ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
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Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 44.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
44.2%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.8%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Belgrano Cordoba Win 39.6%
Draw 16.2%
Independ. Rivadavia Win 44.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Belgrano Cordoba1.12
Independ. Rivadavia1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba
WWDLW
31 GF / 20 GA
Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia
WLDWL
53 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.83
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
10
BTTS Yes
20
10
Over 2.5
16
3.65
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 25 matches
Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 29 matches
Belgrano Cordoba Statistic Independ. Rivadavia
12 Wins 19
8 Draws 6
5 Losses 4
31 Goals For 53
20 Goals Against 27
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
10 BTTS Yes 20
14 Over 1.5 23
10 Over 2.5 16
5 Over 3.5 7
12 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 3
3.65 Shots On Goal 5
11.65 Total Shots 14.3
3.61 Corners 4.37
49.1% Ball Possession 47.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Independ. Rivadavia. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Belgrano Cordoba expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Independ. Rivadavia in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Independ. Rivadavia having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Belgrano Cordoba Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 26 points from 16 games, Belgrano Cordoba bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 17:13, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Nicolás Fernández (4 goals), Francisco González Metilli (3 goals), Lucas Zelarayán (2 goals), with creative support from Lucas Passerini (3 assists), Nicolás Fernández (2 assists), Franco Vázquez (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Independ. Rivadavia Analysis

Independ. Rivadavia come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 34 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, while the 29:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Alex Arce (5 goals), Leonel Bucca (3 goals), José Florentín (2 goals), with creative support from Sebastián Villa (4 assists), Matías Fernández (3 assists), Leonard Costa (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Belgrano Cordoba won 3 times, Independ. Rivadavia won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:8 from Belgrano Cordoba's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.8%)
Predicted formations: Belgrano Cordoba 4-2-3-1 / Independ. Rivadavia 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Belgrano Cordoba wins 3, draws 3, Independ. Rivadavia wins 2
Last matches: Belgrano Cordoba
06.08.26
Lig
Belgrano Cordoba
Tigre
0
0
D
01.08.26
Lig
Belgrano Cordoba
Argentinos JRS
0
1
L
23.07.26
Lig
Belgrano Cordoba
Rosario Central
2
1
W
30.05.26
Cop
Belgrano Cordoba
Gimnasia Jujuy
2
2
D
24.05.26
Lig
Belgrano Cordoba
River Plate
3
2
W
17.05.26
Lig
Belgrano Cordoba
Argentinos JRS
1
1
D
12.05.26
Lig
Belgrano Cordoba
Union Santa Fe
2
0
W
09.05.26
Lig
Belgrano Cordoba
Talleres Cordoba
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Belgrano Cordoba
Sarmiento Junin
4
0
W
26.04.26
Lig
Belgrano Cordoba
Gimnasia L.P.
0
1
L
20.04.26
Lig
Belgrano Cordoba
Barracas Central
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lig
Belgrano Cordoba
Aldosivi
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Belgrano Cordoba
River Plate
0
3
L
28.03.26
Cop
Belgrano Cordoba
Atletico DE Rafaela
3
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Belgrano Cordoba
Racing Club
1
2
L
15.03.26
Lig
Belgrano Cordoba
Talleres Cordoba
0
0
D
12.03.26
Lig
Belgrano Cordoba
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
1
0
W
03.03.26
Lig
Belgrano Cordoba
Huracan
1
3
L
25.02.26
Lig
Belgrano Cordoba
Atletico Tucuman
3
1
W
20.02.26
Lig
Belgrano Cordoba
Defensa Y Justicia
1
1
D
Last matches: Independ. Rivadavia
08.08.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
1
W
03.08.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Sarmiento Junin
1
2
L
30.07.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Huracan
2
1
W
26.07.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Atletico Tucuman
0
0
D
12.07.26
Cop
Independ. Rivadavia
Tigre
1
0
W
28.05.26
CON
Independ. Rivadavia
Bolívar
3
1
W
21.05.26
CON
Independ. Rivadavia
Deportivo La Guaira
4
2
W
10.05.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Union Santa Fe
1
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Aldosivi
1
1
D
30.04.26
CON
Independ. Rivadavia
Deportivo La Guaira
4
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia M.
