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ENGLAND › NATIONAL LEAGUE
24.10.2026 14:00
Holker Street

Barrow vs Forest Green Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Barrow Win 63.3%
Draw 3.9%
Forest Green Win 32.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barrow1.76
Forest Green1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barrow Barrow
WWDLW
31 GF / 19 GA
Forest Green Forest Green
WLDWL
31 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.95
9
BTTS Yes
14
10
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barrow Barrow 19 matches
Forest Green Forest Green 19 matches
Barrow Statistic Forest Green
10 Wins 7
5 Draws 5
4 Losses 7
31 Goals For 31
19 Goals Against 37
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.95
9 BTTS Yes 14
14 Over 1.5 17
10 Over 2.5 14
4 Over 3.5 10
8 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 6
0 Total Shots 9
0 Corners 9
0% Ball Possession 75%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Barrow's more proactive style and Forest Green's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Barrow come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Forest Green having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Forest Green. Barrow arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 21 points compared to Forest Green in 16 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Barrow Analysis

Barrow are currently 8 in the standings with 21 points from 13 matches. The record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 22:16 goal balance, points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Forest Green Analysis

Forest Green sit 16 with 15 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 19:22, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Barrow won 3 times, Forest Green won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:22 from Barrow's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
H2H summary: Barrow wins 3, draws 6, Forest Green wins 5

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 11 2 0 34:13 21 35
W W W W W
2 13 9 1 3 29:17 12 28
W W W W L
3 13 8 3 2 31:19 12 27
W W D L W
4 13 7 4 2 32:15 17 25
W W D W W
5 13 7 3 3 27:18 9 24
W W D W W
6 13 8 0 5 20:19 1 24
W L W W W
7 13 7 2 4 24:18 6 23
W L L W L
8 13 6 3 4 22:16 6 21
W W W W W
9 13 7 0 6 15:19 -4 21
W L W L W
10 13 6 2 5 22:15 7 20
W W D L D
11 13 5 5 3 15:12 3 20
D D L L D
12 13 5 3 5 18:16 2 18
L L L W L
13 13 5 3 5 14:18 -4 18
L D L D D
14 13 4 5 4 23:20 3 17
D W W L L
15 13 4 3 6 20:20 0 15
L W L W D
16 12 4 3 5 19:22 -3 15
L D D L D
17 13 4 3 6 14:20 -6 15
L L D L W
18 13 4 2 7 21:30 -9 14
L W W L W
19 13 3 3 7 17:24 -7 12
L L D W L
20 13 4 0 9 12:19 -7 12
W L L L L
21 13 3 3 7 15:23 -8 12
L L D L W
22 12 3 1 8 15:21 -6 10
L L W L L
23 13 2 1 10 13:35 -22 7
L L W L L
24 13 1 1 11 8:31 -23 4
L L L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation