ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia
Referee: Hernan Mastrangelo, Argentina
Barracas Central
Match Timeline
Platense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
17'
F. Tobio ↔ N. Capraro
Barracas Central
🟨
17'
M. Mendia
Platense
23'
I. Tapia
Barracas Central
🟨
31'
N. Briasco
Barracas Central
🟨
34'
N. Demartini
Barracas Central
🟨
40'
K. Jappert
Barracas Central
🔄
46'
N. Briasco ↔ G. Maroni
Barracas Central
🟨
56'
I. Tapia
Barracas Central
59'
K. Retamar · Assist: F. Zapiola
Platense
🔄
69'
L. Heredia ↔ L. Gimenez
Platense
🔄
76'
F. Zapiola ↔ B. Merlini
Platense
🔄
76'
F. Bussio ↔ M. Barrios
Platense
🔄
79'
I. Tapia ↔ E. Pereyra
Barracas Central
🔄
79'
T. Porra ↔ R. Bogarin
Barracas Central
🔄
85'
F. Bruera ↔ J. Candia
Barracas Central
🔄
86'
K. Retamar ↔ N. Lopez
Platense
90'
L. Gimenez · Assist: B. Merlini
Platense

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 45.3%
Odds 2.67
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.35
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
45.3%
2.67
BTTS No
60.3%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.35
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
88.2%
1.10
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.50
Correct Score 2-0
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Barracas Central Win 45.3%
Draw 17.8%
Platense Win 37%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barracas Central0.96
Platense0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barracas Central Barracas Central
WWDLW
21 GF / 20 GA
Platense Platense
WLDWL
25 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
0.91
Average Goals Scored
0.81
0.87
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
10
BTTS Yes
13
7
Over 2.5
9
3.48
Shots on Goal
3.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barracas Central Barracas Central 23 matches
Platense Platense 31 matches
Barracas Central Statistic Platense
9 Wins 8
7 Draws 13
7 Losses 10
21 Goals For 25
20 Goals Against 32
0.91 Avg Goals Scored 0.81
0.87 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
10 BTTS Yes 13
13 Over 1.5 18
7 Over 2.5 9
1 Over 3.5 3
8 Clean Sheets 11
8 Failed To Score 14
3.48 Shots On Goal 3.83
10.43 Total Shots 11.52
2.14 Corners 4.03
40.6% Ball Possession 48.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Platense arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Barracas Central expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Platense in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Platense having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Platense.

Barracas Central Analysis

Barracas Central sit 9 with 21 points after 16 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 15:15 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Tomás Porra (1 goals), Rodrigo Insúa (1 goals), Nicolás Demartini (1 goals), with creative support from Tomás Porra (2 assists), Rodrigo Insúa (1 assists), Iván Tapia (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Platense Analysis

Platense approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 16 points from 16 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 10:15, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Bautista Merlini (2 goals), Nicolás Retamar (1 goals), Tomas Nasif (1 goals), with creative support from Nicolás Retamar (1 assists), Tomas Nasif (1 assists), Juan Gauto (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Barracas Central won 6 times, Platense won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:9 from Barracas Central's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.36 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.3%)
Predicted formations: Barracas Central 5-3-2 / Platense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Barracas Central wins 6, draws 4, Platense wins 4
Stats
Barracas Central Barracas Central
Platense Platense
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
4
4 Corner Kicks 4
18 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 3
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Goal 7
4 Shots off Goal 8
