26.09.2026 13:30
Jenner Park

Barry Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.8%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Barry Town Win 52.8%
Draw 8%
GAP Connah S Quay FC Win 39.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barry Town1.78
GAP Connah S Quay FC1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barry Town Barry Town
WWDLW
39 GF / 22 GA
GAP Connah S Quay FC GAP Connah S Quay FC
WLDWL
26 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
2.44
Average Goals Scored
1.86
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
12
BTTS Yes
6
12
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barry Town Barry Town 16 matches
GAP Connah S Quay FC GAP Connah S Quay FC 14 matches
Barry Town Statistic GAP Connah S Quay FC
12 Wins 8
1 Draws 2
3 Losses 4
39 Goals For 26
22 Goals Against 11
2.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.86
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
12 BTTS Yes 6
12 Over 1.5 10
12 Over 2.5 8
10 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward GAP Connah S Quay FC having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring GAP Connah S Quay FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Barry Town Analysis

Placed 5 with 22 points from 10 outings, Barry Town continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 25:16 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

GAP Connah S Quay FC Analysis

GAP Connah S Quay FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 22 points after 10 matches. With 7 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 23:7, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Barry Town won 6 times, GAP Connah S Quay FC won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:27 from Barry Town's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92%)
H2H summary: Barry Town wins 6, draws 3, GAP Connah S Quay FC wins 6

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 1 0 26:4 22 28
W W W W W
2 10 7 3 0 20:8 12 24
W W W W D
3 10 7 1 2 33:11 22 22
W D W W L
4 10 7 1 2 23:7 16 22
W W L D W
5 10 7 1 2 25:16 9 22
L D W L W
6 10 6 1 3 20:14 6 19
W W W L W
7 10 5 1 4 18:14 4 16
L D L W L
8 10 5 0 5 17:15 2 15
W L L W W
9 10 4 3 3 17:20 -3 15
L W W D D
10 9 4 2 3 19:11 8 14
L D D W W
11 9 3 1 5 7:14 -7 10
W W D W L
12 10 2 2 6 9:19 -10 8
D L L L L
13 10 0 3 7 4:24 -20 3
D L L D L
14 10 0 3 7 7:28 -21 3
L D L L L
15 10 0 2 8 8:24 -16 2
L L D L L
16 10 0 1 9 11:35 -24 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)