BG Pathum United
Match Timeline
Aston Villa
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
88%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
79.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
BG Pathum United Win 6%
Draw 6%
Aston Villa Win 88%
Expected Goals (xG)
BG Pathum United2.3
Aston Villa1.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
BG Pathum United
WWDLW
5 GF / 3 GA
Aston Villa
WLDWL
9 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2.5
Average Goals Scored
2.25
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
2
0
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
BG Pathum United
2 matches
Aston Villa
4 matches
| BG Pathum United | Statistic | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 1 |
| 0 | Draws | 0 |
| 1 | Losses | 3 |
| 5 | Goals For | 9 |
| 3 | Goals Against | 8 |
| 2.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.25 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 0 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 2 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, BG Pathum United won 0 times, Aston Villa won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from BG Pathum United's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (94%)
Predicted formations: BG Pathum United - / Aston Villa 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: BG Pathum United wins 0, draws 0, Aston Villa wins 1
Lineups
BG Pathum United
Formation
Aston Villa
S. Anuin
C. Tamma
Y. Quintana
K. Kaman
Raniel
S. Sareepim
T. Doi
T. Yanagi
P. Jantawong
R. Edwards
E. Osmanovic
M. Bizot
M. Cash
V. Lindelof
E. Buendia
A. Garnacho
L. Bogarde
E. Guessand
Joao Gomes
T. Rowe
Alysson
T. Carroll
BG Pathum United
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
28
S. Anuin
2
C. Tamma
3
Y. Quintana
5
K. Kaman
7
Raniel
9
S. Sareepim
14
T. Doi
16
T. Yanagi
27
P. Jantawong
33
R. Edwards
50
E. Osmanovic
Substitutes
85
I. Waewdee
49
N. Inthacharoen
4
L. James
⚽ 83'
8
A. Pumwisat
15
C. Buaphan
21
P. Verkamp
24
S. Pongsuwan
25
P. Tanthatemee
26
A. Belmonte
30
I. Tippanet
39
T. Siripala
45
Joao Magno
77
T. Papaphe
97
W. Phraothaisong
Aston Villa
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
40
M. Bizot
2
M. Cash
↓ 46'
3
V. Lindelof
⚽ 31'
↓ 46'
10
E. Buendia
⚽ 12'
↓ 46'
17
A. Garnacho
↓ 43'
26
L. Bogarde
↓ 61'
29
E. Guessand
↓ 46'
35
Joao Gomes
↓ 46'
45
T. Rowe
47
Alysson
↓ 46'
71
T. Carroll
Substitutes
64
J. Wright
12
O. Asemota
7
J. McGinn
↑ 46'
14
P. Torres
↑ 46'
18
T. Abraham
22
I. Maatsen
↑ 46'
19
K. Nedeljkovic
24
B. Madjo
↑ 46'
44
B. Kamara
⚽ 62'
↑ 61'
83
B. Burrowes
↑ 46'
53
G. Hemmings
↑ 43'
74
L. Lynch
↑ 46'
Last matches: BG Pathum United
26.07.26
Fri
BG Pathum United
Buriram United
0
3
L
12.07.26
Fri
BG Pathum United
Roi Et
5
0
W
Last matches: Aston Villa
23.08.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Brighton
0
4
L
15.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
2
L
12.08.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Paris Saint Germain
1
2
L
07.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Bayern München
1
2
L
28.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Real Sociedad
2
4
L
25.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
FC Porto
1
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Walsall
5
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester City
2
1
W
20.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
3
0
W
15.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Liverpool
4
2
W
10.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
2
D
07.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Tottenham
1
2
L
30.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Fulham
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3
W
16.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
4
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
3
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Elche
1
2
L
H2H: BG Pathum United vs Aston Villa
04.08.26
H2H
BG Pathum United
Aston Villa
1
3
L
Last matches: BG Pathum United
26.07.26
Fri
BG Pathum United
Buriram United
0
3
L
H2H at home: BG Pathum United
04.08.26
H2H
BG Pathum United
Aston Villa
1
3
L
Last matches: Aston Villa
23.08.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Brighton
0
4
L
15.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
2
L
12.08.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Paris Saint Germain
1
2
L
07.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Bayern München
1
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
FC Porto
1
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Walsall
5
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester City
2
1
W
20.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
3
0
W
10.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
2
D
30.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Fulham
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
3
1
W
15.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester United
1
3
L
12.03.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Lille
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Wolves
0
2
L
07.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
1
1
D
25.01.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Newcastle
2
0
W
22.01.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Fenerbahçe
1
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Aston Villa
Tottenham
2
1
W
H2H away: Aston Villa
04.08.26
H2H
BG Pathum United
Aston Villa
1
3
W