1 Blocked Shots 4
7 Shots insidebox 15
4 Shots outsidebox 4
5 Goalkeeper Saves 5
324 Total passes 397
236 Passes accurate 313
1.60 expected_goals 2.67
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Barracas Central
Formation
Platense
Marcelo Agustín Miño
Marcelo Agustín Miño
Rafael Barrios
Rafael Barrios
Kevin Jappert
Kevin Jappert
Fernando Tobio
Fernando Tobio
Nicolás Demartini
Nicolás Demartini
Rodrigo Insúa
Rodrigo Insúa
Tomás Porra
Tomás Porra
Esteban Rolón
Esteban Rolón
Iván Tapia
Iván Tapia
Facundo Bruera
Facundo Bruera
Norberto Briasco
Norberto Briasco
Nicolás Sumavil
Nicolás Sumavil
Juan Ignacio Saborido
Juan Ignacio Saborido
Mateo Mendia
Mateo Mendia
Víctor Cuesta
Víctor Cuesta
Tomás Ariel Silva
Tomás Ariel Silva
Felipe Bussio
Felipe Bussio
Ivan Gómez
Ivan Gómez
Nicolás Retamar
Nicolás Retamar
Franco Zapiola
🎯
Franco Zapiola
Juan Gauto
Juan Gauto
Leonardo Heredia
Leonardo Heredia
Barracas Central 5-3-2
Starting XI
30
Marcelo Agustín Miño
G
13
Rafael Barrios
D
14
Kevin Jappert
🟨 40'
D
32
Fernando Tobio
↓ 17'
D
31
Nicolás Demartini
🟨 34'
D
6
Rodrigo Insúa
D
8
Tomás Porra
↓ 79'
M
35
Esteban Rolón
M
10
Iván Tapia
⚽ 23' ↓ 79' 🟨 56'
M
77
Facundo Bruera
↓ 85'
F
11
Norberto Briasco
↓ 46' 🟨 31'
F
Substitutes
2
Nicolas Capraro
↑ 17'
D
33
Gonzalo Maroni
↑ 46'
M
17
Elías Pereyra
↑ 79'
D
28
Rodrigo Bogarín
↑ 79'
M
20
Jhonatan Candia
↑ 85'
F
1
Juan Espínola
G
37
Gastón Campi
D
4
Damián Martínez
D
16
Ivan Guaraz
F
79
Maximiliano Puig
M
24
Enzo Taborda
F
34
Nicolás Orsini
F
Platense 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
Nicolás Sumavil
G
25
Juan Ignacio Saborido
D
34
Mateo Mendia
🟨 17'
D
31
Víctor Cuesta
D
3
Tomás Ariel Silva
D
17
Felipe Bussio
↓ 76'
M
5
Ivan Gómez
M
43
Nicolás Retamar
⚽ 59' ↓ 86'
M
10
Franco Zapiola
🎯 59' ↓ 76'
M
33
Juan Gauto
M
23
Leonardo Heredia
↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
20
Luciano Giménez
⚽ 90' ↑ 69'
F
24
Martín Barrios
↑ 76'
M
18
Bautista Merlini
🎯 90' ↑ 76'
F
11
Nico López
↑ 86'
F
1
Brian Bustos
G
4
Agustín Lagos
D
13
Ignacio Vazquez
D
32
Santiago Quiros
D
26
Pablo Ferreira
M
7
Guido Mainero
F
29
Franco Minerva
M
16
Gastón Togni
F
Last matches: Barracas Central
16.08.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Rosario Central
0
1
L
09.08.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Gimnasia L.P.
0
2
L
02.08.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Deportivo Riestra
1
0
W
29.07.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Aldosivi
1
0
W
25.07.26
Lig
Barracas Central
River Plate
1
0
W
03.06.26
Cop
Barracas Central
Huracan
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Banfield
1
2
L
25.04.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Racing Club
1
1
D
20.04.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Belgrano Cordoba
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
1
W
02.04.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Sarmiento Junin
1
2
L
24.03.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Huracan
0
0
D
16.03.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Atletico Tucuman
2
1
W
12.03.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Independ. Rivadavia
2
1
W
01.03.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Argentinos JRS
1
1
D
25.02.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Tigre
2
1
W
21.02.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Platense
0
1
L
16.02.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Rosario Central
0
2
L
09.02.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Gimnasia L.P.
2
0
W
06.02.26
Cop
Barracas Central
Temperley
2
2
D
Last matches: Platense
19.08.26
CON
Platense
Coquimbo Unido
0
0
D
16.08.26
Lig
Platense
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
12.08.26
CON
Platense
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
09.08.26
Lig
Platense
Independiente
1
0
W
03.08.26
Lig
Platense
Talleres Cordoba
0
4
L
30.07.26
Lig
Platense
Instituto Cordoba
1
2
L
25.07.26
Lig
Platense
Union Santa Fe
2
2
D
28.05.26
CON
Platense
Corinthians
2
0
W
20.05.26
CON
Platense
Santa Fe
1
2
L
13.05.26
Cop
Platense
San Martin S.J.
