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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Birmingham
FT
2 - 1
Bristol City
St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Referee: R. Jones
Birmingham
Match Timeline
Bristol City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
P. Neumann · Assist: D. Gray
Birmingham
🟨
14'
Jhon Solís
Birmingham
⚽
29'
J. E. Solis Romero
Birmingham
🔄
46'
C. Pring ↔ R. Dickie
Bristol City
🔄
60'
J. E. Solis Romero ↔ T. Iwata
Birmingham
🔄
63'
S. Bell ↔ E. Riis
Bristol City
🔄
63'
S. Morsy ↔ A. Randell
Bristol City
🔄
70'
D. Gray ↔ T. Doyle
Birmingham
🔄
70'
B. Osayi-Samuel ↔ E. Laird
Birmingham
🟨
75'
Delano Burgzorg
Bristol City
🔄
77'
D. Burgzorg ↔ S. Armstrong
Bristol City
🟨
81'
Jay Stansfield
Birmingham
⚽
82'
T. Horvat
Bristol City
🔄
85'
J. Stansfield ↔ A. Cochrane
Birmingham
🟨
90+4'
Christoph Klarer
Birmingham

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 70.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
70.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Birmingham Win 53.4%
Draw 14.6%
Bristol City Win 32%
Expected Goals (xG)
Birmingham1.27
Bristol City1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Birmingham Birmingham
WWDLW
58 GF / 57 GA
Bristol City Bristol City
WLDWL
61 GF / 59 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
26
BTTS Yes
21
21
Over 2.5
21
4.11
Shots on Goal
4.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Birmingham Birmingham 46 matches
Bristol City Bristol City 46 matches
Birmingham Statistic Bristol City
17 Wins 17
13 Draws 11
16 Losses 18
58 Goals For 61
57 Goals Against 59
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
26 BTTS Yes 21
36 Over 1.5 32
21 Over 2.5 21
9 Over 3.5 13
10 Clean Sheets 13
11 Failed To Score 16
4.11 Shots On Goal 4.13
13.7 Total Shots 12.33
5.72 Corners 4.98
54% Ball Possession 49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Birmingham won 8 times, Bristol City won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:17 from Birmingham's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.4%)
Predicted formations: Birmingham 4-2-3-1 / Bristol City 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Birmingham 3, Bristol City 4
H2H summary: Birmingham wins 8, draws 2, Bristol City wins 5
Stats
Birmingham Birmingham
Bristol City Bristol City
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
4
6 Corner Kicks 5
10 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 3
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 3
1 Blocked Shots 4
8 Shots insidebox 5
3 Shots outsidebox 4
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
365 Total passes 485
265 Passes accurate 375
1.76 expected_goals 1.13
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Birmingham
Formation
Bristol City
J. Beadle
J. Beadle
B. Osayi-Samuel
↓
B. Osayi-Samuel
P. Neumann
⚽
P. Neumann
C. Klarer
C. Klarer
K. Wagner
K. Wagner
Paik Seung-Ho
Paik Seung-Ho
J. E. Solis Romero
⚽ ↓
J. E. Solis Romero
C. Vicente
C. Vicente
J. Stansfield
↓
J. Stansfield
D. Gray
🎯 ↓
D. Gray
A. Priske
A. Priske
R. Vitek
R. Vitek
R. McCrorie
R. McCrorie
N. Eile
N. Eile
Neto Borges
Neto Borges
C. Pring
↓
C. Pring
J. Knight
J. Knight
S. Morsy
↓
S. Morsy
S. Bell
↓
S. Bell
T. Horvat
⚽
T. Horvat
S. Twine
S. Twine
D. Burgzorg
↓
D. Burgzorg
Birmingham 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
J. Beadle
G
26
B. Osayi-Samuel
↓ 70'
D
5
P. Neumann
⚽ 8'
D
4
C. Klarer
🟨 90+4'
D
31
K. Wagner
D
8
Paik Seung-Ho
M
14
J. E. Solis Romero
⚽ 29' ↓ 60' 🟨 14'
M
23
C. Vicente
M
28
J. Stansfield
↓ 85' 🟨 81'
M
10
D. Gray
🎯 8' ↓ 70'
M
29
A. Priske
F
Substitutes
21
R. Allsop
G
7
T. Doyle
↑ 70'
M
6
J. Robinson
D
33
M. Ducksch
F
16
P. Roberts
M
24
T. Iwata
↑ 60'
M
20
A. Cochrane
↑ 85'
D
2
E. Laird
↑ 70'
D
27
K. Fujimoto
M
Bristol City 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
23
R. Vitek
G
2
R. McCrorie
D
38
N. Eile
D
21
Neto Borges
D
3
C. Pring
↓ 46'
D
12
J. Knight
M
40
S. Morsy
↓ 63'
M
20
S. Bell
↓ 63'
M
14
T. Horvat
⚽ 82'
M
10
S. Twine
M
11
D. Burgzorg
↓ 77' 🟨 75'
F
Substitutes
32
L. Thomas
G
16
R. Dickie
↑ 46'
D
17
M. Sykes
M
19
G. Tanner
D
18
E. Riis
↑ 63'
F
30
S. Armstrong
↑ 77'
F
4
A. Randell
↑ 63'
M
44
G. Earthy
M
24
S. Naylor
D
Last matches: Birmingham
22.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Burton Albion
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Solihull Moors
3
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Huddersfield
3
1
W
02.05.26
Cha
Birmingham
Portsmouth
1
1
D
22.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Preston
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Hull City
1
1
D
12.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Wrexham
2
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Ipswich
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Blackburn
0
1
L
21.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Derby
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
QPR
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Charlton
0
1
L
02.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
3
L
25.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Millwall
0
3
L
21.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Norwich
2
1
W
15.02.26
FA
Birmingham
Leeds
1
1
D
10.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
West Brom
0
0
D
07.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Leicester
2
1
W
31.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Oxford United
2
0
W
Last matches: Bristol City
21.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Newport County
0
0
D
17.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Stockport County
0
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Bristol City
Stoke City
2
0
W
21.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Southampton
