08.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Chelsea
0
3
L
05.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Inter
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
AC Milan
Celtic
2
2
D
24.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cagliari
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Genoa
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Atalanta
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Sassuolo
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Juventus
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Udinese
0
3
L
06.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Napoli
0
1
L
21.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Torino
3
2
W
15.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Lazio
0
1
L
08.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Inter
1
0
W
01.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cremonese
2
0
W
22.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Parma
0
1
L
18.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Como
1
1
D
13.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Pisa
2
1
W
25.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
AS Roma
1
1
D
H2H: Bologna vs AC Milan
03.02.26
H2H
Bologna
AC Milan
0
3
L
14.09.25
H2H
AC Milan
Bologna
1
0
L
14.05.25
H2H
AC Milan
Bologna
0
1
W
09.05.25
H2H
AC Milan
Bologna
3
1
L
27.02.25
H2H
Bologna
AC Milan
2
1
W
27.01.24
H2H
AC Milan
Bologna
2
2
D
21.08.23
H2H
Bologna
AC Milan
0
2
L
15.04.23
H2H
Bologna
AC Milan
1
1
D
27.08.22
H2H
AC Milan
Bologna
2
0
L
04.04.22
H2H
AC Milan
Bologna
0
0
D
23.10.21
H2H
Bologna
AC Milan
2
4
L
30.01.21
H2H
Bologna
AC Milan
1
2
L
21.09.20
H2H
AC Milan
Bologna
2
0
L
18.07.20
H2H
AC Milan
Bologna
5
1
L
08.12.19
H2H
Bologna
AC Milan
2
3
L
Last matches: Bologna
08.08.26
Fri
Bologna
Pisa
1
4
L
01.08.26
Fri
Bologna
Cambuur
3
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Bologna
Iraklis 1908
2
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Bologna
1. FC Heidenheim
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Bologna
Arminia Bielefeld
0
4
L
23.05.26
Ser
Bologna
Inter
3
3
D
03.05.26
Ser
Bologna
Cagliari
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Bologna
AS Roma
0
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Bologna
Lecce
2
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
Bologna
Aston Villa
1
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Bologna
Lazio
0
2
L
12.03.26
UEF
Bologna
AS Roma
1
1
D
08.03.26
Ser
Bologna
Hellas Verona
1
2
L
26.02.26
UEF
Bologna
Brann
1
0
W
23.02.26
Ser
Bologna
Udinese
1
0
W
11.02.26
Cop
Bologna
Lazio
1
1
D
08.02.26
Ser
Bologna
Parma
0
1
L
22.01.26
UEF
Bologna
Celtic
2
2
D
18.01.26
Ser
Bologna
Fiorentina
1
2
L
07.01.26
Ser
Bologna
Atalanta
0
2
L
H2H at home: Bologna
03.02.26
H2H
Bologna
AC Milan
0
3
L
27.02.25
H2H
Bologna
AC Milan
2
1
W
21.08.23
H2H
Bologna
AC Milan
0
2
L
15.04.23
H2H
Bologna
AC Milan
1
1
D
23.10.21
H2H
Bologna
AC Milan
2
4
L
30.01.21
H2H
Bologna
AC Milan
1
2
L
08.12.19
H2H
Bologna
AC Milan
2
3
L
Last matches: AC Milan
15.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Manchester United
4
2
W
08.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Chelsea
0
3
L
25.07.26
Fri
AC Milan
Celtic
2
2
D
17.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Genoa
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Sassuolo
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
06.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Napoli
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Lazio
0
1
L
01.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cremonese
2
0
W
13.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Pisa
2
1
W
25.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
AS Roma
1
1
D
15.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
Como
3
1
W
11.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
Fiorentina
1
1
D
02.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cagliari
1
0
W
18.12.25
Sup
AC Milan
Napoli
0
2
L
08.12.25
Ser
AC Milan
Torino
3
2
W
04.12.25
Cop
AC Milan
Lazio
0
1
L
23.11.25
Ser
AC Milan
Inter
1
0
W
08.11.25
Ser
AC Milan
Parma
2
2
D
28.10.25
Ser
AC Milan
Atalanta
1
1
D
H2H away: AC Milan
03.02.26
H2H
Bologna
AC Milan
0
3
W
27.02.25
H2H
Bologna
AC Milan
2
1
L
21.08.23
H2H
Bologna
AC Milan
0
2
W
15.04.23
H2H
Bologna
AC Milan
1
1
D
23.10.21
H2H
Bologna
AC Milan
2
4
W
30.01.21
H2H
Bologna
AC Milan
1
2
W
08.12.19
H2H
Bologna
AC Milan
2
3
W

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B