0
0
D
07.05.26
CON
Platense
Penarol
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Platense
Estudiantes L.P.
0
2
L
29.04.26
CON
Platense
Santa Fe
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Platense
San Lorenzo
0
1
L
20.04.26
Lig
Platense
Central Cordoba de Santiago
3
4
L
17.04.26
CON
Platense
Penarol
2
1
W
12.04.26
Lig
Platense
Gimnasia M.
1
1
D
10.04.26
CON
Platense
Corinthians
0
2
L
01.04.26
Lig
Platense
Lanus
0
0
D
23.03.26
Lig
Platense
Argentinos JRS
0
1
L
H2H: Barracas Central vs Platense
23.08.26
H2H
Barracas Central
Platense
1
1
D
21.02.26
H2H
Platense
Barracas Central
1
0
L
16.08.24
H2H
Platense
Barracas Central
0
0
D
11.04.23
H2H
Barracas Central
Platense
1
0
W
31.07.22
H2H
Platense
Barracas Central
0
0
D
11.04.20
H2H
Barracas Central
Platense
0
0
D
29.10.19
H2H
Platense
Barracas Central
1
0
L
13.04.18
H2H
Platense
Barracas Central
1
0
L
25.11.17
H2H
Barracas Central
Platense
1
0
W
14.03.17
H2H
Platense
Barracas Central
2
0
L
29.08.16
H2H
Barracas Central
Platense
2
1
W
21.07.15
H2H
Barracas Central
Platense
2
1
W
11.03.15
H2H
Platense
Barracas Central
0
0
D
10.11.14
H2H
Platense
Barracas Central
1
2
W
14.09.14
H2H
Barracas Central
Platense
1
0
W
Last matches: Barracas Central
16.08.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Rosario Central
0
1
L
29.07.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Aldosivi
1
0
W
03.06.26
Cop
Barracas Central
Huracan
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Banfield
1
2
L
20.04.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Belgrano Cordoba
0
0
D
02.04.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Sarmiento Junin
1
2
L
16.03.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Atletico Tucuman
2
1
W
25.02.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Tigre
2
1
W
09.02.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Gimnasia L.P.
2
0
W
06.02.26
Cop
Barracas Central
Temperley
2
2
D
01.02.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Deportivo Riestra
1
1
D
24.01.26
Lig
Barracas Central
River Plate
0
1
L
18.05.19
Pri
Barracas Central
Fénix
2
0
W
06.05.19
Pri
Barracas Central
San Telmo
0
0
D
15.04.19
Pri
Barracas Central
UAI Urquiza
1
0
W
01.04.19
Pri
Barracas Central
Acassuso
1
0
W
19.03.19
Pri
Barracas Central
Deportivo Español
4
0
W
08.03.19
Pri
Barracas Central
Tristan Suarez
3
0
W
26.02.19
Pri
Barracas Central
Deportivo Riestra
1
0
W
22.02.19
Pri
Barracas Central
Comunicaciones
6
0
W
H2H at home: Barracas Central
23.08.26
H2H
Barracas Central
Platense
1
1
D
11.04.23
H2H
Barracas Central
Platense
1
0
W
11.04.20
H2H
Barracas Central
Platense
0
0
D
25.11.17
H2H
Barracas Central
Platense
1
0
W
29.08.16
H2H
Barracas Central
Platense
2
1
W
21.07.15
H2H
Barracas Central
Platense
2
1
W
14.09.14
H2H
Barracas Central
Platense
1
0
W
Last matches: Platense
19.08.26
CON
Platense
Coquimbo Unido
0
0
D
09.08.26
Lig
Platense
Independiente
1
0
W
30.07.26
Lig
Platense
Instituto Cordoba
1
2
L
28.05.26
CON
Platense
Corinthians
2
0
W
20.05.26
CON
Platense
Santa Fe
1
2
L
20.04.26
Lig
Platense
Central Cordoba de Santiago
3
4
L
17.04.26
CON
Platense
Penarol
2
1
W
01.04.26
Lig
Platense
Lanus
0
0
D
23.03.26
Lig
Platense
Argentinos JRS
0
1
L
11.03.26
Lig
Platense
Newells Old Boys
1
1
D
02.03.26
Lig
Platense
Deportivo Riestra
0
0
D
15.02.26
Lig
Platense
Boca Juniors
0
0
D
01.02.26
Lig
Platense
Talleres Cordoba
2
1
W
22.01.26
Lig
Platense
Union Santa Fe
0
0
D
28.04.18
Pri
Platense
Colegiales
0
0
D
18.04.18
Pri
Platense
San Telmo
1
0
W
08.04.18
Pri
Platense
Comunicaciones
3
3