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Norwich
2
4
L
11.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
QPR
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Sheffield Utd
1
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Charlton
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
West Brom
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
10.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
Leicester
0
2
L
07.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
Coventry
0
2
L
03.03.26
FA
Bristol City
Port Vale
0
1
L
27.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Watford
1
2
L
24.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Blackburn
2
1
W
21.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Swansea
0
1
L
17.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Wrexham
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Hull City
3
2
W
30.01.26
Cha
Bristol City
Derby
0
5
L
24.01.26
Cha
Bristol City
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
H2H: Birmingham vs Bristol City
25.04.26
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
2
1
W
25.10.25
H2H
Bristol City
Birmingham
1
0
L
29.12.23
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
0
0
D
19.08.23
H2H
Bristol City
Birmingham
0
2
W
14.01.23
H2H
Bristol City
Birmingham
4
2
L
08.10.22
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
3
0
W
05.03.22
H2H
Bristol City
Birmingham
1
2
W
02.11.21
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
3
0
W
13.03.21
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
0
3
L
05.12.20
H2H
Bristol City
Birmingham
0
1
W
07.02.20
H2H
Bristol City
Birmingham
1
3
W
10.08.19
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
1
1
D
26.02.19
H2H
Bristol City
Birmingham
1
2
W
08.12.18
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
0
1
L
10.04.18
H2H
Bristol City
Birmingham
3
1
L
Last matches: Birmingham
10.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Huddersfield
3
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Preston
2
1
W
12.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Wrexham
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Blackburn
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
QPR
1
0
W
02.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
3
L
15.02.26
FA
Birmingham
Leeds
1
1
D
10.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
West Brom
0
0
D
07.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Leicester
2
1
W
24.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Stoke City
1
1
D
04.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Coventry
3
2
W
29.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Southampton
1
1
D
26.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Derby
1
1
D
13.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Charlton
1
1
D
01.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Watford
2
1
W
22.11.25
Cha
Birmingham
Norwich
4
1
W
04.11.25
Cha
Birmingham
Millwall
4
0
W
01.11.25
Cha
Birmingham
Portsmouth
4
0
W
18.10.25
Cha
Birmingham
Hull City
2
3
L
H2H at home: Birmingham
25.04.26
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
2
1
W
29.12.23
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
0
0
D
08.10.22
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
3
0
W
02.11.21
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
3
0
W
13.03.21
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
0
3
L
10.08.19
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
1
1
D
08.12.18
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
0
1
L
Last matches: Bristol City
17.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Stockport County
0
2
L
21.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Southampton
2
2
D
11.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
QPR
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Charlton
2
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
10.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
Leicester
0
2
L
03.03.26
FA
Bristol City
Port Vale
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Blackburn
2
1
W
21.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Swansea
0
1
L
07.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Hull City
3
2
W
20.01.26
Cha
Bristol City
Ipswich
0
2
L
17.01.26
Cha
Bristol City
Oxford United
0
0
D
29.12.25
Cha
Bristol City
Millwall
1
2
L
26.12.25
Cha
Bristol City
West Brom
2
1
W
13.12.25
Cha
Bristol City
Coventry
0
1
L
29.11.25
Cha
Bristol City
Portsmouth
1
0
W
26.11.25
Cha
Bristol City
Wrexham
0
2
L
07.11.25
Cha
Bristol City
Watford
1
1
D
01.11.25
Cha
Bristol City
Stoke City
1
5
L
18.10.25
Cha
Bristol City
Norwich
1
0
W
H2H away: Bristol City
25.04.26
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
2
1
L
29.12.23
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
0
0
D
08.10.22
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
3
0
L
02.11.21
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
3
0
L
13.03.21
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
0
3
W
10.08.19
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
1
1
D
08.12.18
H2H
Birmingham
Bristol City
0
1
W

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham Home
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City Away
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Birmingham 3 missing
-
I. Osman
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
L. Buchanan
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
K. Furuhashi
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
Bristol City 4 missing
-
R. Atkinson
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
L. McNally
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Williams
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
M. Bird
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT