ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP

25.04.2026 14:00

Birmingham

2 - 1

Bristol City

St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park

Referee: R. Jones

Birmingham

Match Timeline

Bristol City

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Birmingham vs Bristol City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 53.4%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS Yes

Probability 70.9%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 58%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	53.4%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS Yes	70.9%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	58%	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Birmingham Win 53.4%

Draw 14.6%

Bristol City Win 32%

Expected Goals (xG)

Birmingham1.27

Bristol City1.29

Recent Form (Last 5)

Birmingham

WWDLW

58 GF / 57 GA

Bristol City

WLDWL

61 GF / 59 GA

Key Stats

1.26

Average Goals Scored

1.33

1.24

Average Goals Conceded

1.28

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

4.11

Shots on Goal

4.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Birmingham 46 matches

Bristol City 46 matches

Birmingham	Statistic	Bristol City
17	Wins	17
13	Draws	11
16	Losses	18
58	Goals For	61
57	Goals Against	59
1.26	Avg Goals Scored	1.33
1.24	Avg Goals Conceded	1.28
26	BTTS Yes	21
36	Over 1.5	32
21	Over 2.5	21
9	Over 3.5	13
10	Clean Sheets	13
11	Failed To Score	16
4.11	Shots On Goal	4.13
13.7	Total Shots	12.33
5.72	Corners	4.98
54%	Ball Possession	49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Birmingham won 8 times, Bristol City won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:16 from Birmingham's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (85.4%)

Predicted formations: Birmingham 4-2-3-1 / Bristol City 4-2-3-1

Missing players: Birmingham 3, Bristol City 4

H2H summary: Birmingham wins 8, draws 3, Bristol City wins 4

Standings

Championship

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Coventry	46	28	11	7	97:45	52	95	W W W D D
2	Ipswich	46	23	15	8	80:47	33	84	W D D W D
3	Millwall	46	24	11	11	64:49	15	83	L D W D W
4	Southampton	46	22	14	10	82:56	26	80	W D W D D
5	Middlesbrough	46	22	14	10	72:47	25	80	L L D D W
6	Hull City	46	21	10	15	70:66	4	73	W W D W L
7	Wrexham	46	19	14	13	69:65	4	71	D L W W L
8	Derby	46	20	9	17	67:59	8	69	L W L W L
9	Norwich	46	19	8	19	63:56	7	65	L D W W L
10	Birmingham Home	46	17	13	16	57:56	1	64	D W W D W
11	Swansea	46	18	10	18	57:59	-2	64	W D W L W
12	Bristol City Away	46	17	11	18	59:59	0	62	W L D L D
13	Sheffield Utd	46	18	6	22	66:66	0	60	W L L W W
14	Preston	46	15	15	16	55:62	-7	60	L W L L W
15	QPR	46	16	10	20	61:73	-12	58	L L L L D
16	Watford	46	14	15	17	53:65	-12	57	L L L L L
17	Stoke City	46	15	10	21	51:56	-5	55	L L L L D
18	Portsmouth	46	14	13	19	49:64	-15	55	D W L W W
19	Charlton	46	13	14	19	44:58	-14	53	L W L D L
20	Blackburn	46	13	13	20	42:56	-14	52	L W D L D
21	West Brom	46	13	14	19	48:58	-10	51	L D W W D
22	Oxford United	46	11	14	21	45:59	-14	47	L W L L W
23	Leicester	46	12	16	18	58:68	-10	46	W D D L L
24	Sheffield Wednesday	46	2	12	32	29:89	-60	0	W L L D D

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