D
25.03.18
Pri
Platense
Villa San Carlos
1
0
W
14.03.18
Pri
Platense
UAI Urquiza
0
0
D
04.03.18
Pri
Platense
Fénix
0
0
D
H2H away: Platense
23.08.26
H2H
Barracas Central
Platense
1
1
D
11.04.23
H2H
Barracas Central
Platense
1
0
L
11.04.20
H2H
Barracas Central
Platense
0
0
D
25.11.17
H2H
Barracas Central
Platense
1
0
L
29.08.16
H2H
Barracas Central
Platense
2
1
L
21.07.15
H2H
Barracas Central
Platense
2
1
L
14.09.14
H2H
Barracas Central
Platense
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.86
Home 2.67
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.34
Draw 1.85
Home 3.68
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.16
Over 1.25 1.49
Over 1.5 1.72
Over 1.75 1.98
Over 2.0 2.46
Over 2.25 2.91
Over 2.5 3.33
Over 3.5 7.47
Under 0.5 5.55
Under 1.25 2.74
Under 1.5 2.20
Under 1.75 1.91
Under 2.0 1.60
Under 2.25 1.44
Under 2.5 1.35
Under 3.5 1.11
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.75
Home 2.70
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 1.80
Home 3.60
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.00
Home 3.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.17
Over 1.5 1.67
Over 2.5 3.40
Over 3.5 7.00
Over 4.5 19.00
Over 5.5 41.00
Under 0.5 4.75
Under 1.5 2.10
Under 2.5 1.33
Under 3.5 1.10
Under 4.5 1.02
Under 5.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.18
Draw 2.79
Home 2.63
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 1.72
Home 3.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.64
Draw 2.00
Home 3.04
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.10
Over 0.75 1.14
Over 1.0 1.20
Over 1.25 1.47
Over 1.5 1.70
Over 1.75 1.93
Over 2.0 2.28
Over 2.25 2.63
Over 2.5 2.99
Over 2.75 3.82
Over 3.0 5.55
Over 3.25 6.05
Over 3.5 6.55
Over 3.75 8.70
Over 4.0 10.50
Over 4.5 15.50
Over 5.5 29.00
Under 0.5 5.20
Under 0.75 4.62
Under 1.0 3.94
Under 1.25 2.67
Under 1.5 2.15
Under 1.75 1.87
Under 2.0 1.53
Under 2.25 1.38
Under 2.5 1.30
Under 2.75 1.18
Under 3.0 1.08
Under 3.25 1.06
Under 3.5 1.05
Under 3.75 1.01
Under 4.0 1.03
Under 4.5 1.02
Under 5.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.75
Home 2.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 1.79
Home 3.35
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.08
Home 3.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.14
Over 1.0 1.24
Over 1.25 1.48
Over 1.5 1.71
Over 1.75 1.95
Over 2.0 2.43
Over 2.25 2.85
Over 2.5 3.30
Over 3.5 7.00
Under 0.5 5.20
Under 1.0 3.85
Under 1.25 2.55
Under 1.5 2.07
Under 1.75 1.80
Under 2.0 1.53
Under 2.25 1.40
Under 2.5 1.32
Under 3.5 1.08

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
D L W L W
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
W L L L L
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
L W W W W
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W W W D L
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W W D L W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
L L W W W
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
D L W D L
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L L L D W
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
L L W W W
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
D W D W L
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
W W W L L
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
L W L D W
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
D W L D W
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L D L L L
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
D L L D L
Knockout Phase