5
1
W
20.04.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Banfield
0
0
D
16.04.26
CON
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
2
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Argentinos JRS
3
1
W
07.04.26
CON
Independ. Rivadavia
Bolívar
1
0
W
02.04.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Tigre
2
0
W
23.03.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Rosario Central
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia L.P.
3
2
W
12.03.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Barracas Central
1
2
L
H2H: Belgrano Cordoba vs Independ. Rivadavia
15.02.26
H2H
Independ. Rivadavia
Belgrano Cordoba
0
1
W
26.07.25
H2H
Independ. Rivadavia
Belgrano Cordoba
0
0
D
04.02.25
H2H
Belgrano Cordoba
Independ. Rivadavia
0
3
L
26.11.24
H2H
Belgrano Cordoba
Independ. Rivadavia
0
2
L
26.04.23
H2H
Belgrano Cordoba
Independ. Rivadavia
2
0
W
28.07.22
H2H
Belgrano Cordoba
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
05.12.20
H2H
Belgrano Cordoba
Independ. Rivadavia
3
0
W
21.03.20
H2H
Independ. Rivadavia
Belgrano Cordoba
0
0
D
29.09.19
H2H
Belgrano Cordoba
Independ. Rivadavia
2
2
D
Last matches: Belgrano Cordoba
01.08.26
Lig
Belgrano Cordoba
Argentinos JRS
0
1
L
23.07.26
Lig
Belgrano Cordoba
Rosario Central
2
1
W
12.05.26
Lig
Belgrano Cordoba
Union Santa Fe
2
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Belgrano Cordoba
Sarmiento Junin
4
0
W
26.04.26
Lig
Belgrano Cordoba
Gimnasia L.P.
0
1
L
11.04.26
Lig
Belgrano Cordoba
Aldosivi
1
0
W
28.03.26
Cop
Belgrano Cordoba
Atletico DE Rafaela
3
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Belgrano Cordoba
Racing Club
1
2
L
15.03.26
Lig
Belgrano Cordoba
Talleres Cordoba
0
0
D
25.02.26
Lig
Belgrano Cordoba
Atletico Tucuman
3
1
W
08.02.26
Lig
Belgrano Cordoba
Banfield
1
0
W
29.01.26
Lig
Belgrano Cordoba
Tigre
1
1
D
H2H at home: Belgrano Cordoba
04.02.25
H2H
Belgrano Cordoba
Independ. Rivadavia
0
3
L
26.11.24
H2H
Belgrano Cordoba
Independ. Rivadavia
0
2
L
26.04.23
H2H
Belgrano Cordoba
Independ. Rivadavia
2
0
W
28.07.22
H2H
Belgrano Cordoba
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
05.12.20
H2H
Belgrano Cordoba
Independ. Rivadavia
3
0
W
29.09.19
H2H
Belgrano Cordoba
Independ. Rivadavia
2
2
D
Last matches: Independ. Rivadavia
03.08.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Sarmiento Junin
1
2
L
26.07.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Atletico Tucuman
0
0
D
28.05.26
CON
Independ. Rivadavia
Bolívar
3
1
W
21.05.26
CON
Independ. Rivadavia
Deportivo La Guaira
4
2
W
03.05.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Aldosivi
1
1
D
20.04.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Banfield
0
0
D
16.04.26
CON
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
2
1
W
02.04.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Tigre
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia L.P.
3
2
W
26.02.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Racing Club
1
1
D
10.02.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
1
0
W
27.01.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Huracan
2
1
W
H2H away: Independ. Rivadavia
04.02.25
H2H
Belgrano Cordoba
Independ. Rivadavia
0
3
W
26.11.24
H2H
Belgrano Cordoba
Independ. Rivadavia
0
2
W
26.04.23
H2H
Belgrano Cordoba
Independ. Rivadavia
2
0
L
28.07.22
H2H
Belgrano Cordoba
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
05.12.20
H2H
Belgrano Cordoba
Independ. Rivadavia
3
0
L
29.09.19
H2H
Belgrano Cordoba
Independ. Rivadavia
2
2
D

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
L W D L D
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
L L L L W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
W W W L W
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W W D L L
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
D L W W W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
W W L L W
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
D L W L W
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L D W L W
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
W W W L D
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
D W L D L
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
W L L L W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D W L W D
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
D W D W D
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L L L D D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
D L W L L
Knockout Phase