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TURKEY › SüPER LIG
18.10.2026 16:00
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium
Referee: A. Sen

Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.1%
Odds 4.71
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.61
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.1%
4.71 ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.61 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.4%
1.26 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
10.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
15.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Başakşehir Win 37.9%
Draw 7%
Gaziantep FK Win 55.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Başakşehir1.23
Gaziantep FK1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Başakşehir Başakşehir
WWDLW
19 GF / 21 GA
Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK
WLDWL
16 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
9
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
6
4
Shots on Goal
3.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Başakşehir Başakşehir 15 matches
Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 12 matches
Başakşehir Statistic Gaziantep FK
4 Wins 5
6 Draws 4
5 Losses 3
19 Goals For 16
21 Goals Against 14
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
9 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 3
4 Shots On Goal 3.14
13.44 Total Shots 12.86
5.22 Corners 4.29
54.4% Ball Possession 49.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Gaziantep FK. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Başakşehir expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Gaziantep FK in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gaziantep FK having the stronger overall control. Başakşehir have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Başakşehir Analysis

With 7 points from 6 games and a place of 14, Başakşehir still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats with a 10:11 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Eldor Shomurodov (6 goals), Andreas Skov Olsen (1 goals), Christopher Operi (1 goals), with creative support from Andreas Skov Olsen (2 assists), Ivan Brnić (2 assists), Abbosbek Fayzullaev (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gaziantep FK Analysis

From their first 6 matches, Gaziantep FK have collected 8 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 7:7 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Kacper Kozłowski (2 goals), Deian Sorescu (2 goals), Myenty Abena (1 goals), with creative support from Alexandru Maxim (2 assists), Juninho Bacuna (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Başakşehir won 10 times, Gaziantep FK won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:14 from Başakşehir's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93%)
Predicted formations: Başakşehir 4-2-3-1 / Gaziantep FK 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Başakşehir 1, Gaziantep FK 2
H2H summary: Başakşehir wins 10, draws 1, Gaziantep FK wins 4

Standings

Süper Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 1 1 16:11 5 16
W L W W W
2 7 5 0 2 16:8 8 15
W L W W W
3 7 4 2 1 17:9 8 14
D W W D W
4 7 4 1 2 19:6 13 13
W W D L W
5 7 4 1 2 16:5 11 13
W W L W L
6 7 3 3 1 8:6 2 12
D W D W L
7 7 4 0 3 8:6 2 12
L W L W W
8 7 3 1 3 16:12 4 10
W L W W L
9 7 2 4 1 8:8 0 10
L D W D D
10 7 3 1 3 7:9 -2 10
L D W L W
11 7 2 2 3 10:11 -1 8
D W L L D
12 7 2 2 3 7:10 -3 8
L L D W L
13 7 2 2 3 7:15 -8 8
D L L L D
14 7 2 2 3 3:11 -8 8
D W L W D
15 7 1 3 3 15:15 0 6
W D D L L
16 7 1 2 4 4:8 -4 5
D D W L L
17 7 1 1 5 6:15 -9 4
L L L L L
18 7 1 0 6 2:20 -18 3
L L L L W
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig